Chattanooga
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
816  Harry Smithers SR 33:22
1,049  John Gilpin SR 33:43
1,129  Trevor Janssen JR 33:51
2,308  Austin Casassa JR 35:32
2,529  Patrick O'Brien SR 36:03
2,595  Matthew Marshall JR 36:11
National Rank #207 of 311
South Region Rank #19 of 41
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 18th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 97.8%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Harry Smithers John Gilpin Trevor Janssen Austin Casassa Patrick O'Brien Matthew Marshall
Southern Conference Championships 10/31 1229 33:28 33:38 34:01 35:02 36:03 36:11
South Region Championships 11/14 33:14 33:48 33:39 36:09





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 18.2 506 0.0 0.0 0.7 3.7 19.4 37.1 28.9 7.9 2.0 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Harry Smithers 47.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.6
John Gilpin 65.8
Trevor Janssen 73.6
Austin Casassa 147.5
Patrick O'Brien 160.4
Matthew Marshall 164.2




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 0.0% 0.0 11
12 12
13 13
14 0.0% 0.0 14
15 0.7% 0.7 15
16 3.7% 3.7 16
17 19.4% 19.4 17
18 37.1% 37.1 18
19 28.9% 28.9 19
20 7.9% 7.9 20
21 2.0% 2.0 21
22 0.2% 0.2 22
23 0.0% 0.0 23
24 0.0% 0.0 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0