Lamar
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
86  Sam Stabler SR 31:47
385  Alex Dunbar JR 32:39
441  Michael Kershaw SR 32:46
442  Jan Lukas Becker FR 32:46
461  Ryan Creech SR 32:48
693  Ryan Saunders SR 33:10
1,211  Tobias Riker JR 33:57
1,372  Federico Gasbarri FR 34:08
1,416  Stuart Ferguson JR 34:11
2,918  Andres Espinosa FR 37:19
National Rank #55 of 311
South Central Region Rank #3 of 35
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 13.6%
Most Likely Finish 3rd at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.1%


Regional Champion 2.8%
Top 5 in Regional 98.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Sam Stabler Alex Dunbar Michael Kershaw Jan Lukas Becker Ryan Creech Ryan Saunders Tobias Riker Federico Gasbarri Stuart Ferguson Andres Espinosa
Chili Pepper Festival 10/04 853 31:47 32:45 33:10 32:51 32:29 33:43 34:04 37:19
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/17 814 31:33 32:50 32:30 33:02 32:41 34:18 34:17
Wisconsin adidas Invitational - B 10/17 34:16
Southland Conference Championships 11/03 855 31:50 32:27 32:48 32:49 33:06 33:55 34:00 33:50
South Region Championships 11/14 774 31:39 32:33 32:40 32:15 32:58 33:10 34:32
NCAA Championship 11/22 32:54





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 13.6% 29.4 725 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.1 2.2 2.6 5.6
Region Championship 100% 3.2 102 2.8 10.7 64.4 14.7 5.3 1.7 0.3 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sam Stabler 91.7% 85.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2
Alex Dunbar 17.6% 192.8
Michael Kershaw 14.5% 203.9
Jan Lukas Becker 14.6% 204.3
Ryan Creech 14.1% 207.3
Ryan Saunders 13.6% 234.0
Tobias Riker 13.7% 250.9


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sam Stabler 3.1 1.2 13.6 33.2 15.6 9.2 6.4 4.3 3.0 2.8 2.0 1.5 1.4 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1
Alex Dunbar 19.5 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.2 1.9 2.8 3.1 3.6 4.1 4.5 4.5 4.1 4.9 4.4 3.9 3.9 4.1 4.0 3.5 3.3 2.8 3.0
Michael Kershaw 23.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.7 0.9 1.3 1.6 2.5 2.7 3.7 3.1 3.9 4.0 4.2 4.2 3.4 4.1 4.3 3.2 3.9 3.6
Jan Lukas Becker 23.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.1 1.4 1.8 2.2 3.0 2.9 3.5 3.5 3.8 3.9 4.5 4.3 3.6 4.0 3.4 3.5 3.7
Ryan Creech 23.9 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.5 1.8 3.0 2.7 3.3 3.7 3.8 3.9 4.2 3.9 4.2 4.4 4.1 3.6 3.2
Ryan Saunders 37.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.3 1.4 1.9
Tobias Riker 76.4




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 2.8% 100.0% 2.8 2.8 1
2 10.7% 100.0% 10.7 10.7 2
3 64.4% 64.4 3
4 14.7% 14.7 4
5 5.3% 5.3 5
6 1.7% 1.7 6
7 0.3% 0.3 7
8 0.0% 0.0 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
Total 100% 13.6% 2.8 10.7 86.4 13.6 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
North Texas 0.8% 1.0 0.0
Texas A&M 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Stephen F. Austin 0.1% 2.0 0.0
South Alabama 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 2.0