UNC-Asheville
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
1,622  Andy Thornburg JR 34:28
1,650  Caleb Smith FR 34:30
2,024  Skyler Winchester SO 35:03
2,156  Patrick Osborne JR 35:16
2,461  Nathan Kirse SO 35:53
2,522  Jared Buddington FR 36:01
2,563  Ryan Catrine JR 36:06
2,605  Brent Schouler SR 36:12
2,637  Kevin Paradise SR 36:17
2,956  Jacob Fink SO 37:30
3,162  Chilton Birdwhistell FR 39:14
National Rank #229 of 311
Southeast Region Rank #30 of 47
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 31st at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 0.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Andy Thornburg Caleb Smith Skyler Winchester Patrick Osborne Nathan Kirse Jared Buddington Ryan Catrine Brent Schouler Kevin Paradise Jacob Fink Chilton Birdwhistell
Upstate Invitational 10/04 1278 35:01 35:09 35:03 34:49 36:06 36:01 35:02 36:30 36:13 36:35 38:08
Big South Championships 11/01 1302 34:18 34:24 35:51 35:40 37:16 35:55 36:22 38:30 40:23
Southeast Region Championships 11/14 34:15 34:08





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 31.9 955 0.1 0.6 1.8 4.9 8.6 14.3 16.6



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Andy Thornburg 158.1
Caleb Smith 160.9
Skyler Winchester 191.7
Patrick Osborne 204.2
Nathan Kirse 234.9
Jared Buddington 240.5
Ryan Catrine 243.2




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 0.1% 0.1 25
26 0.6% 0.6 26
27 1.8% 1.8 27
28 4.9% 4.9 28
29 8.6% 8.6 29
30 14.3% 14.3 30
31 16.6% 16.6 31
32 15.8% 15.8 32
33 12.9% 12.9 33
34 8.8% 8.8 34
35 6.6% 6.6 35
36 4.1% 4.1 36
37 3.0% 3.0 37
38 1.5% 1.5 38
39 0.3% 0.3 39
40 0.1% 0.1 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0