Auburn
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
369  Kevin Wyss JR 32:40
586  Wesley Pectol JR 33:05
780  Mitchell Gomez JR 33:26
1,108  Coleman Churitch JR 33:55
1,165  Wesley Curles JR 33:58
1,818  Jay Spieler JR 34:50
1,910  Erik Armes FR 35:00
2,055  Andy Smith FR 35:15
2,666  Ryan Lee FR 36:55
National Rank #114 of 312
South Region Rank #11 of 40
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 10th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.3%
Top 10 in Regional 78.6%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings



Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.



RaceDateTeam Rating Kevin Wyss Wesley Pectol Mitchell Gomez Coleman Churitch Wesley Curles Jay Spieler Erik Armes Andy Smith Ryan Lee
Furman Classic 09/10 1131 32:48 33:26 34:00 33:34 35:45 34:13 34:48 36:37
Commadore Classic 09/17 1123 32:46 33:42 33:28 34:43 33:29 34:25 35:22 35:08 36:29
Louisville Classic (Gold) 10/01 1116 32:33 33:18 33:34 34:16 35:04 34:30 35:12 37:12
Alabama Crimson Classic 10/14 1039 32:21 33:06 33:22 33:30 33:14 34:04 35:08 35:24 37:21
SEC Championship 10/28 1139 32:48 32:50 34:05 34:52 36:32 35:12 36:14 35:57
South Region Championships 11/11 32:39 32:30





NCAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 9.8 302 0.3 0.7 2.9 8.3 27.3 39.4 13.1 4.7 2.1 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.2



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kevin Wyss 0.6% 188.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kevin Wyss 24.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.8 2.1 3.1 3.9 4.3 4.1 4.2 3.8 5.3 3.6 4.2 3.7 4.2 4.1
Wesley Pectol 39.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.3 1.6
Mitchell Gomez 56.2
Coleman Churitch 81.0
Wesley Curles 83.9
Jay Spieler 137.6
Erik Armes 144.8




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 0.3% 0.3 5
6 0.7% 0.7 6
7 2.9% 2.9 7
8 8.3% 8.3 8
9 27.3% 27.3 9
10 39.4% 39.4 10
11 13.1% 13.1 11
12 4.7% 4.7 12
13 2.1% 2.1 13
14 0.7% 0.7 14
15 0.5% 0.5 15
16 0.3% 0.3 16
17 0.2% 0.2 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points




At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.




Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Alabama 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Georgia Tech 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 1.0