Northeastern
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
466  Paul Duffey SR 32:52
655  Chance Lamberth FR 33:13
730  Dan Romano SO 33:21
912  Michael Potter SO 33:36
1,116  Robert Macon SR 33:55
1,616  Tucker McNinch SO 34:34
1,765  Dan Paiva SO 34:46
1,787  Carmeron Dickson FR 34:48
1,832  Craig Hammond SR 34:51
1,872  Jay Navin JR 34:55
1,873  Patrick Cunningham SR 34:56
2,256  Luke Novak FR 35:40
National Rank #123 of 312
Northeast Region Rank #17 of 41
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 14th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 5.3%
Top 20 in Regional 95.9%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Paul Duffey Chance Lamberth Dan Romano Michael Potter Robert Macon Tucker McNinch Dan Paiva Carmeron Dickson Craig Hammond Jay Navin Patrick Cunningham
Coast-to-Coast Battle in Beantown 09/16 1275 34:55 34:51 34:14
Roy Griak Invitational 09/24 1045 32:16 33:33 33:27 33:26 34:16 35:21
NEICAAA Championship 10/08 1051 32:54 33:06 33:02 33:58 33:34 34:51
Colonial Athletic Conference 10/29 1094 32:48 33:18 33:03 33:34 34:09 34:28 34:54 34:45 35:33 35:03 34:44
Northeast Region Championships 11/11 1103 32:58 32:58 33:45 33:12 34:48 35:20 34:28





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 14.9 468 0.1 0.5 1.3 3.5 5.9 7.5 12.0 16.1 15.8 11.5 9.5 5.8 4.7 2.1 1.2 1.1 0.5 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Paul Duffey 0.3% 167.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Paul Duffey 51.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.6
Chance Lamberth 74.4
Dan Romano 83.5
Michael Potter 104.1
Robert Macon 128.9
Tucker McNinch 181.3
Dan Paiva 193.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 0.1% 0.1 7
8 0.5% 0.5 8
9 1.3% 1.3 9
10 3.5% 3.5 10
11 5.9% 5.9 11
12 7.5% 7.5 12
13 12.0% 12.0 13
14 16.1% 16.1 14
15 15.8% 15.8 15
16 11.5% 11.5 16
17 9.5% 9.5 17
18 5.8% 5.8 18
19 4.7% 4.7 19
20 2.1% 2.1 20
21 1.2% 1.2 21
22 1.1% 1.1 22
23 0.5% 0.5 23
24 0.8% 0.8 24
25 0.3% 0.3 25
26 0.3% 0.3 26
27 0.1% 0.1 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Brown 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 1.0