Texas
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
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RankNameGradeRating
31  Marielle Hall JR 19:36
44  Sara Sutherland JR 19:40
225  Megan Siebert JR 20:25
355  Laleh Mojtabaeezamani SR 20:42
585  Brittany Marches JR 21:04
588  Anne Jones SR 21:05
741  Jessica Harper SO 21:16
809  Kendall Howen FR 21:21
875  Jenna Read SO 21:24
1,210  Claire Andrews FR 21:48
1,385  Marissa Lee SO 21:59
1,589  Alaina Perez FR 22:12
2,246  Melissa Mahoney SR 22:55
2,814  Marissa Pekarek FR 23:40
National Rank #26 of 339
South Central Region Rank #2 of 34
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 96.4%
Most Likely Finish 28th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.9%
Top 20 at Nationals 29.8%


Regional Champion 12.8%
Top 5 in Regional 100.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings



Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.



RaceDateTeam Rating Marielle Hall Sara Sutherland Megan Siebert Laleh Mojtabaeezamani Brittany Marches Anne Jones Jessica Harper Kendall Howen Jenna Read Claire Andrews Marissa Lee
Grass Routes Run Festival 09/29 932 20:25 20:46 20:36 21:10 20:58 21:12 21:20 21:34 21:55 21:52
Pre-Nationals Meet (Red) 10/13 423 19:35 19:27 20:14 20:22 21:25 20:20 20:53
Pre-Nationals Meet (Black) 10/13 1211 21:23 21:10 21:45 22:05
Big 12 Championships 10/27 665 19:41 19:29 20:35 21:39 20:59 21:10 21:45 21:06 21:31 21:49
South Central Region Championships 11/09 581 19:32 19:36 20:29 20:24 21:16 21:24 21:18
NCAA Championship 11/17 627 19:25 19:47 20:26 21:01 20:51 22:00 21:40





NCAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 96.4% 22.9 533 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.0 1.4 1.6 2.7 3.1 3.4 4.2 5.0 5.7 5.7 6.3 6.5 6.7 7.0 7.1 6.6 7.3 6.1 4.5 2.7
Region Championship 100% 2.1 75 12.8 65.4 20.3 1.3 0.1 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Marielle Hall 100% 35.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.1 1.6 1.6 1.8 1.6 2.2
Sara Sutherland 99.9% 43.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.6 1.2 1.5 1.3 1.4 1.7 1.5
Megan Siebert 96.5% 158.3
Laleh Mojtabaeezamani 96.4% 199.8
Brittany Marches 96.4% 233.7
Anne Jones 96.4% 234.4
Jessica Harper 96.4% 244.3


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Marielle Hall 1.0 53.9 29.5 8.0 4.1 2.4 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Sara Sutherland 1.4 31.5 41.7 12.2 6.2 4.0 2.2 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0
Megan Siebert 13.3 0.0 1.1 1.2 1.9 2.7 4.1 5.0 5.7 6.4 6.6 6.8 6.8 6.7 7.0 6.3 5.3 5.3 3.8 3.3 2.8 2.4 1.9 1.8 1.4
Laleh Mojtabaeezamani 22.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.5 1.8 2.3 2.8 3.6 3.9 4.9 5.1 5.3 5.5 5.5 5.0 5.3 4.8 4.7
Brittany Marches 36.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.0 0.9 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.8
Anne Jones 37.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.9 0.9 1.7 1.9 1.8
Jessica Harper 46.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 12.8% 100.0% 12.8 12.8 1
2 65.4% 100.0% 65.4 65.4 2
3 20.3% 85.1% 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.2 1.7 2.0 1.8 2.1 1.7 1.7 1.5 1.5 1.4 3.0 17.3 3
4 1.3% 70.8% 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.9 4
5 0.1% 0.1 5
6 0.0% 0.0 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
Total 100% 96.4% 12.8 65.4 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.2 1.8 2.1 2.0 2.2 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.5 3.6 78.2 18.2




Points




At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.




Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
William and Mary 95.3% 1.0 1.0
Florida 82.7% 1.0 0.8
Villanova 78.2% 1.0 0.8
Colorado 62.3% 1.0 0.6
Kentucky 11.2% 1.0 0.1
Butler 2.8% 1.0 0.0
Southern Utah 2.6% 1.0 0.0
UC Davis 1.1% 1.0 0.0
Illinois 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Tulsa 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Baylor 0.5% 2.0 0.0
West Virginia 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Clemson 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Air Force 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Boise State 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Ohio U. 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 3.4
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 8.0