Butler
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
35  Katie Clark SR 19:37
38  Mara Olson JR 19:40
97  Olivia Pratt SO 20:03
115  Lauren Wood FR 20:06
136  Kirsty Legg SR 20:11
205  Katie Good JR 20:24
518  Colleen Weatherford FR 20:59
761  Shelbi Burnett SR 21:17
1,421  Erica Carlson JR 22:00
1,899  Taylor Royalty FR 22:28
1,922  Maddie Westerhoff FR 22:30
1,980  Samantha Turley SO 22:34
2,043  Stephanie Hanagan SO 22:39
2,726  Karleen Ritchie SR 23:25
2,967  Jennifer Schrock FR 23:47
National Rank #9 of 340
Great Lakes Region Rank #3 of 33
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 99.9%
Most Likely Finish 5th at Nationals


National Champion 3.7%
Top 5 at Nationals 28.3%
Top 10 at Nationals 61.7%
Top 20 at Nationals 97.2%


Regional Champion 27.9%
Top 5 in Regional 99.9%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Katie Clark Mara Olson Olivia Pratt Lauren Wood Kirsty Legg Katie Good Colleen Weatherford Shelbi Burnett Erica Carlson Taylor Royalty Maddie Westerhoff
Roy Griak Invitational 09/28 401 19:41 19:36 20:32 20:11 19:57 21:07 21:00
Notre Dame Invitational (Gold) 10/04 1292 21:59 22:25 22:36
Pre-National Invitational (Blue) 10/19 370 19:28 19:51 20:05 20:22 19:56 21:36 21:30
Illini Open 10/25 1269 22:02 22:29 22:28
Big East Championships 11/02 414 19:45 19:40 20:00 20:21 20:19 21:15 20:39 21:19 21:56
Great Lakes Region Championships 11/15 315 19:33 19:47 19:56 19:55 20:11 20:14 20:58
NCAA Championship 11/23 288 19:39 19:30 19:54 20:06 19:58 21:24 20:47





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 99.9% 9.3 299 3.7 5.0 5.8 6.0 7.8 6.6 7.0 6.6 6.7 6.5 6.3 5.5 4.9 4.2 3.5 3.3 2.7 2.2 1.8 1.2 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Region Championship 100% 2.2 71 27.9 34.8 32.5 3.9 0.8 0.0 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Katie Clark 100% 36.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 1.0 0.8 1.0 1.4 1.2 1.6 1.9 1.4 1.5 1.8 1.9 1.6 1.7 2.1 1.7
Mara Olson 99.9% 42.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.5 1.2 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.6 1.5 1.7 1.5
Olivia Pratt 99.9% 93.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1
Lauren Wood 99.9% 102.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
Kirsty Legg 99.9% 117.2 0.0 0.0
Katie Good 99.9% 152.1
Colleen Weatherford 99.9% 228.2


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Katie Clark 4.0 14.4 13.4 12.0 10.0 8.5 7.3 6.8 5.1 4.7 3.5 3.1 2.9 2.0 1.4 1.5 1.1 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Mara Olson 5.0 9.6 11.4 10.4 9.7 8.9 8.3 6.9 6.4 5.3 4.6 4.1 2.9 2.9 2.2 1.8 1.2 1.0 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1
Olivia Pratt 16.5 0.1 0.1 0.7 0.8 1.4 1.7 2.2 2.5 3.3 3.3 3.7 4.8 4.8 5.5 6.1 6.0 6.0 5.5 5.8 5.2 4.5 3.9 3.5 3.4 2.7
Lauren Wood 18.6 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.6 1.7 1.9 2.6 2.9 3.4 4.3 4.2 5.7 5.2 5.6 5.8 5.1 5.5 4.9 4.8 5.0 3.7 3.6
Kirsty Legg 21.5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.8 1.1 1.0 1.2 1.7 2.0 2.1 2.6 3.6 3.7 4.4 5.1 5.4 6.1 5.5 5.9 5.3 4.9 4.1
Katie Good 29.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.6 1.1 0.7 1.3 1.8 2.2 2.4 2.9 3.4 4.2 4.2 3.9
Colleen Weatherford 64.5 0.0 0.0 0.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 27.9% 100.0% 27.9 27.9 1
2 34.8% 100.0% 34.8 34.8 2
3 32.5% 100.0% 30.7 1.8 0.0 0.0 32.5 3
4 3.9% 99.5% 1.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 3.9 4
5 0.8% 90.2% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.7 5
6 0.0% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 6
7 0.0% 0.0 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
Total 100% 99.9% 27.9 34.8 30.7 2.9 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 62.7 37.2




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Iowa State 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Colorado 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Minnesota 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Virginia 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Michigan 99.8% 1.0 1.0
William and Mary 95.9% 1.0 1.0
Villanova 95.1% 2.0 1.9
Oregon 92.8% 1.0 0.9
Syracuse 75.6% 1.0 0.8
Vanderbilt 73.9% 1.0 0.7
Stanford 68.7% 1.0 0.7
Penn State 54.0% 1.0 0.5
Princeton 47.8% 1.0 0.5
Arizona State 33.7% 1.0 0.3
SMU 33.5% 1.0 0.3
Kentucky 30.4% 1.0 0.3
Boise State 16.2% 1.0 0.2
Mississippi 15.0% 1.0 0.1
Georgia 6.1% 1.0 0.1
North Carolina St. 4.8% 1.0 0.0
Baylor 3.8% 1.0 0.0
Toledo 2.9% 1.0 0.0
UTSA 2.6% 1.0 0.0
Lamar 1.2% 1.0 0.0
Lipscomb 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Cal Poly 0.6% 1.0 0.0
Oklahoma State 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Southern Illinois 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Ohio State 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Tulsa 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Eastern Kentucky 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Kansas 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Portland 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Weber State 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 13.5
Minimum 7.0
Maximum 18.0