Providence
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
3  Emily Sisson SR 19:10
14  Sarah Collins SO 19:24
24  Laura Nagel SR 19:31
68  Catarina Rocha FR 19:52
118  Grace Thek SR 20:07
581  Molly Keating SO 21:05
732  Erin Murphy SR 21:15
1,089  Bryanna Allison FR 21:38
1,192  Lauren Mullins SO 21:45
1,407  Kathleen Powell SO 21:59
1,505  Jackie McCarthy SR 22:04
1,603  Keelin Hollowood FR 22:10
1,719  Katelyn Sischo SO 22:17
1,799  Caile Kohlbrenner JR 22:22
1,892  Elizabeth DeVivo SR 22:28
2,331  Julie Solimine JR 22:57
2,945  Devyn Pryor JR 23:45
3,074  Molly McCann SR 24:00
National Rank #1 of 340
Northeast Region Rank #1 of 42
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 100.0%
Most Likely Finish 1st at Nationals


National Champion 38.4%
Top 5 at Nationals 84.9%
Top 10 at Nationals 97.2%
Top 20 at Nationals 100.0%


Regional Champion 93.5%
Top 5 in Regional 100.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Emily Sisson Sarah Collins Laura Nagel Catarina Rocha Grace Thek Molly Keating Erin Murphy Bryanna Allison Lauren Mullins Kathleen Powell Jackie McCarthy
Coast-to-Coast Battle in Beantown 09/27 377 19:23 19:42 19:31 20:06 21:41 20:53 21:29 21:45 22:00 22:14
NEICAAA New England Championship 10/12 1247 21:58 22:00
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/19 290 19:10 19:18 19:25 19:55 20:43 21:46 21:56
CCSU Mini Meet 10/25 1192 20:46 21:56 22:02
Big East Championships 11/02 149 19:01 19:10 19:32 19:37 19:58 20:58 21:36 22:04
Northeast Region Championships 11/15 220 19:19 19:21 19:36 19:53 20:09 21:06 21:13
NCAA Championship 11/23 202 19:11 19:37 19:31 19:51 19:59 21:08





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 100% 3.0 178 38.4 20.0 11.9 8.6 6.0 4.2 3.2 2.2 1.6 1.1 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Region Championship 100% 1.1 50 93.5 6.2 0.4 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Emily Sisson 100% 6.6 6.3 9.6 9.3 7.9 6.8 6.4 6.1 5.5 4.7 4.1 3.5 3.5 2.7 2.3 2.5 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.3 1.4 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.9
Sarah Collins 100% 18.8 0.3 1.0 1.9 2.3 2.6 2.6 3.3 2.9 3.7 3.3 3.2 3.1 3.1 3.4 2.7 3.0 3.0 2.6 2.7 3.0 2.3 2.5 3.0 2.4 1.8
Laura Nagel 100% 27.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 1.0 1.2 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.2 2.2 2.6 2.5 2.0 2.7 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.3 2.6 2.1
Catarina Rocha 100% 67.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5
Grace Thek 100% 105.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
Molly Keating 100% 235.1
Erin Murphy 100% 243.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Emily Sisson 2.1 11.2 35.1 27.3 14.5 6.7 2.8 1.3 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0
Sarah Collins 4.5 0.9 4.8 14.4 20.6 19.2 14.2 10.0 6.9 3.4 2.2 1.2 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Laura Nagel 5.9 0.2 1.3 5.5 11.7 17.1 16.6 14.1 10.7 7.9 5.7 3.2 2.1 1.3 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1
Catarina Rocha 12.0 0.2 0.7 2.2 4.5 6.5 8.5 10.1 9.5 8.1 7.8 6.9 6.7 5.7 4.6 3.3 3.0 2.6 2.0 1.5 1.1 1.0 0.7
Grace Thek 19.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.3 2.4 2.8 4.0 4.2 5.1 5.3 5.2 5.9 5.7 5.2 5.6 5.2 4.7 4.6 3.9 3.2
Molly Keating 74.5 0.0
Erin Murphy 86.6




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 93.5% 100.0% 93.5 93.5 1
2 6.2% 100.0% 6.2 6.2 2
3 0.4% 100.0% 0.2 0.1 0.4 3
4 0.0% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
Total 100% 100.0% 93.5 6.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.6 0.4




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Georgetown 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Iowa State 100.0% 1.0 1.0
New Mexico 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Minnesota 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Dartmouth 99.8% 1.0 1.0
Michigan State 99.7% 1.0 1.0
Butler 99.7% 1.0 1.0
Villanova 95.1% 1.0 1.0
Washington 94.2% 1.0 0.9
Oregon 92.8% 1.0 0.9
San Francisco 91.9% 1.0 0.9
Cornell 80.6% 2.0 1.6
Syracuse 75.6% 1.0 0.8
Notre Dame 74.1% 1.0 0.7
Vanderbilt 73.9% 1.0 0.7
Indiana 70.1% 1.0 0.7
Texas A&M 56.7% 1.0 0.6
Harvard 37.3% 1.0 0.4
Wisconsin 35.7% 2.0 0.7
Arizona State 33.7% 1.0 0.3
Boston College 31.0% 2.0 0.6
Florida 29.1% 1.0 0.3
BYU 9.3% 1.0 0.1
Texas 8.2% 1.0 0.1
Duke 6.3% 1.0 0.1
Georgia 6.1% 1.0 0.1
North Carolina St. 4.8% 1.0 0.0
Columbia 1.5% 1.0 0.0
UC Davis 0.3% 1.0 0.0
New Hampshire 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Weber State 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Stony Brook 0.0% 2.0 0.0
Northwestern 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 18.5
Minimum 11.0
Maximum 25.0