Baylor
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
8  Rachel Johnson SR 19:07
73  Maggie Montoya SO 19:56
150  Alex Davis SO 20:14
269  Mariah Kelly SR 20:33
419  Ann Marie Dunlap FR 20:49
461  Peyton Thomas SO 20:54
842  Madison Zimmerman FR 21:22
1,313  Bree Schrader SR 21:52
1,587  Erika Overbeck SR 22:08
1,683  Gretta Smith JR 22:14
1,947  Sarah Guhl SR 22:31
2,013  Courtney Cox SR 22:35
2,016  Sofia Pitouli FR 22:35
2,039  Rachel Covey FR 22:37
2,189  Lauren Heirholzer 22:46
2,232  Lauren Hierholzer SR 22:49
2,367  Alexis Reamer SO 22:58
2,756  Lauren Stevens SR 23:31
2,806  Haleigh Blackwell JR 23:36
2,841  Jenna Henrich JR 23:40
2,909  Moriah Dadson FR 23:46
3,016  Aubree Miller FR 23:58
3,177  Helena Van Loan FR 24:20
3,328  Catherine Zabilski JR 24:45
3,511  Abbie Greenwell SR 25:39
3,541  Annie Jaska SO 25:47
3,580  Caroline Cochran FR 26:02
3,691  Mary Woodall SO 26:57
National Rank #18 of 341
South Central Region Rank #2 of 35
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 97.3%
Most Likely Finish 17th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.4%
Top 10 at Nationals 9.8%
Top 20 at Nationals 66.0%


Regional Champion 0.8%
Top 5 in Regional 100.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Rachel Johnson Maggie Montoya Alex Davis Mariah Kelly Ann Marie Dunlap Peyton Thomas Madison Zimmerman Bree Schrader Erika Overbeck Gretta Smith Sarah Guhl
Roy Griak Invitational 09/27 460 18:42 19:44 20:12 20:27 20:35 20:39 22:01
Chile Pepper Festival 10/04 1272 22:11 22:11 22:31
HBU Invitational 10/10 1226 20:58 21:58 22:16
ISU Pre-National Invitational (Blue) 10/18 565 19:06 20:11 19:55 20:40 20:57 21:09 21:47
Big 12 Championship 11/01 566 19:39 19:56 20:25 20:18 20:52 21:02 21:29 21:52 22:14
South Central Region Championships 11/14 568 19:32 20:05 20:13 20:30 20:48 20:57 21:45
NCAA Championship 11/22 583 18:55 19:45 20:25 20:56 20:45 21:35





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 97.3% 17.7 460 0.2 0.2 0.8 1.1 1.8 2.5 3.2 3.8 4.2 5.1 6.0 5.7 6.3 6.6 6.4 6.2 5.9 5.6 5.6 4.4 3.9 3.4 2.6 2.3 1.4 1.0 0.6 0.4
Region Championship 100% 2.1 81 0.8 88.1 9.3 1.7 0.1 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Rachel Johnson 100% 8.1 1.3 4.1 5.7 7.0 7.3 8.4 8.1 7.7 6.3 6.6 5.6 5.4 4.6 3.8 3.0 2.4 1.9 1.4 1.2 1.2 1.1 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.5
Maggie Montoya 97.7% 72.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.5
Alex Davis 97.3% 123.2 0.0 0.0
Mariah Kelly 97.3% 172.6
Ann Marie Dunlap 97.3% 208.7
Peyton Thomas 97.3% 215.9
Madison Zimmerman 97.3% 246.6


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Rachel Johnson 1.1 46.0 42.2 8.2 2.4 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
Maggie Montoya 9.2 0.2 2.5 4.4 5.1 7.0 7.9 10.2 10.2 10.3 10.1 8.8 7.1 5.4 3.7 2.8 1.7 1.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1
Alex Davis 14.8 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.7 2.5 3.8 4.7 7.5 9.0 10.2 10.0 9.6 8.5 6.6 5.6 4.4 3.5 2.5 2.1 1.4 1.1
Mariah Kelly 22.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.0 1.8 3.1 4.1 4.6 5.6 6.5 6.8 6.5 6.9 6.3 5.9 6.2
Ann Marie Dunlap 31.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.4 1.8 1.6 2.4 2.5 3.8 4.1
Peyton Thomas 34.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.7 1.1 1.4 1.6 2.4 2.5
Madison Zimmerman 58.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.8% 100.0% 0.8 0.8 1
2 88.1% 100.0% 88.1 88.1 2
3 9.3% 77.4% 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.9 1.0 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.7 2.1 7.2 3
4 1.7% 71.4% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.2 4
5 0.1% 25.0% 0.0 0.1 0.0 5
6 0.0% 0.0 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
Total 100% 97.3% 0.8 88.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.5 1.1 1.1 0.8 1.0 0.9 0.6 0.5 0.8 2.7 88.9 8.4




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Vanderbilt 99.9% 1.0 1.0
Minnesota 98.1% 1.0 1.0
Arizona State 64.7% 1.0 0.6
BYU 42.7% 1.0 0.4
Penn State 17.1% 1.0 0.2
Tulsa 7.4% 1.0 0.1
Lamar 7.3% 1.0 0.1
Oklahoma State 5.1% 1.0 0.1
Bradley 4.7% 1.0 0.0
Yale 2.9% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 2.0% 2.0 0.0
Lipscomb 1.0% 1.0 0.0
California 0.7% 2.0 0.0
Wyoming 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Rice 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Illinois 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Kansas State 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Texas A&M 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Colorado St. 0.0% 2.0 0.0
Butler 0.0% 2.0 0.0
Weber State 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Utah 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Oklahoma 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Elon 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Furman 0.0% 1.0 0.0
South Dakota 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Connecticut 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Eastern Kentucky 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 3.6
Minimum 2.0
Maximum 11.0