Stanford
Men
-
Women
2013
-
2014 -
2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
Rank | Name | Grade | Rating |
12 |
Elise Cranny |
FR |
19:17 |
117 |
Emma Fisher |
FR |
20:07 |
120 |
Sophie Chase |
SO |
20:08 |
134 |
Molly McNamara |
SR |
20:12 |
179 |
Rebecca Mehra |
JR |
20:20 |
201 |
Claire Howlett |
FR |
20:23 |
255 |
Vanessa Fraser |
SO |
20:32 |
310 |
Claudia Saunders |
JR |
20:37 |
315 |
Julia Maxwell |
FR |
20:38 |
329 |
Abbie McNulty |
FR |
20:40 |
489 |
Danielle Katz |
SO |
20:55 |
724 |
Anna Laman |
FR |
21:14 |
1,072 |
Amy Weissenbach |
SO |
21:38 |
1,930 |
Jaye Buchbinder |
SR |
22:30 |
|
National Rank |
#11 of 341 |
West Region Rank |
#2 of 39 |
Chance of Advancing to Nationals |
99.5% |
Most Likely Finish |
8th at Nationals |
National Champion |
0.1% |
Top 5 at Nationals |
11.9% |
Top 10 at Nationals |
49.6% |
Top 20 at Nationals |
93.1% |
Regional Champion |
23.4% |
Top 5 in Regional |
98.4% |
Top 10 in Regional |
100.0% |
Top 20 in Regional |
100.0% |
|
Race Performance Ratings
Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.
Race | Date | Team Rating | |
Elise Cranny |
Emma Fisher |
Sophie Chase |
Molly McNamara |
Rebecca Mehra |
Claire Howlett |
Vanessa Fraser |
Claudia Saunders |
Julia Maxwell |
Abbie McNulty |
Danielle Katz |
Stanford Invitational |
09/27 |
786 |
|
20:22 |
|
20:22 |
20:31 |
|
20:48 |
|
20:39 |
|
21:17 |
Washington Invitational |
10/04 |
508 |
19:40 |
20:11 |
20:12 |
|
20:15 |
20:28 |
|
20:50 |
|
20:26 |
|
Wisconsin adidas Invitational |
10/17 |
372 |
19:06 |
20:13 |
19:57 |
20:16 |
20:01 |
20:13 |
|
|
|
20:43 |
|
Bronco Invitational |
10/18 |
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
20:24 |
|
|
20:38 |
Pac-12 Championships |
10/31 |
399 |
19:29 |
19:59 |
20:13 |
19:59 |
20:16 |
20:47 |
20:20 |
|
|
20:42 |
|
West Region Championships |
11/14 |
386 |
19:02 |
20:04 |
19:57 |
19:49 |
20:54 |
|
20:40 |
|
|
20:39 |
|
NCAA Championship |
11/22 |
521 |
19:14 |
20:00 |
20:21 |
20:35 |
|
20:40 |
20:26 |
|
|
20:48 |
|
NCAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Ave Finish | Ave Score |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
26 |
27 |
28 |
29 |
30 |
31 |
NCAA Championship |
99.5% |
11.4 |
357 |
0.1 |
0.7 |
2.1 |
3.8 |
5.2 |
7.3 |
7.1 |
8.2 |
7.9 |
7.1 |
6.3 |
5.8 |
5.8 |
4.9 |
4.9 |
4.1 |
3.7 |
3.2 |
2.7 |
2.2 |
1.6 |
1.3 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
Region Championship |
100% |
2.4 |
106 |
23.4 |
36.0 |
24.7 |
10.6 |
3.7 |
1.2 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
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Individual Results
NCAA Championship | Advances to Round | Ave Finish |
Finishing Place |
---|
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Elise Cranny |
100% |
13.2 |
0.3 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
2.6 |
3.1 |
3.6 |
4.1 |
5.1 |
6.1 |
5.8 |
5.5 |
4.6 |
5.3 |
5.6 |
4.4 |
4.6 |
3.8 |
3.7 |
3.1 |
3.1 |
2.3 |
2.0 |
1.3 |
1.6 |
1.5 |
Emma Fisher |
99.5% |
103.9 |
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0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
Sophie Chase |
99.5% |
106.1 |
|
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0.0 |
|
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0.0 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
Molly McNamara |
99.5% |
116.2 |
|
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0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Rebecca Mehra |
99.5% |
140.6 |
|
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0.0 |
Claire Howlett |
99.5% |
148.5 |
|
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Vanessa Fraser |
99.5% |
171.5 |
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Regional | Ave Finish |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Elise Cranny |
2.9 |
4.9 |
13.0 |
37.0 |
20.7 |
12.2 |
6.7 |
2.9 |
1.1 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
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Emma Fisher |
21.4 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.1 |
1.8 |
2.7 |
3.1 |
3.1 |
2.9 |
3.3 |
4.1 |
3.9 |
3.2 |
3.5 |
3.8 |
3.5 |
3.7 |
4.1 |
3.8 |
3.6 |
3.4 |
3.6 |
Sophie Chase |
22.2 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.8 |
2.2 |
2.3 |
2.8 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
3.3 |
3.2 |
4.0 |
3.7 |
3.6 |
3.6 |
4.0 |
3.6 |
3.5 |
3.7 |
3.6 |
3.9 |
Molly McNamara |
25.3 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
1.6 |
1.9 |
2.2 |
2.5 |
2.4 |
2.7 |
3.1 |
2.9 |
3.3 |
2.9 |
3.6 |
3.6 |
3.9 |
3.8 |
3.9 |
Rebecca Mehra |
33.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
2.0 |
2.4 |
2.5 |
2.2 |
2.7 |
2.9 |
Claire Howlett |
36.5 |
|
|
|
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|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.0 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
1.7 |
2.0 |
Vanessa Fraser |
46.1 |
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0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
NCAA Championship Selection Detail
|
|
|
|
Total |
|
Region Finish |
Chance of Finishing |
Chance of Advancing |
Auto |
|
At Large Selection |
|
No Adv |
Auto |
At Large |
Region Finish |
1 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
1 |
23.4% |
100.0% |
23.4 |
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23.4 |
|
1 |
2 |
36.0% |
100.0% |
|
36.0 |
|
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|
36.0 |
|
2 |
3 |
24.7% |
100.0% |
| |
16.0 |
6.5 |
1.7 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
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24.7 |
3 |
4 |
10.6% |
99.8% |
| |
|
1.2 |
1.8 |
2.2 |
2.0 |
1.4 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
10.6 |
4 |
5 |
3.7% |
97.3% |
| |
|
|
0.2 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
3.6 |
5 |
6 |
1.2% |
89.8% |
| |
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|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
1.1 |
6 |
7 |
0.3% |
41.2% |
| |
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0.1 |
|
0.0 |
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0.0 |
|
0.2 |
|
0.1 |
7 |
8 |
0.0% |
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| |
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0.0 |
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8 |
9 |
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9 |
10 |
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10 |
11 |
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11 |
12 |
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12 |
13 |
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13 |
14 |
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14 |
15 |
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15 |
16 |
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16 |
17 |
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17 |
18 |
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18 |
19 |
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19 |
20 |
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20 |
21 |
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21 |
22 |
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22 |
23 |
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23 |
24 |
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24 |
25 |
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25 |
26 |
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26 |
27 |
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27 |
28 |
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28 |
29 |
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29 |
30 |
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30 |
31 |
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31 |
32 |
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32 |
33 |
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33 |
34 |
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34 |
35 |
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35 |
36 |
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36 |
37 |
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37 |
38 |
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38 |
39 |
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39 |
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Total |
100% |
99.5% |
23.4 |
36.0 |
16.0 |
7.7 |
3.7 |
3.2 |
2.7 |
2.0 |
1.4 |
0.9 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
59.4 |
40.2 |
Points
At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection.
Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.
Received By Beating | Chance Received | Average If >0 | Average |
Florida State |
100.0% |
1.0 |
1.0 |
Vanderbilt |
99.9% |
1.0 |
1.0 |
North Carolina |
99.2% |
1.0 |
1.0 |
Colorado |
99.1% |
1.0 |
1.0 |
Virginia |
98.7% |
1.0 |
1.0 |
Minnesota |
98.1% |
1.0 |
1.0 |
Boise State |
97.6% |
1.0 |
1.0 |
Washington |
90.1% |
3.0 |
2.7 |
Iona |
84.9% |
1.0 |
0.8 |
Ohio State |
84.5% |
1.0 |
0.8 |
Syracuse |
82.3% |
1.0 |
0.8 |
Toledo |
67.0% |
1.0 |
0.7 |
Arizona State |
64.7% |
2.0 |
1.3 |
UCLA |
62.5% |
3.0 |
1.9 |
Boston College |
55.0% |
1.0 |
0.6 |
Providence |
53.2% |
1.0 |
0.5 |
William and Mary |
52.5% |
1.0 |
0.5 |
Notre Dame |
49.0% |
1.0 |
0.5 |
Dartmouth |
48.8% |
1.0 |
0.5 |
BYU |
42.7% |
1.0 |
0.4 |
SMU |
18.3% |
1.0 |
0.2 |
Columbia |
3.0% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Cornell |
1.3% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Harvard |
1.1% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
California |
0.7% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Florida |
0.7% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Portland |
0.4% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Indiana |
0.4% |
2.0 |
0.0 |
Wyoming |
0.2% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Villanova |
0.1% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Northern Arizona |
0.1% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Texas A&M |
0.1% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Oklahoma |
0.0% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Utah |
0.0% |
2.0 |
0.0 |
Weber State |
0.0% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
|
Total |
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|
19.3 |
|
Minimum |
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|
10.0 |
Maximum |
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24.0 |