Charlotte
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
930  Morgan Richards JR 21:28
967  Jen Molke SR 21:31
1,544  Taylor Carcella SR 22:06
1,917  Kristen Stout JR 22:29
1,975  Ashleigh Handchen JR 22:32
2,266  Chelsea Matson JR 22:51
2,467  Lauren Pollard SO 23:06
2,927  Caragh MacDermott JR 23:48
National Rank #207 of 341
Southeast Region Rank #24 of 49
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 23rd at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 3.3%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Morgan Richards Jen Molke Taylor Carcella Kristen Stout Ashleigh Handchen Chelsea Matson Lauren Pollard Caragh MacDermott
Charlotte Invitational 09/26 1243 21:29 21:41 22:05 22:17 22:19 22:49 22:40 24:00
Conference USA Championships 11/01 1255 21:36 21:32 22:43 22:24 22:43 23:21
3 Stripe Invite 11/08 1624 23:48 23:48 25:19 23:32
Southeast Region Championships 11/14 1227 21:16 21:22 22:02 22:35 22:31 23:10





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 24.5 737 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 2.3 8.2 12.3 14.4 14.2 14.2 11.7 8.0 6.6 4.1 2.1 0.7



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Morgan Richards 98.4
Jen Molke 103.4
Taylor Carcella 153.4
Kristen Stout 188.1
Ashleigh Handchen 193.4
Chelsea Matson 218.9
Lauren Pollard 234.5




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 0.0% 0.0 16
17 0.1% 0.1 17
18 0.2% 0.2 18
19 0.8% 0.8 19
20 2.3% 2.3 20
21 8.2% 8.2 21
22 12.3% 12.3 22
23 14.4% 14.4 23
24 14.2% 14.2 24
25 14.2% 14.2 25
26 11.7% 11.7 26
27 8.0% 8.0 27
28 6.6% 6.6 28
29 4.1% 4.1 29
30 2.1% 2.1 30
31 0.7% 0.7 31
32 0.1% 0.1 32
33 0.0% 0.0 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
49 49
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0