Illinois
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
277  Alyssa Schneider JR 20:34
506  Amanda Fox JR 20:57
579  Colette Falsey JR 21:03
623  Hanna Winter SO 21:06
901  Britten Petrey JR 21:26
1,127  Chloe Schmidt SR 21:41
1,262  Denise Branch FR 21:50
1,321  Valerie Bobart SO 21:53
1,696  Megan Lemersal SO 22:15
1,756  Samantha Lapp FR 22:19
1,761  Nicole Choquette FR 22:19
2,078  Lindsey Rakosnik JR 22:39
2,224  Courtney Ackerman FR 22:48
2,661  Kim Seger SO 23:21
National Rank #98 of 341
Midwest Region Rank #12 of 36
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.1%
Most Likely Finish 8th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 8.9%
Top 10 in Regional 61.5%
Top 20 in Regional 99.9%


Race Performance Ratings



Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.



RaceDateTeam Rating Alyssa Schneider Amanda Fox Colette Falsey Hanna Winter Britten Petrey Chloe Schmidt Denise Branch Valerie Bobart Megan Lemersal Samantha Lapp Nicole Choquette
Roy Griak Invitational 09/27 1027 20:20 20:52 21:04 21:33 21:50 21:32 22:23
Bradley Pink Classic 10/17 1029 20:14 21:16 21:02 21:11 21:28 21:58 21:54 21:51 22:27 22:08
Illini Open 10/24 1148 20:44 21:19 21:28 21:36 21:59 22:10 22:31 22:20
Big Ten Conference Championships 11/02 1038 21:00 20:51 21:23 20:42 21:05 21:10 21:44 22:04 22:03
Midwest Region Championships 11/14 1074 20:41 20:55 21:05 21:11 21:33 21:47 21:53





NCAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.1% 29.0 702 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Region Championship 100% 9.7 317 0.1 1.0 2.8 5.0 7.6 10.7 11.8 11.4 11.1 9.8 8.3 6.7 5.3 3.4 2.5 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alyssa Schneider 0.4% 113.8
Amanda Fox 0.1% 155.5
Colette Falsey 0.1% 213.5
Hanna Winter 0.1% 192.5
Britten Petrey 0.1% 228.5
Chloe Schmidt 0.1% 240.5
Denise Branch 0.1% 241.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alyssa Schneider 27.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.6 1.8 2.1 2.3 2.9 3.0 3.2 3.1 3.1 3.5 3.7 3.6 3.7
Amanda Fox 53.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.3
Colette Falsey 62.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1
Hanna Winter 68.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
Britten Petrey 99.5
Chloe Schmidt 123.6
Denise Branch 137.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 0.1% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 2
3 1.0% 4.0% 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3
4 2.8% 2.8 4
5 5.0% 5.0 5
6 7.6% 7.6 6
7 10.7% 10.7 7
8 11.8% 11.8 8
9 11.4% 11.4 9
10 11.1% 11.1 10
11 9.8% 9.8 11
12 8.3% 8.3 12
13 6.7% 6.7 13
14 5.3% 5.3 14
15 3.4% 3.4 15
16 2.5% 2.5 16
17 1.2% 1.2 17
18 0.8% 0.8 18
19 0.4% 0.4 19
20 0.1% 0.1 20
21 0.0% 0.0 21
22 0.0% 0.0 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.1 0.0




Points




At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.




Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Weber State 0.0% 1.0 0.0
South Dakota 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 1.0