West Virginia
Men
-
Women
2013
-
2014 -
2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
Rank | Name | Grade | Rating |
19 |
Jillian Forsey |
SO |
19:27 |
32 |
Katie Gillespie |
SR |
19:40 |
140 |
Brynn Harshbarger |
FR |
20:13 |
152 |
Maggie Drazba |
FR |
20:15 |
192 |
Sydney Scott |
JR |
20:21 |
302 |
Millie Paladino |
FR |
20:37 |
333 |
Kelly Williams |
JR |
20:40 |
848 |
Paige Szabat |
SO |
21:23 |
922 |
Rachel Faulds |
FR |
21:28 |
1,150 |
Renee Maisonneuve |
FR |
21:42 |
1,771 |
Lydia Martinelli |
SR |
22:20 |
1,781 |
Brianna Kerekes |
SO |
22:21 |
2,327 |
Allie Diehl |
FR |
22:55 |
|
National Champion |
0.2% |
Top 5 at Nationals |
13.4% |
Top 10 at Nationals |
53.8% |
Top 20 at Nationals |
94.2% |
Regional Champion |
15.7% |
Top 5 in Regional |
100.0% |
Top 10 in Regional |
100.0% |
Top 20 in Regional |
100.0% |
|
Race Performance Ratings
Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.
Race | Date | Team Rating | |
Jillian Forsey |
Katie Gillespie |
Brynn Harshbarger |
Maggie Drazba |
Sydney Scott |
Millie Paladino |
Kelly Williams |
Paige Szabat |
Rachel Faulds |
Renee Maisonneuve |
Lydia Martinelli |
Greater Louisville Classic (Blue) |
10/04 |
|
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21:29 |
|
22:34 |
Greater Louisville Classic (Gold) |
10/04 |
631 |
19:53 |
20:15 |
|
20:18 |
20:37 |
20:35 |
20:58 |
21:28 |
|
21:41 |
|
Penn State National |
10/11 |
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22:03 |
Wisconsin adidas Invitational |
10/17 |
323 |
19:10 |
19:36 |
20:17 |
20:40 |
20:09 |
19:54 |
20:41 |
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Big 12 Championship |
11/01 |
513 |
20:18 |
19:42 |
20:22 |
20:03 |
20:24 |
20:49 |
20:32 |
21:18 |
21:17 |
21:42 |
|
Mid-Atlantic Region Championships |
11/14 |
414 |
19:39 |
19:43 |
20:03 |
20:18 |
20:21 |
|
20:50 |
|
21:41 |
|
|
NCAA Championship |
11/22 |
331 |
19:15 |
19:27 |
20:08 |
20:04 |
20:19 |
20:53 |
20:28 |
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|
NCAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Ave Finish | Ave Score |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
26 |
27 |
28 |
29 |
30 |
31 |
NCAA Championship |
100.0% |
10.9 |
349 |
0.2 |
1.0 |
2.0 |
3.9 |
6.3 |
6.4 |
8.8 |
9.4 |
8.2 |
7.6 |
7.0 |
6.6 |
5.3 |
4.3 |
4.1 |
3.4 |
3.1 |
2.8 |
2.3 |
1.4 |
1.8 |
1.2 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
Region Championship |
100% |
1.9 |
56 |
15.7 |
76.1 |
7.2 |
0.9 |
0.0 |
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Individual Results
NCAA Championship | Advances to Round | Ave Finish |
Finishing Place |
---|
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Jillian Forsey |
100% |
21.2 |
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.8 |
2.2 |
2.6 |
2.9 |
3.4 |
3.5 |
3.5 |
3.8 |
4.2 |
3.8 |
3.5 |
3.5 |
3.2 |
3.3 |
3.2 |
2.6 |
2.6 |
3.1 |
Katie Gillespie |
100% |
37.1 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
1.7 |
1.9 |
1.8 |
2.2 |
2.1 |
2.4 |
2.0 |
2.3 |
Brynn Harshbarger |
100.0% |
120.7 |
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0.0 |
Maggie Drazba |
100.0% |
124.9 |
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0.0 |
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0.0 |
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Sydney Scott |
100.0% |
143.9 |
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Millie Paladino |
100.0% |
182.5 |
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Kelly Williams |
100.0% |
191.2 |
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Regional | Ave Finish |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Jillian Forsey |
1.6 |
32.9 |
27.5 |
19.2 |
9.7 |
5.0 |
2.5 |
1.3 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
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Katie Gillespie |
3.6 |
3.8 |
12.4 |
20.0 |
22.9 |
14.1 |
9.4 |
6.0 |
3.9 |
2.5 |
2.0 |
1.1 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
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Brynn Harshbarger |
13.9 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.3 |
2.3 |
3.8 |
4.0 |
5.5 |
5.7 |
6.4 |
6.8 |
7.1 |
7.4 |
6.6 |
6.4 |
6.2 |
5.7 |
4.8 |
3.8 |
3.3 |
2.7 |
2.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
Maggie Drazba |
14.6 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.9 |
2.3 |
2.9 |
3.5 |
4.3 |
5.3 |
5.5 |
6.9 |
7.2 |
7.1 |
6.5 |
6.4 |
6.4 |
5.9 |
4.5 |
5.1 |
3.5 |
3.5 |
2.5 |
2.0 |
1.4 |
Sydney Scott |
17.9 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.5 |
2.1 |
2.9 |
3.2 |
4.1 |
4.5 |
5.3 |
5.9 |
5.6 |
6.7 |
6.8 |
6.4 |
6.2 |
5.3 |
5.3 |
4.2 |
3.8 |
3.2 |
Millie Paladino |
26.7 |
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0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
2.0 |
2.4 |
3.1 |
3.4 |
4.5 |
4.6 |
5.2 |
4.8 |
5.5 |
Kelly Williams |
29.0 |
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0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.6 |
2.0 |
3.1 |
3.1 |
4.1 |
3.9 |
4.4 |
4.6 |
NCAA Championship Selection Detail
|
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|
Total |
|
Region Finish |
Chance of Finishing |
Chance of Advancing |
Auto |
|
At Large Selection |
|
No Adv |
Auto |
At Large |
Region Finish |
1 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
1 |
15.7% |
100.0% |
15.7 |
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15.7 |
|
1 |
2 |
76.1% |
100.0% |
|
76.1 |
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76.1 |
|
2 |
3 |
7.2% |
100.0% |
| |
5.0 |
1.8 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
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7.2 |
3 |
4 |
0.9% |
100.0% |
| |
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0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.9 |
4 |
5 |
0.0% |
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0.0 |
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5 |
6 |
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| |
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6 |
7 |
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7 |
8 |
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8 |
9 |
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9 |
10 |
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10 |
11 |
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11 |
12 |
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12 |
13 |
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13 |
14 |
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14 |
15 |
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15 |
16 |
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16 |
17 |
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17 |
18 |
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18 |
19 |
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19 |
20 |
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20 |
21 |
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21 |
22 |
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22 |
23 |
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23 |
24 |
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24 |
25 |
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25 |
26 |
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26 |
27 |
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27 |
28 |
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28 |
29 |
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29 |
30 |
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30 |
31 |
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31 |
32 |
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32 |
33 |
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33 |
34 |
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34 |
35 |
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35 |
36 |
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36 |
37 |
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37 |
38 |
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38 |
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Total |
100% |
100.0% |
15.7 |
76.1 |
5.0 |
2.2 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
91.9 |
8.1 |
Points
At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection.
Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.
Received By Beating | Chance Received | Average If >0 | Average |
New Mexico |
100.0% |
1.0 |
1.0 |
Florida State |
100.0% |
1.0 |
1.0 |
Vanderbilt |
99.9% |
1.0 |
1.0 |
Stanford |
99.3% |
1.0 |
1.0 |
North Carolina |
99.2% |
1.0 |
1.0 |
Virginia |
98.7% |
1.0 |
1.0 |
Minnesota |
98.1% |
1.0 |
1.0 |
Boise State |
97.6% |
1.0 |
1.0 |
Baylor |
96.5% |
1.0 |
1.0 |
Washington |
90.1% |
1.0 |
0.9 |
Iona |
84.9% |
1.0 |
0.8 |
Ohio State |
84.5% |
1.0 |
0.8 |
Syracuse |
82.3% |
1.0 |
0.8 |
Toledo |
67.0% |
1.0 |
0.7 |
Arizona State |
64.7% |
1.0 |
0.6 |
UCLA |
62.5% |
1.0 |
0.6 |
Boston College |
55.0% |
1.0 |
0.6 |
Providence |
53.2% |
1.0 |
0.5 |
William and Mary |
52.5% |
1.0 |
0.5 |
Notre Dame |
49.0% |
1.0 |
0.5 |
Dartmouth |
48.8% |
1.0 |
0.5 |
BYU |
42.7% |
1.0 |
0.4 |
SMU |
18.3% |
1.0 |
0.2 |
Oklahoma State |
5.1% |
1.0 |
0.1 |
Virginia Tech |
4.1% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Columbia |
3.0% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Missouri |
2.0% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Cornell |
1.3% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Harvard |
1.1% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Lipscomb |
1.0% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Florida |
0.7% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Indiana |
0.4% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Texas A&M |
0.1% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Kansas State |
0.1% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Mid. Tenn. State |
0.0% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Oklahoma |
0.0% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Weber State |
0.0% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Eastern Kentucky |
0.0% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
|
Total |
|
|
17.6 |
|
Minimum |
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12.0 |
Maximum |
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|
21.0 |