Jacksonville
Men
-
Women
2015
-
2016 -
2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
Rank | Name | Grade | Rating |
432 |
Nora McUmber |
SO |
20:49 |
819 |
Caitlin Marino |
SR |
21:19 |
953 |
Katy Solis |
SR |
21:29 |
1,151 |
Anna Karaseva |
SO |
21:42 |
1,760 |
Kyla Siemens |
JR |
22:18 |
2,142 |
Mary Jeanne Assinzo |
FR |
22:43 |
|
National Rank |
#145 of 344 |
South Region Rank |
#18 of 47 |
Chance of Advancing to Nationals |
0.0% |
Most Likely Finish |
17th at Regional |
National Champion |
0.0% |
Top 5 at Nationals |
0.0% |
Top 10 at Nationals |
0.0% |
Top 20 at Nationals |
0.0% |
Regional Champion |
0.0% |
Top 5 in Regional |
0.0% |
Top 10 in Regional |
2.0% |
Top 20 in Regional |
97.3% |
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Race Performance Ratings
Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.
Race | Date | Team Rating | |
Nora McUmber |
Caitlin Marino |
Katy Solis |
Anna Karaseva |
Kyla Siemens |
Mary Jeanne Assinzo |
Gator Cross Country Invitational |
09/24 |
1096 |
20:23 |
21:22 |
21:40 |
21:23 |
21:46 |
24:10 |
FSU Invitational |
10/07 |
1170 |
20:52 |
21:36 |
21:29 |
21:20 |
22:16 |
22:40 |
ASUN Championship |
10/29 |
1155 |
20:46 |
21:16 |
21:19 |
21:57 |
22:45 |
22:17 |
South Region Championships |
11/11 |
1183 |
20:59 |
21:10 |
21:22 |
22:14 |
23:17 |
22:35 |
NCAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Ave Finish | Ave Score |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
26 |
27 |
28 |
29 |
30 |
31 |
NCAA Championship |
0.0% |
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Region Championship |
100% |
15.8 |
459 |
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0.1 |
0.1 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
4.1 |
5.5 |
8.1 |
11.5 |
14.1 |
13.6 |
14.2 |
10.9 |
8.8 |
4.7 |
1.9 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
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NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results
Regional | Ave Finish |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Nora McUmber |
40.5 |
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0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
1.5 |
1.4 |
1.8 |
Caitlin Marino |
76.4 |
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0.1 |
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0.1 |
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Katy Solis |
89.1 |
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Anna Karaseva |
103.0 |
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Kyla Siemens |
146.7 |
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Mary Jeanne Assinzo |
181.1 |
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NCAA Championship Selection Detail
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Total |
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Region Finish |
Chance of Finishing |
Chance of Advancing |
Auto |
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At Large Selection |
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No Adv |
Auto |
At Large |
Region Finish |
1 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
1 |
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2 |
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3 |
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3 |
4 |
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4 |
5 |
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5 |
6 |
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6 |
7 |
0.1% |
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0.1 |
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7 |
8 |
0.1% |
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0.1 |
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8 |
9 |
0.7% |
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0.7 |
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9 |
10 |
1.1% |
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1.1 |
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10 |
11 |
4.1% |
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4.1 |
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11 |
12 |
5.5% |
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5.5 |
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12 |
13 |
8.1% |
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8.1 |
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13 |
14 |
11.5% |
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11.5 |
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14 |
15 |
14.1% |
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14.1 |
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15 |
16 |
13.6% |
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13.6 |
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16 |
17 |
14.2% |
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14.2 |
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17 |
18 |
10.9% |
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10.9 |
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18 |
19 |
8.8% |
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8.8 |
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19 |
20 |
4.7% |
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4.7 |
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20 |
21 |
1.9% |
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1.9 |
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21 |
22 |
0.7% |
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0.7 |
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22 |
23 |
0.2% |
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0.2 |
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23 |
24 |
0.1% |
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0.1 |
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24 |
25 |
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25 |
26 |
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26 |
27 |
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27 |
28 |
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28 |
29 |
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29 |
30 |
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30 |
31 |
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31 |
32 |
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32 |
33 |
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33 |
34 |
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34 |
35 |
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35 |
36 |
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36 |
37 |
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37 |
38 |
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38 |
39 |
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39 |
40 |
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40 |
41 |
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41 |
42 |
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42 |
43 |
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43 |
44 |
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44 |
45 |
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45 |
46 |
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46 |
47 |
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47 |
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Total |
100% |
0.0% |
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100.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Points
At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection.
Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.
Received By Beating | Chance Received | Average If >0 | Average |
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Total |
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0.0 |
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Minimum |
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0.0 |
Maximum |
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0.0 |