Manhattan
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
1,054  Lisa Fajardo SO 21:35
1,353  Caroline Ferri SO 21:53
1,629  Kaitlyn Smith JR 22:10
1,680  Alexa Roda JR 22:14
1,912  Kelly Gorman JR 22:28
2,238  Keeley Hogan SO 22:49
2,395  Samantha Hoagland SO 23:00
2,494  Erin Spadaccini SO 23:09
2,627  Caitlin Hartnett FR 23:23
2,819  Grace Ostolozaga JR 23:46
National Rank #213 of 344
Northeast Region Rank #28 of 43
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 28th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 3.9%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Lisa Fajardo Caroline Ferri Kaitlyn Smith Alexa Roda Kelly Gorman Keeley Hogan Samantha Hoagland Erin Spadaccini Caitlin Hartnett Grace Ostolozaga
Fordham University Fiasco Invitational 09/10 1255 21:51 21:43 22:23 22:32 22:46 22:36 23:36 25:20
Iona Br. Paddy Doyle Meet of Champions 09/16 1272 22:41 21:55 22:22 22:36 22:38 23:12
Father Leeber Invitational 09/24 1431 22:17 23:46 23:36 24:07
Metropolitan Conference Championships 10/07 1227 22:00 21:21 21:23 22:14 22:23 23:01 23:20 22:31 23:27
UAlbany Invitational 10/15 1258 22:29 21:49 22:22 22:16 22:15 23:25 23:04 23:16 23:23 23:33
MAAC Championship 10/29 1237 21:17 21:53 22:19 21:59 22:18 23:57 23:06 23:15 23:30 23:45
Northeast Region Championships 11/11 1235 21:09 21:54 22:04 22:24 22:39 23:06





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 26.8 788 0.1 0.4 0.4 1.3 1.8 2.3 4.0 5.2 7.6 8.2 12.0 11.7 12.4 11.3 10.5 6.1



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lisa Fajardo 109.4
Caroline Ferri 141.0
Kaitlyn Smith 167.7
Alexa Roda 174.9
Kelly Gorman 195.2
Keeley Hogan 224.2
Samantha Hoagland 235.7




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 0.1% 0.1 16
17 0.4% 0.4 17
18 0.4% 0.4 18
19 1.3% 1.3 19
20 1.8% 1.8 20
21 2.3% 2.3 21
22 4.0% 4.0 22
23 5.2% 5.2 23
24 7.6% 7.6 24
25 8.2% 8.2 25
26 12.0% 12.0 26
27 11.7% 11.7 27
28 12.4% 12.4 28
29 11.3% 11.3 29
30 10.5% 10.5 30
31 6.1% 6.1 31
32 3.5% 3.5 32
33 1.0% 1.0 33
34 0.4% 0.4 34
35 0.2% 0.2 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0