Siena
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
1,032  Sarah Forman SO 21:34
1,315  Shannon Bauer SR 21:51
1,498  Kelly Pasko JR 22:03
2,070  Anya Schmitt FR 22:38
2,072  Dominica Bleichert JR 22:38
2,199  Sydney Sericolo SR 22:47
2,354  Carolyn Pellegrini FR 22:58
2,481  Camryn Johnson FR 23:08
2,716  Serena Rizzo SO 23:33
2,828  Ursula Svoboda SR 23:47
2,943  Erin Morrell JR 24:05
3,053  Meghan McDonough SO 24:24
3,165  Annica Penn SR 24:45
3,365  Kathryn Elnick FR 25:46
3,372  Karli Murphy FR 25:52
3,438  Agnes Eigo FR 26:23
3,513  Kelly Russo SR 27:17
National Rank #219 of 344
Northeast Region Rank #29 of 43
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 28th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 1.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Sarah Forman Shannon Bauer Kelly Pasko Anya Schmitt Dominica Bleichert Sydney Sericolo Carolyn Pellegrini Camryn Johnson Serena Rizzo Ursula Svoboda Erin Morrell
Shawn M. Nassaney Memorial Invitational 09/10 1295 21:27 22:23 22:10 22:51 23:40 24:44
Rider Invite 09/16 1257 21:30 22:34 22:30 22:09 22:45 22:42 22:40 23:44 24:02
Paul Short Invitational (Brown) 10/01 1258 21:46 22:12 22:07 22:29 22:46 22:38 23:05 23:18
UAlbany Invitational 10/15 1241 21:34 21:34 21:50 22:38 22:25 23:01 22:58 23:53 23:13 23:29
MAAC Championship 10/29 1239 21:19 21:59 21:46 24:27 22:20 22:38 23:15 22:56 23:01 23:58 23:24
Northeast Region Championships 11/11 1264 21:28 21:34 21:43 23:04 22:59 23:03





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 27.8 810 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.1 2.7 3.3 5.1 8.1 9.4 11.1 15.7 14.0 11.8 10.0



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sarah Forman 107.3
Shannon Bauer 135.9
Kelly Pasko 156.1
Anya Schmitt 209.2
Dominica Bleichert 209.5
Sydney Sericolo 220.8
Carolyn Pellegrini 233.2




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 0.1% 0.1 18
19 0.3% 0.3 19
20 0.7% 0.7 20
21 1.1% 1.1 21
22 2.7% 2.7 22
23 3.3% 3.3 23
24 5.1% 5.1 24
25 8.1% 8.1 25
26 9.4% 9.4 26
27 11.1% 11.1 27
28 15.7% 15.7 28
29 14.0% 14.0 29
30 11.8% 11.8 30
31 10.0% 10.0 31
32 4.8% 4.8 32
33 1.8% 1.8 33
34 0.5% 0.5 34
35 0.1% 0.1 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0