St. Mary's (Cal.)
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
534  Abby Bolt FR 20:59
1,079  Haley Dorris JR 21:37
1,472  Hanna English FR 22:01
1,617  Neylene Leon SO 22:09
1,695  Ali Teliha SR 22:15
1,950  Allie Timbrell SO 22:30
2,539  Taylor Khan SR 23:13
National Rank #173 of 344
West Region Rank #26 of 39
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 27th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 3.1%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Abby Bolt Haley Dorris Hanna English Neylene Leon Ali Teliha Allie Timbrell Taylor Khan
Stanford Invitational 10/01 1209 20:59 21:43 22:03 22:07 22:02
Santa Clara Bronco Invitational 10/15 1200 20:58 21:37 22:03 21:46 21:56 22:56
West Coast Conference 10/28 1205 20:56 21:36 21:57 22:51 22:11 22:27 23:08
West Region Championships 11/11 1212 21:09 21:30 21:58 21:42 24:03 22:04 22:55





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 26.0 742 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.2 2.8 3.7 6.4 8.6 12.4 15.9 19.7 14.5 7.2 3.9 1.7



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Abby Bolt 84.9
Haley Dorris 131.6
Hanna English 166.9
Neylene Leon 178.3
Ali Teliha 184.0
Allie Timbrell 200.2
Taylor Khan 232.7




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 0.1% 0.1 14
15 0.1% 0.1 15
16 0.1% 0.1 16
17 0.2% 0.2 17
18 0.5% 0.5 18
19 1.0% 1.0 19
20 1.2% 1.2 20
21 2.8% 2.8 21
22 3.7% 3.7 22
23 6.4% 6.4 23
24 8.6% 8.6 24
25 12.4% 12.4 25
26 15.9% 15.9 26
27 19.7% 19.7 27
28 14.5% 14.5 28
29 7.2% 7.2 29
30 3.9% 3.9 30
31 1.7% 1.7 31
32 0.4% 0.4 32
33 0.1% 0.1 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0