Chesterton
Boys - Girls
1999 - 2000 - 2001
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State Rank #11
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #4
New Prairie Regional Rank #3
Chesterton Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 9th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.1%
Top 5 at State Finals 5.8%
Top 10 at State Finals 51.6%
Advance to State Finals 97.4%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
10  Steve Vrska 11 15:57
77  Aaron Ardner 12 16:41
86  Mike Darnell 11 16:44
Jon Pol 9 16:59
Dan Keller 10 17:24
Matt Campbell 9 18:04
Doug Sindelar 11 18:11




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 97.4% 10.4 277 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.7 3.2 5.9 8.3 10.5 10.6 10.4 10.0 8.6 7.6 6.9 5.2 3.5 2.1 1.2 0.6 0.1
Semi-State 100% 3.8 97 0.5 16.5 23.5 28.3 28.6 2.1 0.5 0.0
Regionals 100% 2.6 55 0.6 42.4 56.9 0.1
Sectionals 100% 2.5 55 0.6 45.4 54.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Steve Vrska 99.8% 11.2 0.2 1.3 3.1 4.2 4.9 5.3 5.9 6.0 6.2 6.4 5.6 5.5 5.1 4.6 4.5 3.8 3.5 3.1 2.6 2.3 2.2 1.9 1.5 1.4 1.2 93.5% 99.7%
Aaron Ardner 97.4% 68.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0% 12.0%
Mike Darnell 97.4% 74.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0% 7.3%
Jon Pol 97.4% 98.3 0.0% 0.1%
Dan Keller 97.4% 127.6 0.0% 0.0%
Matt Campbell 97.4% 155.1 0.0% 0.0%
Doug Sindelar 97.4% 158.0 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Steve Vrska 100% 3.4 4.2 24.0 17.0 12.4 10.8 8.1 6.8 5.5 3.7 2.7 2.1 1.1 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Aaron Ardner 100% 22.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.6 2.0 2.7 3.5 3.9 4.4 5.0 5.1 5.4 5.3 5.3 4.9 4.9 4.5 93.7%
Mike Darnell 100% 25.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.8 1.2 1.7 2.5 2.6 3.3 3.7 4.2 4.3 4.8 4.8 4.9 5.1 4.6 88.9%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Steve Vrska 100% 1.2 45.9 18.3 13.6 11.5 7.9 2.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Aaron Ardner 100% 8.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 1.8 7.4 15.1 15.2 12.2 10.4 8.7 7.4 6.2 4.7 3.8 2.8 1.8 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.8%
Mike Darnell 100% 9.9 0.1 0.2 0.2 1.1 4.1 9.3 12.6 12.9 11.2 9.1 8.7 7.4 6.8 5.4 4.4 3.1 2.1 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 97.1%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Steve Vrska 1.2 46.0 18.5 12.7 12.7 7.3 2.5 0.2 0.0
Aaron Ardner 8.5 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.8 7.8 16.6 15.6 13.9 11.4 9.2 8.1 6.5 4.6 2.4 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0
Mike Darnell 9.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 4.0 10.6 14.5 13.4 12.3 11.0 9.0 8.7 7.6 4.5 2.0 0.7 0.3 0.1