Carmel
Boys - Girls
2000 - 2001 - 2002
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State Rank #2
Franklin Central Semi-State Rank #2
Noblesville Regional Rank #1
Carmel Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 1st place at State Finals
State Champion 28.7%
Top 5 at State Finals 96.2%
Top 10 at State Finals 99.4%
Advance to State Finals 99.6%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
11  Sammy Shaw 12 16:00
25  Justin Thomas 11 16:17
41  Joel Shaw 9 16:28
60  Josh Edgerton 12 16:38
76  James Rich 11 16:44
Nic Bitting 11 16:59
Bryan Walker 10 17:00




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 99.6% 2.6 126 28.7 25.9 21.5 14.5 5.7 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 100% 2.4 70 28.1 27.9 23.2 17.9 2.5 0.4 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.0 15 100.0
Sectionals 100% 1.0 15 100.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sammy Shaw 99.9% 11.8 0.4 1.3 2.3 3.1 4.7 4.9 5.4 5.2 5.6 6.2 6.2 5.6 5.8 4.9 4.7 4.2 3.8 3.3 3.3 2.2 2.3 1.8 1.7 1.5 1.4 85.7% 99.6%
Justin Thomas 99.6% 27.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.8 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.8 2.4 2.4 2.5 3.0 2.8 3.2 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.3 3.3 3.3 4.8% 83.0%
Joel Shaw 99.6% 41.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.8 1.4 1.9 0.0% 47.8%
Josh Edgerton 99.6% 56.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.0% 16.3%
James Rich 99.6% 65.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0% 6.1%
Nic Bitting 99.6% 89.6 0.0% 0.1%
Bryan Walker 99.6% 91.5 0.0% 0.1%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sammy Shaw 100% 4.2 1.0 11.5 15.4 18.3 17.3 13.3 8.7 5.3 3.4 2.2 1.4 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Justin Thomas 100% 9.4 0.1 1.0 2.5 5.2 7.9 10.1 10.1 9.8 8.7 7.7 6.3 5.2 4.7 3.7 3.2 2.5 2.0 1.8 1.5 1.4 1.1 0.7 0.8 0.5 100.0%
Joel Shaw 100% 15.4 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.4 2.5 3.6 4.9 5.6 5.7 5.6 6.1 6.2 5.5 5.2 5.0 5.2 4.5 4.3 3.7 3.8 3.5 2.7 2.4 100.0%
Josh Edgerton 100% 22.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.5 1.7 2.2 2.6 3.3 3.3 3.7 4.2 4.3 4.3 4.8 5.0 4.7 4.5 4.6 4.4 100.0%
James Rich 100% 27.8 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.3 1.6 1.9 2.5 2.6 2.6 3.0 3.6 3.9 3.5 4.3 4.1 100.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sammy Shaw 100% 1.0 95.9 3.9 0.2 0.0 100.0%
Justin Thomas 100% 1.6 3.1 76.4 17.2 2.8 0.4 0.0 100.0%
Joel Shaw 100% 2.7 0.1 11.1 53.8 25.5 7.4 1.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Josh Edgerton 100% 4.1 0.0 0.8 10.1 34.2 33.2 17.0 3.5 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
James Rich 100% 5.1 0.1 2.3 13.4 32.0 35.5 12.1 2.9 1.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sammy Shaw 1.0 96.8 3.2 0.1
Justin Thomas 1.6 3.1 82.9 12.8 1.2 0.1
Joel Shaw 2.5 0.1 12.5 68.5 15.7 3.0 0.2
Josh Edgerton 3.6 1.1 13.7 55.7 25.1 4.0 0.4 0.1 0.0
James Rich 4.4 0.2 3.5 23.0 55.7 14.3 2.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0