Carmel
Boys - Girls
2003 - 2004 - 2005
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State Rank #3
Franklin Central Semi-State Rank #2
Noblesville Regional Rank #2
Carmel Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 1st place at State Finals
State Champion 18.4%
Top 5 at State Finals 65.9%
Top 10 at State Finals 80.2%
Advance to State Finals 80.7%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
23  Joel Shaw 12 16:09
76  Will Peters 11 16:37
77  Jacob Rich 10 16:38
82  Robbie Granger 12 16:40
93  Chad Bowman 10 16:41
Evan Bardach 12 16:46
Tom Martin 12 16:53
Ben Peterson 12 16:54
Scott Ellabarger 11 16:58




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 80.7% 3.4 147 18.4 17.3 13.4 9.5 7.4 5.4 4.1 2.8 1.6 0.6 0.4 0.1
Semi-State 100% 3.5 138 22.9 21.6 15.2 11.6 9.5 7.5 4.7 3.1 2.0 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.7 45 41.9 47.1 10.4 0.6
Sectionals 100% 1.0 29 99.0 1.0 0.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Joel Shaw 82.7% 18.8 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.8 1.3 1.6 1.7 2.0 2.4 2.2 3.3 3.2 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.7 3.0 2.9 2.7 3.5 2.6 3.5 3.0 3.1 2.2 10.6% 60.9%
Will Peters 80.7% 57.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.0% 1.2%
Jacob Rich 80.7% 56.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0% 1.3%
Robbie Granger 80.7% 60.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0% 0.7%
Chad Bowman 80.7% 64.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0% 0.4%
Evan Bardach 80.7% 74.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0% 0.1%
Tom Martin 80.7% 85.3 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Joel Shaw 100% 13.2 0.1 0.7 1.2 2.6 3.4 4.1 4.8 4.3 6.0 5.8 5.7 5.9 4.8 6.1 5.9 5.1 4.8 4.0 4.1 3.6 2.6 2.7 3.1 1.7 1.1 100.0%
Will Peters 100% 37.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.4 0.8 1.4 1.9 2.0 2.4 72.4%
Jacob Rich 100% 37.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.8 1.5 1.5 1.3 2.3 2.1 71.2%
Robbie Granger 100% 39.9 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.0 0.8 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.6 65.0%
Chad Bowman 100% 42.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 1.3 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.3 58.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Joel Shaw 100% 5.4 0.3 1.5 5.5 12.7 20.4 24.0 23.5 7.4 2.6 1.4 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Will Peters 100% 12.1 0.1 0.4 2.3 8.8 9.3 10.2 9.5 8.7 9.4 7.3 6.8 7.1 4.9 3.8 3.7 2.7 1.8 1.7 0.9 0.6 0.1 99.7%
Jacob Rich 100% 12.5 0.1 0.4 2.4 6.2 8.5 8.8 9.5 9.8 9.7 8.3 7.8 6.3 5.7 4.3 4.2 2.5 2.0 1.5 0.9 0.7 0.3 99.5%
Robbie Granger 100% 13.3 0.1 0.3 1.3 5.5 6.6 8.0 9.1 8.7 8.5 8.6 8.6 7.9 5.4 5.5 3.9 3.3 2.7 2.1 1.9 0.8 0.9 99.0%
Chad Bowman 100% 14.1 0.2 1.0 3.3 5.3 6.5 7.7 8.3 8.5 8.9 8.5 7.4 8.2 5.6 4.2 4.4 3.0 2.4 2.7 1.4 1.2 98.9%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Joel Shaw 1.4 18.4 73.4 6.1 1.6 0.6 0.1
Will Peters 5.6 0.2 14.0 13.3 13.9 13.7 13.1 8.9 7.3 6.2 3.4 2.8 2.0 1.0 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1
Jacob Rich 5.7 0.3 12.1 13.6 14.8 12.9 11.7 10.4 8.0 6.0 4.1 2.3 1.9 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1
Robbie Granger 6.4 0.3 9.1 10.9 12.7 13.2 10.9 12.1 8.0 8.1 5.0 3.9 2.2 1.6 1.4 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1
Chad Bowman 7.2 5.2 8.2 10.6 12.5 11.5 12.4 9.1 9.7 7.0 6.0 3.8 2.1 0.9 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1