These are rankings of individuals and teams that run in this sectional. It is not a projected order of finish in the race.
Below the rankings is a
projection of this round of the tournament.
Sectional Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
| Runner | School | Rating | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
|---|
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
| Brice Cleland |
Pike |
16:05 |
1.8 |
28.7 |
26.2 |
21.0 |
12.0 |
5.6 |
3.1 |
1.9 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Darryl Stevenson |
North Central (Indpls) |
16:05 |
1.9 |
30.9 |
21.5 |
17.2 |
13.4 |
8.3 |
3.8 |
2.2 |
1.2 |
0.9 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Alvin Sangsuwangul |
Lawrence North |
16:07 |
2.1 |
26.9 |
20.9 |
18.1 |
14.5 |
9.2 |
5.1 |
2.8 |
1.3 |
0.9 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Phillip Schwein |
Pike |
16:14 |
3.6 |
5.2 |
14.7 |
17.4 |
20.7 |
15.6 |
11.5 |
5.4 |
3.2 |
2.8 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
| Justin Mason |
Cathedral |
16:20 |
4.8 |
4.0 |
7.9 |
11.5 |
13.5 |
17.4 |
14.4 |
9.7 |
7.6 |
5.5 |
2.9 |
2.2 |
1.2 |
1.1 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
| Aaron Kremer |
Bishop Chatard |
16:20 |
4.8 |
3.8 |
6.6 |
9.8 |
13.6 |
19.9 |
18.3 |
9.8 |
7.5 |
5.1 |
2.1 |
2.0 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
| Seth Ball |
Bishop Chatard |
16:32 |
8.2 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.1 |
2.9 |
5.1 |
9.9 |
14.7 |
12.9 |
13.2 |
10.7 |
9.0 |
5.9 |
5.4 |
4.3 |
2.3 |
1.1 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
| Tyler McCreary |
Lawrence Central |
16:33 |
8.3 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
1.5 |
3.5 |
5.9 |
9.7 |
13.0 |
12.4 |
10.1 |
10.4 |
8.1 |
7.0 |
5.3 |
4.3 |
3.2 |
2.6 |
1.1 |
0.9 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
| Andrew Meiers |
Lawrence Central |
16:34 |
8.9 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.2 |
2.4 |
5.2 |
7.7 |
11.8 |
11.6 |
10.9 |
10.2 |
9.7 |
7.4 |
6.6 |
5.1 |
4.0 |
2.8 |
2.0 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
| Ty Hoskins |
Lawrence North |
16:37 |
9.8 |
|
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.6 |
2.5 |
6.6 |
8.1 |
9.3 |
11.2 |
12.1 |
12.5 |
9.8 |
9.8 |
7.2 |
4.2 |
2.4 |
1.4 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
| Chris Dietrick |
Bishop Chatard |
16:40 |
10.9 |
|
|
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.8 |
2.5 |
5.7 |
9.2 |
10.4 |
10.4 |
10.3 |
10.4 |
8.7 |
9.5 |
8.4 |
5.9 |
3.1 |
1.8 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
| Chris Pfeiffer |
Lawrence North |
16:40 |
11.0 |
|
0.2 |
0.2 |
1.1 |
2.1 |
3.2 |
6.0 |
8.2 |
8.8 |
10.3 |
10.2 |
12.2 |
12.6 |
10.4 |
7.3 |
4.1 |
2.0 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
|
| Andrew Poore |
Bishop Chatard |
16:43 |
11.9 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
2.1 |
3.6 |
6.2 |
7.4 |
9.6 |
10.5 |
11.2 |
10.7 |
9.6 |
8.7 |
8.3 |
6.0 |
2.9 |
1.6 |
0.6 |
