Carmel
Boys - Girls
2006 - 2007 - 2008
Switch to All-time Team Page

State Rank #4
Franklin Central Semi-State Rank #2
Brebeuf Jesuit Regional Rank #2
Carmel Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 3rd place at State Finals
State Champion 13.1%
Top 5 at State Finals 82.6%
Top 10 at State Finals 98.5%
Advance to State Finals 99.6%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
24  Logan Rosenberg 11 16:09
37  Dan Kinn 11 16:16
57  J.D. Smith 11 16:26
63  Kevin Courtney 12 16:28
76  Dan Porter 10 16:32
87  Tom Ohlman 10 16:35
Brian Bates 11 16:53




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 99.6% 3.7 164 13.1 18.3 21.1 18.7 11.3 6.9 3.8 2.7 1.6 1.0 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 100% 2.2 96 22.9 49.8 20.2 4.9 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.8 51 26.6 71.7 1.6 0.1 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.8 49 25.5 72.8 1.6 0.1 0.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Logan Rosenberg 99.6% 26.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.7 1.2 1.2 1.7 1.7 1.9 1.8 2.2 2.3 2.5 2.6 2.5 2.7 3.0 2.9 2.6 2.9 2.9 3.0 2.4 0.0% 72.8%
Dan Kinn 99.6% 36.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.8 1.7 1.8 2.1 2.2 0.0% 48.7%
J.D. Smith 99.6% 54.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.0% 13.8%
Kevin Courtney 99.6% 58.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.0% 9.8%
Dan Porter 99.6% 67.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0% 4.4%
Tom Ohlman 99.6% 71.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0% 2.6%
Brian Bates 99.6% 105.0 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Logan Rosenberg 100% 10.9 0.9 1.6 2.8 3.7 4.5 5.2 5.8 6.2 6.8 6.6 6.6 6.1 5.7 5.4 4.8 4.1 3.7 3.2 2.6 2.3 2.0 1.6 1.5 1.3 0.8 99.3%
Dan Kinn 100% 15.2 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.6 2.4 3.1 3.6 4.1 4.7 4.9 5.8 5.3 5.7 5.5 5.4 4.6 4.5 4.2 4.0 3.4 3.4 2.8 2.6 2.5 96.0%
J.D. Smith 100% 24.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.5 1.7 2.0 2.5 2.9 3.2 3.4 3.8 4.0 3.7 3.8 4.2 4.1 4.2 4.9 75.0%
Kevin Courtney 100% 26.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.4 1.6 1.7 2.2 2.7 2.8 3.1 3.2 3.9 3.5 4.0 4.1 4.3 3.8 67.2%
Dan Porter 100% 30.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.3 1.4 1.6 2.1 2.3 2.5 2.9 3.0 3.1 3.1 3.1 49.8%
Tom Ohlman 100% 32.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.6 1.9 2.2 2.5 2.8 2.6 3.2 40.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Logan Rosenberg 100% 5.0 2.0 5.0 8.5 15.5 20.0 16.4 10.7 7.4 4.7 3.5 2.4 1.5 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9%
Dan Kinn 100% 6.8 0.4 1.3 3.1 6.8 11.5 15.3 14.2 10.9 9.0 6.6 5.3 4.2 3.2 2.5 1.7 1.3 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.7%
J.D. Smith 100% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.7 3.5 6.2 8.2 8.9 8.9 8.9 8.3 7.3 6.7 5.4 4.8 4.2 3.5 2.9 2.3 2.0 1.5 1.3 0.9 0.6 87.1%
Kevin Courtney 100% 12.6 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.5 4.4 6.1 7.2 8.1 7.8 8.2 7.6 7.1 6.8 5.8 5.3 4.3 3.9 3.3 2.6 2.2 1.6 0.9 0.8 81.2%
Dan Porter 100% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.8 2.1 3.0 4.5 5.6 6.0 6.5 6.6 7.3 7.0 6.7 6.8 6.1 5.6 4.9 4.2 3.5 2.9 2.6 1.8 67.2%
Tom Ohlman 100% 16.5 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.9 2.7 3.9 5.2 5.3 6.0 6.5 6.7 7.0 6.6 6.7 6.2 5.6 5.4 4.8 3.8 3.6 2.5 57.3%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Logan Rosenberg 4.9 1.9 5.1 9.4 14.7 21.1 17.2 11.8 7.6 4.9 2.9 1.6 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
Dan Kinn 6.6 0.4 1.3 2.7 6.9 12.4 16.0 15.9 12.5 10.7 7.2 4.9 3.4 2.2 1.4 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
J.D. Smith 10.4 0.1 0.2 0.7 2.0 4.0 7.3 10.0 10.7 11.3 10.7 9.5 8.1 6.9 5.6 4.3 2.9 2.2 1.5 0.9 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0
Kevin Courtney 11.3 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.2 2.5 5.3 8.0 9.2 10.3 10.4 10.2 9.1 7.8 6.6 5.7 4.4 3.1 2.2 1.2 1.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.1
Dan Porter 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.0 3.7 5.9 7.5 8.9 9.4 10.1 9.5 9.0 7.5 6.6 5.7 4.7 3.1 1.9 1.3 0.8 0.5 0.4
Tom Ohlman 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.4 3.8 5.1 7.0 8.5 8.8 10.0 9.8 9.4 8.4 7.0 5.6 4.0 2.8 2.2 1.2 0.9 0.6