Carmel
Boys - Girls
2007 - 2008 - 2009
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State Rank #1
Franklin Central Semi-State Rank #1
Brebeuf Jesuit Regional Rank #1
Carmel Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 1st place at State Finals
State Champion 58.4%
Top 5 at State Finals 98.1%
Top 10 at State Finals 100.0%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
11  Dan Kinn 12 15:52
19  J.D. Smith 12 16:00
29  Tom Ohlman 11 16:08
31  Chris Walden 10 16:10
53  Dan Porter 11 16:21
54  Logan Rosenberg 12 16:21
77  Brian Bates 12 16:32
131  Collin Brunk 10 16:45
Nick Berry 12 16:52




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100.0% 1.8 110 58.4 20.8 10.1 6.0 2.8 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 100% 1.3 64 77.4 14.8 5.6 2.0 0.2 0.0 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.2 53 80.2 15.6 4.0 0.2 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.1 40 89.0 10.7 0.3 0.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Dan Kinn 100.0% 12.7 0.2 0.9 2.4 3.2 4.6 4.5 4.9 5.5 5.1 5.4 5.1 4.5 5.2 4.7 4.3 3.5 3.6 3.4 3.0 2.6 2.6 2.3 2.1 1.7 1.5 0.0% 95.1%
J.D. Smith 100.0% 20.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.9 1.6 1.9 2.2 2.6 2.9 3.4 3.4 3.3 3.4 4.1 3.6 3.8 3.6 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.2 3.1 3.1 3.3 0.0% 79.2%
Tom Ohlman 100.0% 31.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.6 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.4 1.8 1.8 2.1 2.4 2.6 2.7 2.3 2.7 3.0 3.1 0.0% 47.2%
Chris Walden 100.0% 33.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.3 1.3 1.6 1.7 2.1 1.9 2.3 2.2 2.1 2.4 2.6 0.0% 40.0%
Dan Porter 100.0% 49.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.0% 8.8%
Logan Rosenberg 100.0% 49.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.0% 8.9%
Brian Bates 100.0% 68.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0% 0.6%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Dan Kinn 100% 6.6 0.2 1.5 4.8 9.0 12.3 13.8 13.3 10.4 8.1 6.5 4.8 3.8 2.8 2.3 1.7 1.2 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 99.6%
J.D. Smith 100% 10.1 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.3 3.8 6.4 8.4 9.8 9.2 8.4 7.6 6.5 5.8 5.3 4.5 3.6 3.1 3.1 2.0 1.9 1.5 1.2 0.9 0.8 0.7 96.9%
Tom Ohlman 100% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.4 2.4 3.3 4.5 5.2 5.5 6.0 6.1 6.5 5.6 5.7 5.4 5.2 4.9 4.4 3.9 3.7 3.3 2.9 2.2 82.4%
Chris Walden 100% 16.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.3 2.4 3.2 4.2 4.8 5.6 5.7 5.7 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.3 5.3 4.7 4.8 4.3 3.7 3.2 3.2 77.7%
Dan Porter 100% 25.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.3 1.5 1.9 2.3 2.6 3.2 3.3 3.7 4.1 4.2 4.4 5.2 4.3 5.1 33.5%
Logan Rosenberg 100% 25.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.3 1.6 1.8 2.4 2.7 2.7 3.3 3.4 4.2 4.1 4.4 4.9 4.9 4.8 32.9%
Brian Bates 100% 34.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.0 1.4 1.4 2.1 2.2 2.7 5.5%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Dan Kinn 100% 5.4 0.3 1.7 6.0 12.7 20.3 23.2 14.2 8.2 5.2 3.2 2.1 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
J.D. Smith 100% 7.4 0.1 0.2 1.0 3.1 7.2 14.1 18.2 14.2 11.1 8.5 6.7 4.8 3.4 2.6 1.8 1.1 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Tom Ohlman 100% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.6 6.4 10.2 10.7 11.1 10.0 9.2 7.9 6.8 6.0 4.8 3.7 2.9 1.9 1.3 1.0 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 99.1%
Chris Walden 100% 11.5 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.0 4.3 7.8 9.5 10.2 10.6 9.1 8.6 7.8 7.1 5.2 4.7 3.6 2.7 1.8 1.3 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.3 98.4%
Dan Porter 100% 17.1 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.6 2.6 3.7 5.2 6.0 6.1 7.5 7.6 8.3 8.0 7.6 7.4 6.6 4.8 4.0 3.0 2.3 84.0%
Logan Rosenberg 100% 17.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.4 2.5 3.5 5.0 5.8 6.3 7.2 7.7 7.9 8.5 7.7 7.0 6.3 4.8 4.0 3.0 2.5 83.8%
Brian Bates 100% 23.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.3 2.0 2.8 3.6 4.3 5.8 6.5 6.7 7.9 7.3 7.5 6.4 40.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Dan Kinn 4.2 1.4 6.6 13.5 22.8 31.7 13.6 5.5 2.9 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
J.D. Smith 5.6 0.2 1.0 3.6 8.7 18.7 29.3 16.6 10.0 5.7 3.2 1.7 1.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Tom Ohlman 7.8 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.3 4.0 10.1 19.9 18.6 14.2 11.1 8.6 5.3 2.9 1.8 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Chris Walden 8.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.7 7.6 16.0 18.6 15.3 13.0 9.7 6.4 4.3 2.6 1.3 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Dan Porter 11.9 0.1 0.3 1.4 4.0 8.6 11.3 12.0 13.2 13.4 11.6 8.2 5.7 4.0 2.4 1.3 1.0 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0
Logan Rosenberg 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.4 3.8 8.3 10.9 12.2 13.9 12.9 11.5 8.5 5.8 3.8 2.7 1.4 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1
Brian Bates 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 3.2 4.9 7.6 10.2 12.0 12.5 11.0 9.6 7.0 5.6 4.4 3.1 2.1 1.6 1.1