Noblesville
Boys - Girls
2007 - 2008 - 2009
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State Rank #10
Franklin Central Semi-State Rank #6
Brebeuf Jesuit Regional Rank #5
Carmel Sectional Rank #5
Most Likely Finish 10th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 2.2%
Top 10 at State Finals 32.4%
Advance to State Finals 48.0%
Advance to Semi-State 63.8%
Advance to Regional 96.6%

RankNameGradeRating
5  Blake Dircksen 12 15:44
66  Collin Ginebaugh 10 16:26
Cody Marowski 11 16:52
Christian Bowers 10 16:57
Ryan Ferguson 10 17:07
James Willman 11 17:10
Jake Waterman 12 17:31




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 48.0% 9.4 278 0.0 0.3 0.5 1.4 3.1 5.0 7.1 7.5 7.6 6.2 4.5 2.5 1.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 63.8% 5.7 156 0.0 0.5 1.6 5.8 20.0 20.2 11.1 4.5 0.1
Regionals 96.6% 5.0 133 0.0 0.8 4.9 27.8 30.3 24.7 6.9 1.2 0.1
Sectionals 100% 4.0 96 0.1 3.2 30.4 31.8 31.1 3.4



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Blake Dircksen 98.0% 7.4 1.3 3.6 7.2 8.8 9.0 8.3 8.2 6.7 5.6 5.4 4.4 4.3 3.4 3.0 2.6 2.5 1.9 1.6 1.5 1.2 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.7 0.6 96.1% 98.0%
Collin Ginebaugh 48.2% 48.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.2% 4.9%
Cody Marowski 48.0% 91.2 0.0% 0.0%
Christian Bowers 48.0% 100.7 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Ferguson 48.0% 116.9 0.0% 0.0%
James Willman 48.0% 122.6 0.0% 0.0%
Jake Waterman 48.0% 151.2 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Blake Dircksen 99.9% 4.7 1.5 5.5 13.8 18.1 16.9 12.6 9.3 6.2 4.8 3.2 2.1 1.6 1.2 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.6% 99.9%
Collin Ginebaugh 64.9% 26.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.3 1.3 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.2 2.5 2.8 2.8 3.5 3.3 3.2% 20.6%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Blake Dircksen 100% 4.1 1.5 6.0 16.8 24.6 21.8 11.3 7.0 4.0 2.9 1.6 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Collin Ginebaugh 96.8% 19.5 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.4 1.5 2.1 2.5 2.9 4.2 4.5 5.2 5.9 6.1 7.0 6.8 7.1 6.2 6.0 5.1 4.8 5.8% 64.3%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Blake Dircksen 3.0 5.9 17.2 26.7 23.8 12.1 6.9 3.3 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Collin Ginebaugh 13.7 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.3 3.1 4.1 5.4 7.4 8.5 10.0 10.3 11.5 9.9 7.3 6.6 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.4 0.6 0.5 0.2