Boys -
Girls
New Haven Semi-State
2007
-
2008 -
2009
These are rankings of individuals and teams that feed into this semi-state. It is not a projected order of finish in the race.
Below the rankings is a
projection of this round of the tournament.
Semi-State Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Only teams that advanced out of the regional simulation for each trial were included in the semi-state simulation for that trial.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
School | Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score | Min Score | Max Score |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
---|
Carroll (FW) |
100.0% |
1.0 |
40 |
15 |
124 |
98.2 |
1.6 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Northridge |
100.0% |
2.6 |
109 |
38 |
236 |
1.4 |
57.4 |
29.0 |
8.5 |
2.4 |
0.8 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Huntington North |
100.0% |
3.0 |
122 |
40 |
237 |
0.4 |
32.4 |
45.2 |
15.3 |
4.7 |
1.3 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Concord |
99.9% |
5.1 |
171 |
52 |
336 |
0.0 |
4.6 |
12.2 |
30.1 |
20.1 |
12.7 |
7.4 |
5.3 |
3.5 |
1.8 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
Northrop |
94.9% |
5.7 |
182 |
64 |
317 |
|
2.7 |
7.0 |
20.9 |
21.9 |
15.7 |
10.2 |
7.2 |
4.1 |
2.4 |
1.3 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
Fort Wayne North Side |
82.7% |
7.2 |
209 |
82 |
350 |
|
0.3 |
1.7 |
6.1 |
12.1 |
14.4 |
14.3 |
12.1 |
8.1 |
5.7 |
3.5 |
2.2 |
1.1 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
Snider |
80.1% |
7.3 |
210 |
84 |
351 |
|
0.5 |
1.9 |
6.8 |
11.3 |
13.4 |
13.1 |
10.6 |
8.4 |
5.3 |
3.9 |
2.2 |
1.3 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
Bishop Dwenger |
76.0% |
7.6 |
215 |
89 |
363 |
|
0.2 |
1.2 |
4.5 |
8.9 |
11.9 |
12.8 |
11.7 |
8.8 |
6.5 |
4.2 |
2.5 |
1.6 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
West Noble |
66.3% |
8.1 |
222 |
100 |
347 |
|
0.1 |
0.7 |
2.6 |
5.8 |
8.8 |
11.2 |
11.2 |
9.0 |
6.6 |
4.3 |
2.8 |
1.8 |
0.9 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
Riley |
92.3% |
9.5 |
242 |
113 |
383 |
|
0.1 |
0.5 |
2.3 |
4.9 |
7.8 |
9.3 |
10.7 |
11.7 |
11.4 |
9.8 |
8.1 |
6.5 |
5.1 |
3.1 |
1.2 |
|
|
|
|
Bellmont |
100.0% |
10.7 |
258 |
94 |
426 |
|
0.0 |
0.3 |
1.7 |
3.9 |
5.5 |
6.9 |
9.0 |
10.2 |
11.0 |
10.1 |
10.0 |
8.9 |
8.3 |
8.2 |
6.2 |
|
|
|
|
Mt. Vernon (Fortville) |
100.0% |
11.3 |
267 |
127 |
423 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.6 |
3.0 |
4.9 |
7.1 |
10.0 |
11.7 |
13.4 |
12.6 |
10.9 |
9.7 |
9.3 |
5.1 |
|
|
|
|
Warsaw |
78.4% |
11.4 |
269 |
97 |
398 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.5 |
2.3 |
4.0 |
4.7 |
7.4 |
8.2 |
8.6 |
9.2 |
9.7 |
9.5 |
8.1 |
4.7 |
|
|
|
|
Goshen |
55.6% |
12.3 |
280 |
152 |
400 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
2.0 |
3.4 |
5.0 |
6.3 |
7.6 |
8.6 |
8.8 |
7.8 |
3.9 |
|
|
|
|
Homestead |
100.0% |
12.6 |
284 |
150 |
393 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.8 |
1.6 |
3.1 |
5.7 |
8.7 |
11.6 |
13.4 |
14.0 |
15.3 |
16.5 |
9.0 |
|
|
|
|
Wawasee |
56.5% |
12.5 |
284 |
156 |
394 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
1.2 |
2.3 |
3.4 |
4.4 |
5.9 |
6.9 |
7.9 |
9.0 |
9.3 |
5.4 |
|
|
|
|
Pendleton Heights |
100.0% |
12.6 |
284 |
168 |
374 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
1.0 |
2.0 |
4.4 |
8.9 |
12.2 |
15.2 |
17.0 |
17.9 |
14.1 |
7.0 |
|
|
|
|
Penn |
17.3% |
13.4 |
297 |
170 |
394 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
1.9 |
2.7 |
3.2 |
3.9 |
2.6 |
|
|
|
|
Muncie Southside |
100.0% |
14.8 |
327 |
196 |
463 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
1.3 |
1.8 |
2.7 |
4.2 |
7.2 |
9.6 |
18.0 |
54.4 |
|
|
|
|
Runner | School | Rating | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
James Martin |
Carroll (FW) |
15:36 |
100.0% |
1.0 |
86.0 |
10.5 |
2.4 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Nathan Hendershot |
Pendleton Heights |
15:56 |
100.0% |
2.5 |
8.6 |
31.1 |
21.1 |
14.0 |
9.0 |
6.1 |
3.9 |
2.3 |
1.3 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Robbie Kleber |
Carroll (FW) |
15:59 |
100.0% |
3.0 |
0.3 |
26.7 |
23.8 |
16.4 |
11.9 |
7.8 |
4.8 |
3.2 |
1.8 |
1.2 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Ross Ochs |
Huntington North |
16:02 |
100.0% |
3.6 |
3.5 |
17.0 |
19.4 |
17.2 |
14.0 |
9.7 |
6.2 |
4.2 |
2.9 |
1.9 |
1.3 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
Andrew Albert |
Northridge |
16:07 |
100.0% |
5.0 |
1.1 |
8.1 |
13.0 |
14.3 |
13.8 |
12.4 |
10.0 |
7.2 |
5.4 |
4.3 |
2.9 |
2.1 |
1.5 |
1.1 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
Austin Kilmer |
Carroll (FW) |
16:13 |
100.0% |
6.9 |
|
1.2 |
5.3 |
10.0 |
11.7 |
12.0 |
11.4 |
9.5 |
8.4 |
6.5 |
5.5 |
4.5 |
3.2 |
2.4 |
2.0 |
1.6 |
1.3 |
0.9 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
Josh Graham |
Huntington North |
16:14 |
100.0% |
7.3 |
0.2 |
1.3 |
4.3 |
8.3 |
10.6 |
11.7 |
10.9 |
10.4 |
8.0 |
6.9 |
5.2 |
5.1 |
3.5 |
2.9 |
2.1 |
1.8 |
1.6 |
1.5 |
0.9 |
0.8 |
Derek Stinefield |
Wapahani |
16:15 |
100.0% |
7.7 |
0.2 |
2.2 |
4.9 |
6.9 |
8.9 |
9.9 |
10.2 |
9.6 |
8.1 |
6.9 |
5.7 |
4.7 |
4.2 |
3.4 |
2.6 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
1.4 |
1.2 |
1.0 |
Lucas Roscoe |
Elkhart Central |
16:21 |
100.0% |
10.4 |
0.0 |
0.8 |
2.2 |
3.6 |
4.5 |
5.9 |
7.0 |
7.5 |
7.7 |
7.5 |
7.4 |
6.2 |
5.7 |
5.2 |
4.1 |
3.6 |
3.2 |
2.8 |
2.6 |
2.2 |
Alex Stoltie |
Garrett |
16:23 |
99.1% |
11.5 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
1.2 |
2.5 |
3.4 |
4.9 |
6.1 |
7.1 |
7.1 |
7.1 |
6.4 |
6.6 |
6.1 |
5.8 |
4.7 |
4.6 |
3.6 |
3.0 |
2.6 |
2.6 |
Race Dorsey |
Elkhart Memorial |
16:24 |
99.9% |
11.8 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
2.2 |
3.5 |
4.4 |
5.7 |
6.6 |
7.1 |
6.9 |
6.6 |
6.8 |
6.3 |
5.5 |
5.0 |
4.2 |
3.9 |
3.1 |
2.8 |
2.8 |
Mitch Keyser |
Northridge |
16:27 |
100.0% |
13.5 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.8 |
1.5 |
3.0 |
4.2 |
5.1 |
6.3 |
6.5 |
6.9 |
6.4 |
6.2 |
6.0 |
5.8 |
5.1 |
4.5 |
4.0 |
3.9 |
3.5 |
Nick Card |
Carroll (FW) |
16:28 |
100.0% |
14.4 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.3 |
2.3 |
3.4 |
4.6 |
5.9 |
6.1 |
6.4 |
5.5 |
6.1 |
5.9 |
5.9 |
5.1 |
5.0 |
4.3 |
3.7 |
3.4 |
Trevor Moore |
Northridge |
16:31 |
100.0% |
16.8 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
2.1 |
2.8 |
3.5 |
3.9 |
5.2 |
4.9 |
5.2 |
5.3 |
5.6 |
5.4 |
5.2 |
5.0 |
4.7 |
4.5 |
Curtis Kent |
Angola |
16:32 |
95.3% |
16.5 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
1.4 |
2.2 |
3.1 |
3.8 |
4.1 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
5.0 |
4.9 |
4.9 |
4.9 |
5.0 |
4.7 |
4.6 |
4.4 |
Joe Landeros |
West Noble |
16:33 |
95.2% |
17.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
2.0 |
2.5 |
3.1 |
3.7 |
4.1 |
4.5 |
4.7 |
4.9 |
4.6 |
5.1 |
4.8 |
4.9 |
4.5 |
3.8 |
Daniel Zelaya |
Concord |
16:33 |
100.0% |
18.3 |
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
2.4 |
2.7 |
3.5 |
3.5 |
4.4 |
4.5 |
4.6 |
5.2 |
4.6 |
4.5 |
4.8 |
4.6 |
4.3 |
Kodi Mullins |
Homestead |
16:34 |
100.0% |
18.9 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
2.1 |
2.5 |
3.0 |
3.4 |
3.9 |
4.1 |
4.4 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.8 |
4.4 |
4.6 |
4.4 |
Brad Hess |
Carroll (FW) |
16:34 |
100.0% |
18.9 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
1.7 |
2.4 |
3.3 |
3.4 |
4.4 |
4.4 |
4.8 |
4.9 |
5.1 |
4.6 |
4.9 |
4.6 |
4.4 |
Michael Mead |
Mt. Vernon (Fortville) |
16:35 |
100.0% |
19.5 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
1.7 |
2.3 |
2.6 |
3.3 |
3.9 |
4.1 |
4.1 |
4.5 |
4.4 |
4.8 |
4.7 |
4.3 |
4.7 |
Cedrick Hannah |
Northrop |
16:35 |
97.0% |
19.6 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
2.6 |
2.9 |
3.2 |
3.9 |
3.9 |
4.7 |
4.4 |
4.7 |
4.4 |
4.6 |
4.2 |
Austin Roberts |
Huntington North |
16:36 |
100.0% |
20.4 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.4 |
2.0 |
2.7 |
3.2 |
3.5 |
3.7 |
4.0 |
4.2 |
4.5 |
4.4 |
4.6 |
4.2 |
4.6 |
Zeth Baker |
DeKalb |
16:40 |
84.2% |
21.8 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
1.6 |
2.0 |
2.5 |
2.9 |
2.9 |
3.3 |
3.6 |
4.0 |
4.2 |
3.8 |
Martin Buss |
Yorktown |
16:42 |
100.0% |
26.4 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
1.9 |
2.1 |
2.7 |
2.9 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
3.5 |
Ethan Wappes |
Snider |
16:43 |
87.4% |
25.3 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
2.2 |
2.7 |
2.5 |
3.2 |
3.2 |
3.2 |
Andrew Eckrich |
Bishop Dwenger |
16:43 |
86.4% |
25.2 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.5 |
1.6 |
2.0 |
1.9 |
2.4 |
2.7 |
2.9 |
3.2 |
3.2 |
Jose Mejia |
Wawasee |
16:44 |
93.0% |
26.7 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.8 |
2.1 |
2.3 |
2.4 |
2.6 |
3.1 |
3.0 |