Carmel
Boys - Girls
2009 - 2010 - 2011
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State Rank #4
Carmel Semi-State Rank #4
Brebeuf Jesuit Regional Rank #3
Noblesville Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 2nd place at State Finals
State Champion 0.6%
Top 5 at State Finals 59.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 81.6%
Advance to State Finals 82.6%
Advance to Semi-State 83.8%
Advance to Regional 99.4%

RankNameGradeRating
3  Chris Walden 12 15:28
40  Patrick Appleton 10 16:12
99  Daniel Williams 10 16:35
116  Eric Kinn 11 16:39
119  Charlie Watson 10 16:40
Robert Raleigh 12 16:47
Bobby Browning 9 16:50
Collin Brunk 12 16:55
Nick Schrock 12 16:56
Brian Coleman 11 17:01
Zach Rutherford 12 17:02
Cole Cisneros 11 17:08
Michael George 9 17:15
Daniel Sechuga 9 17:16
Collin McMahon 9 17:34




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 82.6% 4.4 201 0.6 18.1 16.1 13.2 11.1 9.2 6.1 3.9 2.2 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 83.8% 3.6 112 0.6 22.9 21.1 17.3 12.6 8.2 1.2 0.1
Regionals 99.4% 3.3 101 20.5 19.8 17.2 14.9 11.5 8.6 5.1 1.8 0.0
Sectionals 100% 2.3 73 28.9 33.0 24.6 9.5 3.4 0.6



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Chris Walden 99.9% 3.8 10.8 15.8 14.1 11.8 9.3 7.8 6.0 4.7 4.1 3.0 2.8 2.1 1.8 1.4 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 99.5% 99.9%
Patrick Appleton 82.6% 36.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.8 1.8 2.0 0.1% 17.9%
Daniel Williams 82.6% 75.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.2%
Eric Kinn 82.6% 82.1 0.0% 0.1%
Charlie Watson 82.6% 83.9 0.0 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Raleigh 82.6% 97.1 0.0% 0.0%
Bobby Browning 82.6% 101.3 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Chris Walden 100% 2.2 16.1 31.0 19.0 11.4 8.2 4.9 3.4 2.1 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Patrick Appleton 85.1% 20.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.3 1.8 2.1 3.2 3.2 3.8 4.4 4.5 4.3 4.8 4.7 4.8 4.5 4.5 4.8 4.5 8.0% 57.3%
Daniel Williams 83.8% 35.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.8 0.8 1.3 0.0% 2.8%
Eric Kinn 83.8% 39.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.0% 1.3%
Charlie Watson 83.8% 39.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.0% 1.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Chris Walden 100% 1.6 20.0 50.6 17.4 7.3 2.9 1.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Patrick Appleton 99.5% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 3.3 4.9 5.3 6.0 5.9 6.3 6.2 5.7 5.8 5.6 5.5 4.6 4.9 4.5 4.0 3.7 3.5 2.6 2.3 1.8 18.0% 92.7%
Daniel Williams 99.4% 29.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.0 1.7 1.7 2.5 2.7 3.1 3.6 3.9 4.4 0.0% 23.5%
Eric Kinn 99.4% 32.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.9 0.9 1.4 1.7 2.1 2.2 2.4 3.2 0.0% 12.7%
Charlie Watson 99.4% 33.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.7 2.3 2.7 2.8 0.0% 11.9%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Chris Walden 1.0 82.8 13.4 3.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Patrick Appleton 8.0 0.9 3.7 9.4 9.6 9.7 8.4 8.7 8.4 7.7 7.1 6.8 5.1 4.1 3.0 2.3 1.6 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1
Daniel Williams 19.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.7 2.1 3.0 3.9 4.4 5.2 5.6 6.6 6.2 6.7 6.2 6.6 6.5 5.8 5.5 5.0
Eric Kinn 21.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.4 2.1 2.6 3.4 4.2 4.7 5.4 6.0 6.3 6.8 6.3 6.8 6.5 5.8
Charlie Watson 22.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 1.1 1.5 1.8 2.8 3.1 4.1 4.5 4.6 5.6 6.0 5.8 6.5 6.0 6.9 6.2