Mishawaka
Boys - Girls
2010 - 2011 - 2012
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State Rank #5
New Haven Semi-State Rank #1
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #1
Riley Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 5th place at State Finals
State Champion 1.1%
Top 5 at State Finals 41.1%
Top 10 at State Finals 89.5%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
7  Miguel Lozano 12 15:46
39  Eric Hancock 12 16:13
66  Jordan Annis 11 16:23
73  Justin Duvall 12 16:25
182  Austin Ganger 11 16:54
Tyler Thibodeaux 12 17:08
Patrick Wagner 11 17:13
Eli O'Hara 12 17:41
DateRace Rating
09/17 New Prairie Invitational (AAA) 207
09/24 Culver Invitational (Open) 248
10/11 Riley Sectional 210
10/15 Elkhart Central Regional 203
10/22 New Haven Semi-State 194
10/29 State Finals 173
11/13 NXN Midwest 232




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100.0% 6.5 214 1.1 5.2 8.8 12.6 13.4 12.6 11.4 9.4 7.9 7.1 4.6 3.3 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 100% 1.6 78 62.7 23.4 10.1 2.9 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.3 34 73.4 25.0 1.6
Sectionals 100% 1.3 27 73.9 26.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Miguel Lozano 100.0% 9.8 0.0 7.0 6.1 6.2 5.8 5.7 5.3 5.2 4.8 4.7 4.2 4.2 4.0 3.3 3.4 3.2 2.3 2.6 2.4 2.2 1.9 2.0 1.8 1.5 1.2 66.7% 100.0%
Eric Hancock 100.0% 42.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.2 0.0% 82.8%
Jordan Annis 100.0% 58.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.0% 50.8%
Justin Duvall 100.0% 63.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0% 39.1%
Austin Ganger 100.0% 114.6 0.0% 0.2%
Tyler Thibodeaux 100.0% 137.5 0.0% 0.0%
Patrick Wagner 100.0% 145.5 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Miguel Lozano 100% 1.3 41.6 30.8 12.5 6.7 3.7 2.0 1.1 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Eric Hancock 100% 8.8 0.0 1.3 4.3 6.2 7.0 7.9 8.3 8.6 7.6 7.4 6.5 5.7 4.7 4.0 3.4 3.0 2.6 2.4 2.0 1.5 1.2 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.4 100.0%
Jordan Annis 100% 14.9 0.1 0.7 1.0 1.7 2.6 3.1 4.0 4.8 5.0 5.0 6.0 5.8 5.4 5.8 5.3 5.3 4.8 4.1 4.1 3.4 3.1 2.8 2.4 2.0 99.6%
Justin Duvall 100% 17.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.8 1.3 1.7 2.4 3.2 3.9 4.6 4.9 5.3 5.3 4.9 5.4 5.6 4.7 4.8 4.5 4.1 4.3 3.7 3.1 2.7 99.3%
Austin Ganger 100% 46.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.9 42.7%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Miguel Lozano 100% 1.1 47.4 45.7 6.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Eric Hancock 100% 3.5 0.0 2.8 29.5 35.2 14.9 9.3 4.3 2.2 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Jordan Annis 100% 5.4 0.3 4.5 13.5 23.8 20.1 14.8 10.3 5.1 3.2 1.7 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Justin Duvall 100% 6.0 0.1 2.0 7.9 17.3 22.1 15.6 14.3 8.0 4.8 3.0 1.5 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 100.0%
Austin Ganger 100% 16.1 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.8 3.7 4.7 5.8 6.1 6.5 6.8 6.3 6.8 6.3 6.1 6.2 5.4 4.4 4.1 3.5 3.2 2.5 95.4%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Miguel Lozano 1.0 48.4 50.8 0.6 0.2 0.0
Eric Hancock 2.8 0.1 3.6 59.1 19.1 11.5 4.3 1.7 0.4 0.1 0.0
Jordan Annis 4.4 0.4 10.0 29.3 24.7 17.4 12.2 3.8 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0
Justin Duvall 4.9 0.2 4.9 19.0 28.8 17.6 19.5 6.0 2.5 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
Austin Ganger 10.1 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.2 13.2 14.9 14.8 15.3 11.6 10.1 6.2 4.3 2.2 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0