| Rank | Name | Grade | Rating |  
 | 
Mason Herhusky | 
12 | 
16:55 | 
 
 | 
Adam Corya | 
11 | 
16:58 | 
 
 | 
Max Gernhard | 
12 | 
17:07 | 
 
 | 
Alex Niksch | 
12 | 
17:07 | 
 
 | 
Brian Rice | 
11 | 
17:10 | 
 
 | 
Ryan Cash | 
10 | 
17:11 | 
 
 | 
Andrew Brake | 
11 | 
17:21 | 
 
 | 
Max Leeds | 
12 | 
17:21 | 
 
 | 
Logan Winters | 
10 | 
17:21 | 
 
 | 
Tyler Keen | 
12 | 
17:26 | 
 
 | 
Ty Abbitt | 
12 | 
17:34 | 
 
 | 
Kyle Munz | 
9 | 
17:35 | 
 
 | 
Bond Bixler | 
10 | 
17:45 | 
 
 | 
Patrick Stuff | 
9 | 
18:03 | 
 
 | 
Beau Boggs | 
11 | 
18:05 | 
 
 
 | 
| Date | Race | 
Rating | 
 
| 08/18 | 
Carmel Classic 5k | 
 | 
 
| 08/25 | 
Western Invitational | 
590 | 
 
| 09/01 | 
Harrison Invitational | 
443 | 
 
| 09/08 | 
Ben Davis Invitational | 
437 | 
 
| 09/15 | 
Flashrock Invitational | 
415 | 
 
| 09/22 | 
Southport Invitational | 
412 | 
 
| 09/25 | 
Wildcat Reserve Invitational | 
571 | 
 
| 09/29 | 
Hoosier Crossroads Conference | 
354 | 
 
| 10/02 | 
Guerin Invitational | 
 | 
 
| 10/09 | 
Ben Davis Sectional | 
458 | 
 
| 10/13 | 
Ben Davis Regional | 
450 | 
 
| 10/20 | 
Carmel Semi-State | 
407 | 
 
 
 | 
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.