Carmel
Boys - Girls
2011 - 2012 - 2013
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State Rank #1
Carmel Semi-State Rank #1
Brebeuf Jesuit Regional Rank #1
Noblesville Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 1st place at State Finals
State Champion 35.3%
Top 5 at State Finals 88.3%
Top 10 at State Finals 98.7%
Advance to State Finals 99.0%
Advance to Semi-State 99.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
26  Bobby Browning 11 16:04
36  Charlie Watson 12 16:09
40  Ben Veatch 9 16:10
46  Corey Turner 12 16:14
48  Ben Anderson 11 16:15
51  Michael George 11 16:17
86  Jaedon Wilson 12 16:29
111  Daniel Williams 12 16:37
117  Patrick Appleton 12 16:39
161  Collin McMahon 11 16:49
Daniel Sechuga 11 16:56
Thomas Revard 9 17:02
Josh Horowitz 11 17:04
Ben Booher 11 17:10
Kyle Hook 11 17:14
Michael Lukovic 10 17:14
Jace Wisdorf 10 17:20
Andrew Kalthoff 10 17:35
Zach Horowitz 10 17:45
Matthew Croaning 9 17:51
DateRace Rating
08/18 Carmel Classic 5k
08/28 Hamilton County 138
09/01 Harrison Invitational 208
09/08 Ben Davis Invitational 214
09/15 Trinity/Valkyrie 143
09/22 Culver Invitational 157
09/25 Wildcat Reserve Invitational 391
10/03 Metro Interscholastic Conference 164
10/09 Noblesville Sectional 123
10/13 Brebeuf Jesuit Regional 171
10/20 Carmel Semi-State 133
10/27 State Finals 115
11/11 NXN Midwest 136
12/01 NXN




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 99.0% 2.8 133 35.3 20.9 16.2 9.7 6.2 4.0 2.9 2.0 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 99.0% 1.6 58 55.6 29.4 9.5 3.4 1.1
Regionals 100% 1.8 69 53.2 28.1 10.7 5.1 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.5 41 57.2 33.2 9.6 0.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Bobby Browning 99.0% 27.9 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.4 1.7 1.8 1.7 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.3 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.8 2.2 2.5 1.9% 71.7%
Charlie Watson 99.0% 36.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.0 1.4 1.2 1.3 1.6 1.4 1.6 1.9 1.9 1.8 2.0 2.0 0.0% 52.0%
Ben Veatch 99.0% 38.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.3 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.6 0.0% 46.0%
Corey Turner 99.0% 46.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 1.0 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.0 1.0 0.0% 29.7%
Ben Anderson 99.0% 47.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 0.0% 27.7%
Michael George 99.0% 50.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.0% 20.8%
Jaedon Wilson 99.0% 72.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0% 2.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Bobby Browning 99.0% 10.8 0.9 2.5 3.3 4.5 4.6 5.0 5.8 5.5 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.0 5.1 5.1 4.8 4.2 3.8 3.4 2.8 2.5 2.3 1.8 1.6 1.2 0.9 7.6% 82.2%
Charlie Watson 99.0% 14.5 0.3 0.9 1.2 1.8 2.1 3.2 3.3 4.0 4.2 4.5 4.9 5.5 5.5 5.2 5.6 5.2 5.1 4.9 4.3 4.1 3.7 3.4 2.8 2.4 2.2 1.9% 64.7%
Ben Veatch 99.0% 15.6 0.2 0.3 0.9 1.4 2.0 2.1 2.7 3.2 3.6 3.8 4.5 4.8 5.3 5.6 5.6 5.7 5.6 5.3 4.9 4.6 4.3 3.8 3.3 2.8 2.1 2.9% 58.8%
Corey Turner 99.0% 18.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.8 1.2 1.2 1.7 1.9 2.5 2.9 3.5 3.9 4.2 4.9 5.1 5.2 5.1 5.0 5.2 5.2 5.0 4.2 3.9 3.8 1.0% 40.0%
Ben Anderson 99.0% 19.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.5 2.1 2.2 2.8 3.3 3.7 3.8 4.8 4.6 5.0 5.3 5.4 5.8 4.9 4.8 4.4 4.3 3.8 1.0% 37.3%
Michael George 99.0% 21.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.3 1.7 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.4 3.7 4.0 4.4 4.6 5.0 5.1 5.4 5.7 4.9 4.8 4.4 1.0% 30.2%
Jaedon Wilson 99.0% 30.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.4 1.7 2.8 3.1 3.1 3.8 4.0 0.0% 2.9%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Bobby Browning 100% 9.4 1.0 2.7 4.4 5.1 6.0 6.7 7.2 7.1 6.9 7.0 6.9 6.2 5.6 4.8 4.5 3.8 3.1 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.2 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.4 99.6%
Charlie Watson 100% 12.6 0.3 0.9 1.7 2.2 3.1 4.0 4.0 5.3 5.4 6.3 6.3 7.1 6.2 6.1 5.9 5.0 4.7 4.6 3.9 3.4 2.7 2.4 2.0 1.5 1.3 97.3%
Ben Veatch 100% 13.5 0.1 0.6 1.1 2.0 2.6 3.0 3.6 4.3 4.9 5.3 6.0 6.5 6.7 6.2 6.0 5.8 5.5 4.8 4.7 3.9 3.4 2.7 2.3 2.0 1.3 96.5%
Corey Turner 100% 16.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.6 2.0 2.3 3.1 3.4 4.2 4.7 5.4 5.3 5.9 6.0 6.4 6.0 6.0 5.0 5.3 4.3 4.0 3.3 2.8 90.9%
Ben Anderson 100% 17.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.5 2.3 2.7 3.6 3.6 4.8 4.7 5.6 5.3 6.1 5.9 5.6 6.0 5.7 5.0 4.7 4.2 3.8 3.1 89.2%
Michael George 100% 18.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.3 1.4 2.1 2.6 3.1 3.4 4.1 4.8 5.5 5.4 6.0 5.7 6.0 5.6 6.0 5.5 4.7 4.4 3.9 85.1%
Jaedon Wilson 100% 26.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.9 2.5 3.0 3.3 4.0 4.6 5.0 5.5 5.7 37.2%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Bobby Browning 4.9 1.8 10.1 10.6 14.9 14.3 11.7 9.9 7.9 5.9 4.4 3.2 2.1 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
Charlie Watson 7.1 0.6 3.6 5.3 8.5 10.2 10.8 10.5 10.5 9.2 7.8 6.7 5.3 4.0 2.6 1.9 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
Ben Veatch 7.8 0.5 2.4 4.2 6.6 8.4 9.7 10.3 10.0 10.2 9.0 7.4 6.8 5.0 3.4 2.7 1.7 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
Corey Turner 9.8 0.1 0.8 1.6 2.8 4.6 6.2 7.9 8.9 9.7 9.8 9.7 8.8 7.9 7.1 5.2 3.7 2.6 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.0
Ben Anderson 10.1 0.1 0.6 1.3 2.4 3.7 5.6 7.0 8.8 9.3 9.9 10.0 9.5 8.5 7.1 5.5 4.0 3.2 1.8 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0
Michael George 11.1 0.0 0.4 0.8 1.6 2.7 4.0 5.2 7.4 8.2 9.0 10.1 10.2 9.6 8.7 7.3 5.5 3.9 2.4 1.8 0.8 0.4 0.1
Jaedon Wilson 16.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.2 2.1 3.4 4.5 6.2 8.3 10.3 12.8 13.1 10.9 9.3 8.6 5.5 1.9 0.6 0.2 0.1