Carmel
Boys - Girls
1999 - 2000 - 2001
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State Rank #1
Franklin Central Semi-State Rank #1
Noblesville Regional Rank #1
Carmel Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 1st place at State Finals
State Champion 48.1%
Top 5 at State Finals 99.9%
Top 10 at State Finals 100.0%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
Sarah Huddleston 12 18:28
Michelle Rafferty 11 18:46
Ashley Urick 11 18:48
31  Katie Harrington 9 19:19
49  Erica Hurst 19:36
58  Magin Kebert 9 19:44
61  Jaime Calhoun 11 19:45
68  Courtney Ellabarger 11 19:48




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 1.8 72 48.1 30.6 16.4 4.4 0.4 0.1
Semi-State 100% 1.3 35 70.0 29.3 0.7 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.0 17 100.0
Sectionals 100% 1.0 16 100.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sarah Huddleston 100% 4.7 6.1 9.1 11.9 13.2 13.5 11.9 10.3 7.2 4.8 3.7 2.3 1.6 1.3 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Michelle Rafferty 100% 9.9 0.2 0.9 1.6 2.7 4.5 6.4 7.9 9.2 9.1 8.3 7.6 6.2 5.4 5.1 4.0 3.7 3.1 2.0 2.1 1.6 1.5 1.3 1.0 1.0 0.7 99.9%
Ashley Urick 100% 10.8 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.2 3.8 5.3 7.5 7.6 8.2 8.1 7.3 6.8 6.0 5.6 4.3 3.9 3.4 3.1 2.3 2.2 1.6 1.5 1.2 1.0 0.9 99.9%
Katie Harrington 100% 30.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.3 1.6 1.9 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.5 2.9 2.9 3.0 2.9 2.8 3.1 84.8%
Erica Hurst 100% 47.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.9 42.6%
Magin Kebert 100% 57.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 21.8%
Jaime Calhoun 100% 58.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 19.8%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sarah Huddleston 100% 1.6 31.7 29.9 26.3 8.7 2.4 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Michelle Rafferty 100% 3.8 2.2 8.7 17.3 27.9 23.9 10.6 4.8 2.4 1.1 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Ashley Urick 100% 4.0 1.4 6.4 15.1 26.2 27.0 11.8 5.9 2.8 1.5 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Katie Harrington 100% 9.2 0.1 0.5 2.1 9.8 11.8 12.1 11.5 9.1 8.0 6.4 5.2 4.3 4.0 3.1 2.5 2.0 1.7 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.4 100.0%
Erica Hurst 100% 16.4 0.1 0.7 2.0 3.0 3.8 4.6 5.3 5.7 5.6 5.8 6.0 5.5 5.3 4.9 4.4 4.0 4.0 3.5 3.5 2.9 2.5 100.0%
Magin Kebert 100% 21.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.5 1.9 2.4 3.0 3.4 4.0 4.0 4.7 4.7 4.6 4.4 4.6 4.3 4.4 4.2 3.7 3.9 99.9%
Jaime Calhoun 100% 21.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.2 1.7 2.2 2.6 3.2 3.7 4.1 4.0 4.4 4.8 4.9 4.5 4.8 4.4 3.9 4.0 3.9 100.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sarah Huddleston 100% 1.0 84.5 12.8 2.7 0.0 100.0%
Michelle Rafferty 100% 1.9 8.8 48.1 40.1 2.7 0.4 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Ashley Urick 100% 2.1 6.6 37.8 51.5 3.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Katie Harrington 100% 3.9 0.0 0.2 2.4 52.9 22.8 11.1 5.6 2.8 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Erica Hurst 100% 6.4 0.1 5.7 17.7 19.1 17.7 13.9 10.4 7.1 4.7 2.5 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Magin Kebert 100% 8.1 1.6 6.4 10.8 14.0 15.9 14.6 13.1 10.7 7.8 3.9 1.0 0.3 0.1 100.0%
Jaime Calhoun 100% 8.2 1.2 5.4 10.4 13.6 15.8 14.7 13.6 11.6 8.4 3.5 1.3 0.4 0.1 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sarah Huddleston 1.0 85.0 12.6 2.4
Michelle Rafferty 1.8 8.9 48.5 40.8 1.7 0.1 0.0
Ashley Urick 2.1 6.1 38.4 52.9 2.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
Katie Harrington 3.7 0.2 2.3 64.5 19.3 7.3 3.7 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0
Erica Hurst 5.7 0.1 8.3 27.0 20.8 16.4 11.1 7.9 4.9 2.4 1.0 0.1 0.0
Magin Kebert 7.2 2.0 9.5 15.9 18.7 16.7 13.8 11.5 7.6 3.4 0.8 0.2
Jaime Calhoun 7.5 1.4 8.5 14.5 17.2 16.8 15.4 12.9 8.2 4.1 0.8 0.3