Carmel
Boys - Girls
2002 - 2003 - 2004
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State Rank #2
Franklin Central Semi-State Rank #1
Noblesville Regional Rank #1
Carmel Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 2nd place at State Finals
State Champion 5.2%
Top 5 at State Finals 76.4%
Top 10 at State Finals 99.8%
Advance to State Finals 99.8%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
2  Katie Harrington 12 18:12
5  Marie Grabinski 12 18:20
77  Kara Kroot 9 19:56
85  Carly Anderson 10 19:58
Brittany Rutledge 9 20:08
Nikki Bonacorsi 10 20:15
Caitlin Street 11 21:08




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 99.8% 4.1 147 5.2 20.0 18.8 17.5 14.9 11.5 7.0 3.1 1.5 0.3 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 100% 2.1 86 30.8 36.1 22.2 9.6 1.2 0.2 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.0 28 97.3 2.6 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.0 27 97.5 2.5 0.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Katie Harrington 100% 3.0 15.0 18.4 16.8 13.0 11.1 9.1 6.2 4.0 2.6 1.5 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Marie Grabinski 100% 4.8 4.3 9.6 11.6 13.6 13.1 11.4 10.2 8.4 5.9 4.1 2.9 1.8 1.0 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Kara Kroot 99.8% 64.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0% 10.8%
Carly Anderson 99.8% 67.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0% 7.9%
Brittany Rutledge 99.8% 78.5 0.0 0.0% 2.1%
Nikki Bonacorsi 99.8% 85.8 0.0% 0.7%
Caitlin Street 99.8% 130.9 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Katie Harrington 100% 1.4 37.5 29.6 22.0 10.1 0.6 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Marie Grabinski 100% 2.4 12.3 26.3 29.6 28.3 2.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Kara Kroot 100% 25.6 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.6 1.5 2.2 2.3 2.9 3.5 3.2 3.9 3.7 3.8 3.7 4.0 4.0 3.9 97.6%
Carly Anderson 100% 27.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.7 2.0 2.2 2.4 3.0 3.0 3.5 3.6 4.1 3.9 3.9 3.7 96.8%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Katie Harrington 100% 1.0 71.2 28.8 100.0%
Marie Grabinski 100% 1.3 28.8 71.2 0.0 100.0%
Kara Kroot 100% 6.4 7.3 11.8 13.3 13.0 11.5 10.4 8.0 6.0 5.3 4.3 3.0 2.1 1.5 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 99.1%
Carly Anderson 100% 7.1 5.4 8.9 11.0 12.3 11.4 9.9 9.4 7.3 6.6 5.2 4.0 3.2 2.1 1.3 1.0 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.5%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Katie Harrington 1.0 71.8 28.2
Marie Grabinski 1.3 28.2 71.7 0.0
Kara Kroot 6.2 7.2 12.1 14.2 13.6 11.9 10.6 8.5 6.7 5.2 3.8 2.6 1.8 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
Carly Anderson 7.0 5.4 9.8 11.2 12.8 11.3 10.5 9.9 8.1 6.6 5.1 3.4 2.8 1.5 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1