Boys - Girls
Bellmont Regional
2002 - 2003 - 2004




These are rankings of individuals and teams that feed into this regional. It is not a projected order of finish in the race.
Below the rankings is a projection of this round of the tournament.



RankNameGradeSchoolRatingState Rank
Alissa McKaig 12 Concordia Lutheran 18:00 #1  
Adele Mitchell 11 Concordia Lutheran 18:29 #8  
Sarah Manck 12 Concordia Lutheran 19:14 #23  
Erin Kingsbury 12 Northrop 19:22 #28  
Haleigh Lehman 9 South Adams 19:47 #53  
Alyssa Johnson 10 Jay County 19:47 #55  
Leann Sarka 12 Homestead 19:50 #65  
Samantha Lee 10 Homestead 19:55 #74  
Amber Wray 10 Fort Wayne North Side 19:59 #88  
RankNameSectionalRatingState Rank
Concordia Lutheran Woodlan 268 #8  
Northrop Woodlan 386 #14  
Homestead Woodlan 422 #18  
Jay County Bellmont 569 #34  



Regional Simulation




Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Only teams that advanced out of the sectional simulation for each trial were included in the regional simulation for that trial. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



SchoolAdvances to RoundAvg FinishAvg ScoreMin ScoreMax Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Concordia Lutheran 100.0% 1.0 36 22 50 96.5 3.4 0.0
Northrop 100.0% 2.3 51 31 74 2.5 65.3 31.5 0.8
Homestead 100.0% 2.7 55 33 77 1.0 31.1 64.7 3.2
Jay County 100.0% 4.0 72 49 93 0.2 3.8 96.0


RunnerSchoolRatingAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Alissa McKaig Concordia Lutheran 18:00 100.0% 1.0 98.1 1.9
Adele Mitchell Concordia Lutheran 18:29 100.0% 1.5 1.9 97.4 0.8 0.0
Sarah Manck Concordia Lutheran 19:14 100.0% 2.8 0.1 60.2 28.3 7.1 2.6 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Erin Kingsbury Northrop 19:22 100.0% 3.4 0.0 0.7 31.8 42.5 14.5 5.8 3.0 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0
Haleigh Lehman South Adams 19:47 100.0% 5.9 2.8 8.5 21.3 19.6 16.0 13.1 8.5 5.3 2.6 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Alyssa Johnson Jay County 19:47 100.0% 5.9 1.9 8.7 21.1 19.7 16.1 13.4 10.1 5.0 2.4 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.1
Leann Sarka Homestead 19:50 100.0% 6.4 0.0 1.4 6.0 15.6 18.9 19.2 15.8 11.3 5.9 3.2 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1
Samantha Lee Homestead 19:55 100.0% 7.2 0.6 3.2 9.9 14.5 17.8 18.5 14.8 9.6 5.7 3.0 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0
Amber Wray Fort Wayne North Side 19:59 100.0% 7.9 0.5 2.4 7.8 12.0 13.9 15.6 17.4 13.0 7.5 5.0 2.6 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0