Valparaiso
Boys - Girls
2003 - 2004 - 2005
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State Rank #1
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #1
New Prairie Regional Rank #1
Chesterton Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 1st place at State Finals
State Champion 42.9%
Top 5 at State Finals 96.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 100.0%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
8  Lauren Hardesty 10 18:50
23  Amanda Hardesty 10 19:11
24  Andrea Kent 11 19:14
34  Ashlee Karp 10 19:23
64  Erica Johnson 12 19:49
86  Molly Steiner 10 19:57
Elizabeth Pochop 11 20:09




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 2.2 112 42.9 25.7 14.5 8.6 4.3 2.2 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0
Semi-State 100% 1.0 47 96.5 3.5 0.0 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.1 32 93.3 6.7 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.1 30 92.6 7.3 0.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lauren Hardesty 100% 9.8 0.3 1.2 3.3 4.9 6.3 7.4 7.3 7.1 6.9 6.6 5.8 5.5 4.5 4.4 3.8 3.4 2.8 2.8 2.1 1.8 1.9 1.4 1.5 1.2 0.8 99.9%
Amanda Hardesty 100% 23.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.8 1.5 1.6 2.3 2.5 2.4 3.0 3.0 3.3 2.9 3.5 3.7 3.6 3.8 3.6 3.5 3.2 3.7 3.7 94.8%
Andrea Kent 100% 24.9 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.3 2.1 2.4 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.2 3.3 3.3 3.4 3.4 3.6 3.5 3.4 92.9%
Ashlee Karp 100% 33.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.2 0.9 1.8 1.6 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.4 2.4 2.7 2.8 78.4%
Erica Johnson 100% 61.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 14.7%
Molly Steiner 100% 70.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 5.3%
Elizabeth Pochop 100% 85.3 0.0 0.0 0.7%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lauren Hardesty 100% 3.3 10.7 17.4 15.8 19.8 15.5 8.9 4.8 2.9 1.9 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Amanda Hardesty 100% 7.6 0.3 1.4 3.2 5.2 9.0 12.0 12.0 11.5 10.3 8.3 6.8 5.5 4.1 3.0 2.2 1.5 1.2 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Andrea Kent 100% 8.2 0.1 1.0 2.2 3.8 7.0 10.7 11.2 11.4 10.9 9.0 7.9 6.2 5.0 3.6 2.8 2.1 1.4 1.2 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Ashlee Karp 100% 11.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.1 3.7 5.4 7.9 8.5 9.5 9.4 9.1 8.1 7.0 6.2 5.3 4.0 3.0 2.1 1.9 1.6 1.0 0.7 0.6 0.4 99.9%
Erica Johnson 100% 21.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.8 2.8 3.2 4.3 4.9 5.4 6.1 5.6 5.9 5.6 5.9 5.3 4.7 4.6 91.4%
Molly Steiner 100% 25.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.5 1.8 2.6 3.0 3.4 3.8 4.3 5.2 4.9 5.3 4.8 5.1 77.4%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lauren Hardesty 100% 2.3 25.0 17.8 24.2 18.1 9.3 3.7 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Amanda Hardesty 100% 5.4 0.8 3.5 6.4 12.6 18.2 19.7 16.4 11.6 7.0 2.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Andrea Kent 100% 5.9 0.7 2.5 4.9 10.1 15.3 19.1 18.2 14.7 8.9 4.1 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Ashlee Karp 100% 7.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.8 6.1 10.8 16.6 21.2 19.7 14.0 4.7 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Erica Johnson 100% 11.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 2.1 6.0 14.1 22.5 18.0 13.3 8.8 5.6 3.9 2.2 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.8%
Molly Steiner 100% 12.7 0.1 0.1 0.7 2.1 6.0 13.0 16.5 15.3 13.0 10.5 7.5 5.4 4.2 2.7 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 95.9%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lauren Hardesty 2.1 28.6 18.7 33.1 12.9 4.6 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0
Amanda Hardesty 4.7 1.0 4.6 8.2 21.3 23.0 18.8 12.6 6.8 3.0 0.6 0.1 0.1
Andrea Kent 5.0 0.7 3.2 6.5 17.1 21.6 20.2 15.8 9.9 4.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
Ashlee Karp 6.6 0.1 0.5 1.5 5.2 10.8 18.0 23.0 20.8 14.6 3.9 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.0
Erica Johnson 9.9 0.1 0.1 0.7 2.0 6.6 15.7 29.2 19.8 12.5 7.0 3.4 1.7 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1
Molly Steiner 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.1 6.5 16.7 24.0 18.6 13.7 8.8 4.8 2.5 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.0