Carmel
Boys - Girls
2004 - 2005 - 2006
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State Rank #1
Franklin Central Semi-State Rank #1
Noblesville Regional Rank #1
Carmel Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 1st place at State Finals
State Champion 46.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 94.3%
Top 10 at State Finals 99.8%
Advance to State Finals 99.8%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
17  Lauren Waterman 10 19:08
18  Kayla McCurdy 9 19:10
22  Bridget Blair 11 19:13
54  Allie Mcmahon 12 19:43
57  Brittany Rutledge 11 19:43
63  Kelly McCurdy 9 19:46
83  Kristen Schulz 9 19:56
84  Elyse Rippe 12 19:58
Libby Weinkauf 9 20:09
Andrea Reifeis 10 20:17
Allie Baumer 10 20:21
Christina Charles 12 20:27




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 99.8% 2.2 109 46.0 21.3 13.3 8.4 5.4 3.3 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0
Semi-State 100% 1.7 66 57.7 23.7 11.5 5.3 1.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.3 28 65.2 34.8
Sectionals 100% 1.4 28 64.7 35.3



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lauren Waterman 99.8% 17.4 0.3 1.1 1.4 1.6 2.4 2.7 3.1 3.2 3.2 3.4 3.4 3.5 3.8 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.7 3.5 3.2 3.0 2.9 3.4 3.1 2.7 2.5 13.0% 90.9%
Kayla McCurdy 99.8% 19.3 0.1 0.7 1.2 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.6 2.7 3.0 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.1 3.5 3.2 3.3 3.1 3.8 3.2 3.5 3.5 3.0 3.1 3.0 2.7 4.3% 88.6%
Bridget Blair 99.8% 21.9 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.3 1.6 2.0 2.5 2.4 2.7 2.9 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.0 3.4 3.1 3.3 2.9 3.5 3.1 3.2 3.2 3.2 4.3% 82.5%
Allie Mcmahon 99.8% 52.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.0% 13.3%
Brittany Rutledge 99.8% 53.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.0% 11.9%
Kelly McCurdy 99.8% 56.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.0% 8.9%
Kristen Schulz 99.8% 68.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0% 1.9%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lauren Waterman 100% 6.8 4.1 6.4 8.1 8.5 8.3 8.1 8.3 7.8 6.9 5.7 5.4 4.5 3.8 2.7 2.4 2.0 1.7 1.4 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 100.0%
Kayla McCurdy 100% 7.4 3.4 5.2 6.6 7.7 7.8 8.1 8.0 7.8 6.9 6.7 5.5 4.8 4.1 3.4 2.8 2.5 1.8 1.5 1.3 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.2 100.0%
Bridget Blair 100% 8.9 1.5 3.5 4.6 5.6 6.6 7.2 7.1 7.4 6.9 6.9 6.4 5.8 5.4 4.2 3.5 3.3 2.9 2.5 1.7 1.5 1.2 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.7 100.0%
Allie Mcmahon 100% 24.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.5 2.3 2.5 3.0 3.0 3.5 3.7 3.8 4.1 4.4 4.4 4.0 4.1 4.1 97.2%
Brittany Rutledge 100% 25.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.3 2.2 2.2 2.5 2.7 3.3 3.4 3.4 4.2 4.0 4.5 4.0 4.3 4.1 96.9%
Kelly McCurdy 100% 26.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.5 1.6 2.3 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.2 3.4 3.6 3.5 4.0 3.8 4.3 95.5%
Kristen Schulz 100% 34.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.3 1.4 1.6 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.8 82.8%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lauren Waterman 100% 3.0 16.7 16.9 16.7 16.7 13.7 11.0 5.5 2.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Kayla McCurdy 100% 3.4 13.3 14.9 15.4 16.1 15.9 12.9 7.5 2.8 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Bridget Blair 100% 4.1 7.7 10.4 14.2 15.9 17.1 16.3 11.3 4.6 1.7 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Allie Mcmahon 100% 9.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.8 4.1 8.1 14.8 16.3 16.6 13.3 9.1 6.4 3.6 2.0 1.3 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.2%
Brittany Rutledge 100% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 3.5 7.5 13.8 16.8 16.5 13.6 10.6 6.3 3.8 2.4 1.3 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.2%
Kelly McCurdy 100% 9.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.1 5.5 10.7 14.8 16.3 15.6 12.0 8.5 5.1 3.3 1.9 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.3%
Kristen Schulz 100% 12.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 1.4 2.6 5.6 8.4 12.9 15.2 14.4 12.7 8.9 5.7 3.9 2.7 2.1 1.2 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 93.2%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lauren Waterman 2.9 17.7 17.2 17.6 18.1 14.9 10.4 3.0 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.0
Kayla McCurdy 3.2 13.5 15.3 17.4 17.6 17.3 12.8 4.7 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Bridget Blair 3.9 7.9 11.7 15.2 17.5 19.6 18.7 6.7 2.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Allie Mcmahon 8.3 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.5 5.6 15.5 19.1 18.0 14.2 10.3 6.5 3.4 2.0 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Brittany Rutledge 8.5 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.1 5.1 14.1 18.8 17.8 14.9 10.9 6.9 4.1 2.2 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Kelly McCurdy 9.1 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.3 3.9 10.7 15.0 17.5 16.3 13.3 9.2 6.0 2.9 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Kristen Schulz 11.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 2.5 4.9 8.3 14.3 17.4 16.5 13.3 9.4 5.8 3.1 1.9 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0