Carmel
Boys - Girls
2006 - 2007 - 2008
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State Rank #3
Franklin Central Semi-State Rank #2
Brebeuf Jesuit Regional Rank #2
Carmel Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 3rd place at State Finals
State Champion 15.6%
Top 5 at State Finals 98.2%
Top 10 at State Finals 100.0%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
26  Kelly McCurdy 11 19:10
35  Kayla McCurdy 11 19:18
42  Kristen Schulz 11 19:23
46  Mackenzie Skwarcan 9 19:27
49  Alex Chitwood 9 19:28
62  Kim Phan 11 19:43
66  Caren Charles 12 19:49
Lindsey Brown 10 20:07
Katie Doron 10 20:15
Allie Baumer 12 20:21




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 2.8 127 15.6 24.1 29.9 23.5 5.1 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0
Semi-State 100% 1.8 74 28.1 68.4 3.1 0.4 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.7 51 28.8 68.9 2.2 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.7 37 29.0 70.9 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kelly McCurdy 100% 27.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.0 1.5 1.6 1.5 2.0 2.4 2.5 2.4 2.8 2.7 2.9 3.1 3.1 3.4 3.2 2.9 66.7%
Kayla McCurdy 100% 34.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.7 2.1 2.2 2.0 2.4 2.4 44.5%
Kristen Schulz 100% 40.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.4 1.3 1.8 1.6 28.4%
Mackenzie Skwarcan 100% 44.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.0 1.1 19.7%
Alex Chitwood 100% 44.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.1 18.2%
Kim Phan 100% 60.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 2.0%
Caren Charles 100% 67.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.7%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kelly McCurdy 100% 12.5 0.5 0.8 1.5 2.2 3.1 3.4 4.4 5.2 5.8 6.0 6.6 6.9 6.9 6.6 6.8 6.4 5.3 4.9 4.2 3.4 2.6 2.1 1.4 0.9 0.7 98.3%
Kayla McCurdy 100% 15.8 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.1 1.5 2.0 2.9 3.3 4.2 4.8 5.1 5.7 5.8 6.7 6.4 7.0 6.8 6.2 5.6 5.0 4.6 3.5 2.7 2.0 94.0%
Kristen Schulz 100% 18.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.6 1.7 2.3 2.9 3.5 3.8 5.0 5.1 6.2 6.8 6.6 7.0 7.2 6.3 5.9 5.2 4.5 3.5 87.8%
Mackenzie Skwarcan 100% 19.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.2 1.9 2.2 2.7 3.7 4.7 5.1 5.5 6.4 6.6 7.3 7.3 6.8 6.4 5.8 4.6 79.2%
Alex Chitwood 100% 20.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.6 1.6 2.1 2.7 3.5 3.9 4.3 5.4 5.7 7.5 6.9 6.8 6.8 7.0 5.5 4.9 77.5%
Kim Phan 100% 26.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.8 2.3 3.3 3.7 4.6 6.0 6.5 6.7 32.9%
Caren Charles 100% 29.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.9 0.9 1.5 2.2 2.9 4.1 4.6 5.6 19.2%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kelly McCurdy 100% 6.2 2.6 4.6 7.6 9.9 11.3 11.5 10.9 10.6 8.3 7.0 5.4 3.6 2.5 1.5 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Kayla McCurdy 100% 8.5 0.7 1.5 3.5 4.9 6.8 8.1 9.5 10.3 10.2 9.9 8.7 6.9 5.8 4.4 3.0 1.9 1.6 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 99.6%
Kristen Schulz 100% 10.2 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.7 3.6 5.5 6.5 8.6 9.3 9.9 9.9 8.9 8.0 7.2 5.8 4.0 2.4 1.8 1.4 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 99.0%
Mackenzie Skwarcan 100% 11.5 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.3 2.2 3.7 4.7 5.7 7.4 8.9 9.5 10.1 9.2 8.6 6.9 6.2 4.4 3.3 2.2 1.5 1.2 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.2 98.2%
Alex Chitwood 100% 11.9 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.8 2.9 4.4 6.1 6.6 7.6 9.3 10.3 9.7 9.2 7.6 6.1 4.7 3.4 2.6 1.9 1.3 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.4 97.5%
Kim Phan 100% 16.8 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.4 1.7 2.8 4.1 6.0 6.7 8.4 9.8 9.5 9.3 7.8 6.3 5.3 4.5 3.5 2.8 2.4 80.7%
Caren Charles 100% 18.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.7 1.5 1.9 3.3 4.6 6.1 7.3 8.8 8.8 8.7 8.6 7.4 6.4 4.8 4.4 3.6 66.6%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kelly McCurdy 4.3 4.0 7.5 15.4 18.5 16.5 13.2 9.3 6.6 3.9 2.6 1.3 0.9 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Kayla McCurdy 6.0 1.2 2.8 7.0 11.2 13.7 14.6 14.1 11.1 9.0 6.3 4.0 2.2 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Kristen Schulz 7.3 0.4 1.3 3.6 6.1 9.1 12.2 12.7 13.0 11.9 10.2 8.0 4.6 2.9 1.9 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0
Mackenzie Skwarcan 8.3 0.2 0.6 1.7 3.8 6.3 8.9 11.2 12.7 13.4 12.4 9.9 7.5 4.9 3.2 1.6 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Alex Chitwood 8.7 0.1 0.5 1.7 3.2 5.2 7.7 10.5 11.8 13.8 13.1 11.3 8.1 5.6 3.3 1.9 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0
Kim Phan 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.8 3.4 5.3 8.0 11.5 13.8 13.5 12.1 9.4 6.6 5.4 3.2 1.8 1.2 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Caren Charles 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.5 2.6 4.7 7.5 10.8 13.3 13.1 12.0 10.6 8.4 5.9 3.6 2.3 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.1