Carmel
Boys - Girls
2007 - 2008 - 2009
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State Rank #1
Franklin Central Semi-State Rank #1
Brebeuf Jesuit Regional Rank #1
Carmel Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 1st place at State Finals
State Champion 98.8%
Top 5 at State Finals 100.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 100.0%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
2  Renee Wellman 9 18:32
5  Kelly McCurdy 12 18:36
8  Alex Chitwood 10 18:44
11  Kayla McCurdy 12 18:50
38  Sarah Bennett 9 19:21
47  Lindsey Brown 11 19:28
87  Kristen Schulz 12 19:50
88  Allison Jacobsen 9 19:50
92  Lauren Kahre 9 19:51
Karen Rans 11 20:37




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 1.0 55 98.8 1.1 0.1 0.0
Semi-State 100% 1.0 35 99.5 0.5 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.0 28 99.9 0.1 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.0 20 99.8 0.2



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Renee Wellman 100% 4.2 12.8 13.3 11.8 10.1 9.1 7.0 5.9 5.0 4.1 3.4 2.8 2.2 1.8 1.8 1.4 1.3 1.0 0.8 1.0 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 99.7%
Kelly McCurdy 100% 5.8 7.3 9.3 9.1 9.6 8.5 7.5 6.3 5.8 5.2 4.2 3.7 3.3 3.0 2.5 2.2 1.8 1.5 1.4 1.4 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.5 0.6 0.4 99.6%
Alex Chitwood 100% 10.0 1.7 3.1 4.6 5.3 6.3 5.8 6.1 5.7 6.2 5.4 5.2 4.1 4.4 4.1 3.5 3.2 2.9 2.7 2.4 2.1 2.0 1.6 1.4 1.3 1.3 97.7%
Kayla McCurdy 100% 13.2 0.6 1.2 2.1 3.0 3.9 4.2 4.8 5.3 4.7 4.8 5.0 4.9 4.4 4.6 4.1 3.8 3.7 3.2 3.0 3.0 2.8 2.5 2.3 2.0 1.9 95.5%
Sarah Bennett 100% 39.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.7 1.7 29.1%
Lindsey Brown 100% 45.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.0 16.2%
Kristen Schulz 100% 67.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Renee Wellman 100% 2.5 19.5 21.4 19.6 13.8 8.7 5.8 4.0 2.5 1.7 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Kelly McCurdy 100% 3.3 10.3 17.0 17.8 15.9 11.4 8.9 5.4 4.1 2.9 2.0 1.4 1.0 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Alex Chitwood 100% 5.4 2.6 6.0 10.0 12.3 14.1 12.7 9.9 8.4 6.3 5.0 3.6 2.7 1.9 1.5 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.9%
Kayla McCurdy 100% 6.7 1.0 2.8 5.4 8.4 11.5 12.6 11.8 10.0 7.8 6.5 5.4 4.3 3.6 2.3 2.1 1.4 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 99.6%
Sarah Bennett 100% 18.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.3 1.8 2.5 3.3 3.8 4.6 5.1 5.8 6.0 6.7 6.1 6.4 6.2 5.8 4.9 4.3 3.6 3.2 68.8%
Lindsey Brown 100% 21.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.2 1.7 2.1 2.6 3.0 3.9 4.8 5.1 5.6 5.5 6.1 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.0 4.3 50.2%
Kristen Schulz 100% 35.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.3 1.6 1.8 2.2 2.5 2.6 6.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Renee Wellman 100% 1.6 33.1 28.1 16.9 9.8 5.6 2.9 1.6 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Kelly McCurdy 100% 2.3 19.5 23.9 21.1 14.6 9.3 4.7 3.0 1.6 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Alex Chitwood 100% 3.9 5.2 11.1 17.4 18.3 15.9 11.3 7.1 4.7 3.4 2.4 1.4 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Kayla McCurdy 100% 4.9 2.1 5.5 10.4 16.5 17.6 13.9 10.4 7.4 5.6 3.8 2.4 2.0 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Sarah Bennett 100% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 3.1 4.3 5.2 6.8 8.4 9.7 10.5 9.9 8.7 7.3 6.1 4.8 3.5 2.4 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.8 0.5 95.6%
Lindsey Brown 100% 15.0 0.2 0.7 1.2 2.4 2.8 3.7 5.1 6.9 8.0 9.3 10.0 9.2 8.5 7.0 5.8 4.4 3.7 2.6 1.9 1.7 1.4 89.3%
Kristen Schulz 100% 22.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.1 1.6 2.3 3.4 4.3 5.7 5.9 6.6 6.9 6.5 6.2 6.1 5.8 38.7%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Renee Wellman 1.0 51.6 27.8 12.1 5.7 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0
Kelly McCurdy 1.6 29.9 34.1 20.6 9.7 3.2 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Alex Chitwood 2.8 9.1 18.4 29.8 23.7 10.0 4.8 2.3 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Kayla McCurdy 3.4 3.8 10.3 21.8 32.3 15.3 8.0 4.3 2.3 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Sarah Bennett 8.7 0.0 0.1 0.6 6.0 8.6 11.9 12.9 13.6 12.2 10.0 7.5 5.4 4.2 2.7 1.6 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0
Lindsey Brown 10.2 0.0 0.2 2.2 4.7 7.2 10.3 11.5 11.7 11.3 10.4 8.3 6.6 4.9 3.9 2.5 1.7 1.1 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0
Kristen Schulz 16.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.4 2.4 4.1 5.5 7.3 8.3 8.5 9.1 9.3 8.4 8.3 7.4 6.0 4.8 3.4 2.7 1.1