Noblesville
Boys - Girls
2008 - 2009 - 2010
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State Rank #4
Carmel Semi-State Rank #3
Brebeuf Jesuit Regional Rank #2
Carmel Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 4th place at State Finals
State Champion 6.8%
Top 5 at State Finals 79.3%
Top 10 at State Finals 98.1%
Advance to State Finals 99.7%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
23  Kendra Foley 9 19:07
38  Helen Willman 10 19:17
41  Rachel Kacer 9 19:21
72  Tiffany Cange 12 19:42
93  Jalynne Foley 12 19:52
Renee Studt 9 20:13
Hannah Pimley 10 20:36
Meg Bowles 12 20:44




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 99.7% 4.1 177 6.8 16.6 20.3 21.5 14.0 8.6 4.7 2.8 1.7 1.1 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 100.0% 2.8 96 10.1 29.4 32.7 23.9 3.0 0.6 0.3 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.9 54 15.4 81.9 2.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.9 42 14.9 83.7 1.4 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kendra Foley 99.7% 25.5 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.5 1.7 2.0 1.7 1.7 2.4 2.3 2.5 2.7 2.7 2.7 3.1 2.8 3.3 2.8 2.8 3.2 2.7 12.5% 80.2%
Helen Willman 99.7% 35.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.8 2.0 1.9 1.8 2.3 3.1% 56.8%
Rachel Kacer 99.7% 39.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.0 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.2 1.2 1.6 1.7 0.0% 44.8%
Tiffany Cange 99.7% 60.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0% 5.4%
Jalynne Foley 99.7% 72.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 1.2%
Renee Studt 99.7% 98.7 0.0% 0.0%
Hannah Pimley 99.7% 127.7 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kendra Foley 100% 9.2 2.3 3.4 5.0 6.0 6.7 6.8 6.5 6.3 6.0 6.2 6.1 5.7 5.1 4.2 3.9 3.5 2.9 2.7 1.9 1.9 1.4 1.2 0.9 0.7 0.7 100.0% 99.3%
Helen Willman 100.0% 13.8 0.4 0.8 1.4 2.3 2.8 3.0 4.2 4.4 4.7 5.3 5.3 5.8 5.5 5.4 5.6 5.5 5.2 4.6 4.1 3.7 3.5 2.5 2.7 2.1 1.6 0.0% 97.2%
Rachel Kacer 100.0% 16.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.3 1.7 2.3 2.7 3.0 3.4 4.1 4.6 4.7 4.9 5.5 5.5 5.3 5.4 5.4 5.2 4.4 4.1 4.0 3.4 2.8 2.8 0.0% 94.3%
Tiffany Cange 100.0% 27.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.6 2.1 2.5 2.9 3.2 3.6 3.8 4.0 4.5 4.4 0.0% 56.0%
Jalynne Foley 100.0% 35.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.5 1.7 1.7 2.4 2.5 0.0% 27.9%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kendra Foley 100% 4.1 8.0 10.6 15.5 14.1 12.7 10.7 8.6 6.2 4.5 3.3 2.2 1.3 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Helen Willman 100% 6.5 1.7 3.7 7.0 9.6 11.1 11.2 10.9 10.3 8.8 7.5 5.6 4.2 2.6 1.8 1.2 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 99.8%
Rachel Kacer 100% 7.7 0.9 2.4 4.0 6.8 8.0 9.4 10.4 10.8 10.1 9.0 7.2 5.8 4.2 3.0 2.2 2.0 1.0 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 99.7%
Tiffany Cange 100% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.1 2.8 4.4 6.0 6.9 8.2 8.5 8.0 7.3 6.3 5.6 5.2 4.0 3.4 3.6 2.7 2.5 1.9 1.6 89.9%
Jalynne Foley 100% 18.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.2 1.8 3.1 3.7 5.1 5.9 5.6 5.9 6.0 6.2 5.4 5.2 4.9 4.5 4.2 3.4 3.2 72.2%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kendra Foley 3.6 8.2 12.0 19.5 17.2 15.4 12.3 7.8 4.4 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Helen Willman 5.5 1.9 4.1 8.7 12.9 15.0 15.6 15.6 12.6 7.4 2.9 1.6 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Rachel Kacer 6.3 1.0 2.7 5.2 9.1 12.1 15.3 16.3 16.7 10.8 5.5 2.4 1.2 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Tiffany Cange 9.9 0.1 0.2 0.3 1.1 2.5 5.0 8.6 15.8 17.7 13.6 9.4 6.7 5.2 3.8 3.2 2.2 1.7 1.2 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1
Jalynne Foley 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.9 5.9 10.5 13.4 12.2 9.7 8.4 7.5 6.3 5.5 4.0 3.0 2.8 1.7 1.4 1.1 0.7 0.4