Warsaw
Boys - Girls
2009 - 2010 - 2011
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State Rank #23
New Haven Semi-State Rank #7
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #2
Elkhart Central Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.6%
Advance to State Finals 34.9%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
54  Ashley Erba 10 19:25
69  Anna Bearss 9 19:33
139  Brooke Kline 11 20:02
Kristin Quick 10 21:05
Madeline Hooks 9 21:08
Creigh Ogle 11 21:12
Kara Millington 9 21:34




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 34.9% 16.2 380 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.3 1.6 3.0 4.4 6.1 6.5 5.4 3.4 1.5 0.4 0.0
Semi-State 100% 7.1 189 0.0 0.4 1.2 3.4 9.2 20.6 26.1 20.8 11.6 5.2 1.4 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 2.1 61 24.9 42.7 32.2 0.2 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.7 37 31.6 68.4 0.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ashley Erba 71.5% 45.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8 56.3% 67.8%
Anna Bearss 55.4% 51.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 31.6% 45.8%
Brooke Kline 35.1% 83.6 0.3% 2.4%
Kristin Quick 34.9% 147.3 0.0% 0.0%
Madeline Hooks 34.9% 149.7 0.0% 0.0%
Creigh Ogle 34.9% 152.9 0.0% 0.0%
Kara Millington 34.9% 167.0 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ashley Erba 100% 11.8 0.1 1.0 2.2 3.2 4.2 4.5 5.3 5.5 6.1 6.3 6.6 6.3 6.2 5.1 5.2 4.6 4.2 3.5 3.1 2.6 2.3 2.0 1.7 1.4 1.3 100.0%
Anna Bearss 100% 15.8 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.1 1.7 2.0 2.4 3.2 4.1 4.2 4.6 5.4 5.6 5.3 5.4 5.2 5.2 4.8 4.6 4.1 4.2 3.5 2.8 2.7 2.3 100.0%
Brooke Kline 100% 33.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.0 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.5 2.8 99.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ashley Erba 100% 3.6 4.5 10.5 20.1 27.0 18.7 11.1 5.0 1.8 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Anna Bearss 100% 4.6 1.1 3.8 9.6 19.4 25.4 19.2 12.0 5.5 2.5 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Brooke Kline 100% 8.7 0.1 0.4 1.6 5.8 12.5 18.4 17.1 15.0 12.2 7.8 4.5 2.4 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ashley Erba 2.6 5.7 16.1 49.5 24.1 3.7 0.8 0.1 0.0
Anna Bearss 3.3 1.6 6.6 26.1 52.0 9.9 3.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
Brooke Kline 5.4 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.8 37.4 24.5 23.6 9.2 1.7 0.5 0.1