Carmel
Boys - Girls
2010 - 2011 - 2012
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State Rank #1
Carmel Semi-State Rank #1
Brebeuf Jesuit Regional Rank #1
Noblesville Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 1st place at State Finals
State Champion 99.8%
Top 5 at State Finals 100.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 100.0%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
Renee Wellman 12 18:20
Sarah Bennett 12 18:27
Kelcy Welch 10 18:31
Gina Genco 10 18:41
14  Haley Harris 9 18:49
23  Allison Jacobsen 12 18:59
29  Kelsey Harris 9 19:04
34  Ellen Schmitz 11 19:09
35  Emma McCausland 9 19:09
63  Nicole Thinnes 12 19:28
64  Lauren Kahre 12 19:28
66  Claire Corvari 9 19:29
67  Karlye Wanner 12 19:30
81  Anna Schmitz 9 19:38
86  Aya Tomozawa 12 19:40
125  Cami Trachtman 11 19:59
136  Erica Ernst 12 20:03
Hannah Blystone 9 20:07
Christel Richard 9 20:15
DateRace Rating
08/26 Taylor University Invitational
08/29 Hamilton County Championship
09/02 Marion Invitational
09/09 Brown County Eagle Classic
09/16 Trinity/Valkyrie Invitational
09/23 Metro Interscholastic Conf.
10/07 Noblesville Sectional
10/14 Noblesville Regional
10/21 Shelbyville Semi-State
10/28 State Finals




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 1.0 40 99.8 0.2
Semi-State 100% 1.0 28 99.9 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.0 23 100.0
Sectionals 100% 1.0 21 100.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Renee Wellman 100% 2.7 19.5 20.0 15.5 11.3 7.9 6.4 4.1 3.5 2.8 2.0 1.5 1.4 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 99.9%
Sarah Bennett 100% 4.7 6.6 11.4 12.8 11.7 10.1 8.2 7.2 5.4 4.4 3.9 3.1 2.7 2.2 1.5 1.5 1.3 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 99.6%
Kelcy Welch 100% 6.2 3.7 6.9 9.7 10.4 9.2 8.6 7.8 7.1 5.3 4.6 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.8 1.7 1.2 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.5 99.1%
Gina Genco 100% 10.8 0.4 1.5 2.4 4.3 5.8 5.9 6.6 6.4 6.0 6.1 5.7 4.9 4.6 4.2 4.1 3.2 3.2 3.1 2.4 2.6 2.1 2.1 1.6 1.4 1.1 94.7%
Haley Harris 100% 16.2 0.0 0.3 0.6 1.3 2.3 2.7 3.3 3.5 4.4 4.5 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.3 4.1 4.0 3.9 3.9 3.7 3.5 3.3 3.3 2.8 2.9 2.2 84.0%
Allison Jacobsen 100% 23.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.5 1.1 1.2 1.7 1.8 2.3 2.4 2.8 2.9 3.3 2.9 3.5 3.4 3.3 3.7 3.4 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.3 59.4%
Kelsey Harris 100% 29.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.7 1.1 1.1 1.6 1.6 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.2 2.8 2.7 2.6 3.0 3.1 2.8 2.9 3.0 42.5%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Renee Wellman 100% 1.5 39.7 22.8 13.9 8.8 5.5 3.5 2.4 1.4 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Sarah Bennett 100% 3.0 13.1 19.3 18.4 13.7 9.8 7.8 5.5 4.0 2.7 2.1 1.2 1.1 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Kelcy Welch 100% 3.8 7.5 14.1 16.3 14.8 12.0 8.6 7.1 5.5 4.5 3.2 1.8 1.4 1.1 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Gina Genco 100% 6.7 1.3 3.6 6.9 9.6 10.5 11.2 10.0 9.4 7.6 6.9 5.4 4.5 3.0 2.6 2.2 1.5 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 99.7%
Haley Harris 100% 9.6 0.2 0.8 1.8 4.2 5.9 7.4 7.8 8.5 8.6 8.6 7.8 7.0 6.1 5.4 4.2 3.6 2.8 2.2 1.7 1.3 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.4 98.5%
Allison Jacobsen 100% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.3 2.2 3.6 4.7 5.3 5.9 6.8 7.4 7.2 7.0 7.0 6.4 5.9 4.8 4.4 3.5 3.3 2.5 1.9 1.5 1.4 93.2%
Kelsey Harris 100% 16.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.2 1.6 2.3 3.0 4.3 4.9 5.3 5.9 6.3 7.0 6.8 6.7 6.1 5.8 5.0 4.0 3.9 2.8 2.7 2.6 86.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Renee Wellman 100% 1.2 44.4 24.2 14.2 7.9 4.7 2.4 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Sarah Bennett 100% 2.5 15.5 23.5 20.4 14.9 9.7 6.7 4.3 2.4 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Kelcy Welch 100% 3.2 9.5 16.9 20.4 16.6 13.0 8.7 6.1 3.9 2.4 1.2 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Gina Genco 100% 5.5 1.5 4.4 8.4 14.0 14.7 14.4 12.2 10.1 7.7 5.2 3.3 2.1 1.0 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9%
Haley Harris 100% 7.5 0.2 1.0 2.7 5.6 9.3 11.8 13.1 13.4 12.1 10.0 7.8 5.3 3.4 2.0 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.7%
Allison Jacobsen 100% 10.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.7 4.4 6.6 9.3 11.3 12.7 12.9 11.4 9.1 6.5 4.5 2.6 1.4 1.1 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 98.3%
Kelsey Harris 100% 11.5 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.9 3.6 5.7 8.3 10.2 12.4 13.4 12.6 9.5 7.1 5.0 2.9 2.1 1.6 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 95.7%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Renee Wellman 1.2 44.4 24.8 15.3 7.7 4.3 2.2 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0
Sarah Bennett 2.4 16.7 24.6 21.0 15.7 10.3 6.4 3.1 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Kelcy Welch 3.0 9.8 17.4 22.0 18.1 13.1 9.2 5.5 2.9 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0
Gina Genco 5.1 1.5 5.1 9.1 15.8 17.3 16.7 14.2 9.9 5.6 2.9 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Haley Harris 6.8 0.1 1.2 2.9 6.3 11.8 14.7 17.0 17.0 12.9 7.6 4.5 2.1 1.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1
Allison Jacobsen 8.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.2 3.2 6.2 10.0 14.6 17.8 17.3 12.3 7.3 4.3 2.3 1.5 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Kelsey Harris 9.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 3.1 5.7 9.1 14.7 18.8 17.2 12.1 6.8 4.0 2.5 2.0 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0