Illinois St.
Missouri Valley
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.
RatingRank
INCC Stats Predictive Rating -6.6 287
INCC Stats Results Rating -7.2 293
Consistency 0.13 64
Pace 63.6 297
Improvement -1.1 239

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 279 C- C F+ B- C-
Defense D+ 270 C- C- D+ C- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 32% 317 C+ 59% 131 -2.4 286
2 Pt. Jumpers 37% 261 C 37% 171 +0.2 171
Three Pointers 44% 66 C- 33% 242 +1.7 106
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.4 237 C -0.3 183
1st FG Attempt C- 0.99 203
Second Chance C 27.8% 193 C 1.00 200 C 0.28 196
Opponents' Steals C- 9.8% 269
Other Turnovers F 12.1% 361
Turnovers F+ 21.9% 350
Freethrows C 0.28 182 A 79% 5 B- 0.22 88
Total Offense D+ -3.5 279

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C- 44% 243 D- 13.5% 327
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 17% 302 C+ 4.5% 161
Three Pointers C- 80% 216 F 2.0% 345
Total D+ 51% 255 D+ 6.3% 280


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 60 C 58% 188 +2.4 285
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 266 C 37% 209 -0.8 112
Three Pointers 37% 242 C- 35% 239 -0.3 175
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.6 297 C- +0.8 207
1st FG Attempt C- 1.03 230
Second Chance C 28.0% 177 D 1.09 299 C- 0.31 243
Turnovers from Steals C- 8.7% 213
Other Turnovers D+ 8.1% 280
Turnovers D+ 16.9% 252
Freethrows D+ 0.30 260 C+ 71% 123 C- 0.21 257
Total Defense D+ -3.1 270

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 46% 133 C 10.4% 165
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 21% 63 C- 4.0% 234
Three Pointers C+ 79% 108 C 0.9% 162
Total C+ 51% 115 C 5.5% 155

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.3 280 17.8 238
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 224 0.12 48
Consistency 0.14 299 0.12 119
Improvement +0.5 147 -1.6 284



Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
Mon, Nov 7 265 Western Illinois L 68 - 71 58% +1  47% 0 - 1 D- -12 F -13 F D+ F+ C+ +1 C A- F
Thu, Nov 10 346 Eastern Illinois W 54 - 49 58% +5  89% 1 - 1 C- -4 F -17 F+ F F A+ +14 A+ F+ D-
Sat, Nov 12 224 Northwestern St. W 69 - 67 26% +0  51% 2 - 1 C+ +2 B- +4 A+ D+ F C -1 C F A
Thu, Nov 17 224 Northwestern St. L 67 - 70 47% -5  10% 2 - 2 D -9 F -8 B+ F F C -0 F+ A+ C-
Mon, Nov 21 145 LSU L 61 - 77 23% -17  3% 2 - 3 F+ -15 F -19 D+ F F B+ +5 C- F+ A+
Tue, Nov 22 165 Western Kentucky L 66 - 78 25% -6  16% 2 - 4 D- -12 D -4 C- D C+ F -9 F F C+
Wed, Nov 23 254 Rhode Island L 44 - 57 43% -2  36% 2 - 5 F -18 F -23 F F+ D B- +2 A+ F B+
Thu, Dec 1 231 Murray St. L 67 - 70 OT 28% -6  6% 2 - 6 0 - 1 C- -3 F -9 C+ F F B+ +5 D A+ F
Sun, Dec 4 127 Belmont W 87 - 77 28% +2  44% 3 - 6 1 - 1 B +9 B+ +7 A+ A+ F B- +2 C+ A+ F+
Wed, Dec 7 316 Eastern Michigan W 87 - 81 69% +2  66% 4 - 6 D+ -6 B- +4 B+ A- C F -10 F B F+
Sat, Dec 10 253 SIU Edwardsville W 77 - 71 55% -1  28% 5 - 6 C- -2 C+ +3 F A+ A+ D+ -4 B- F F
Sat, Dec 17 176 Ball St. L 69 - 83 28% -5  15% 5 - 7 F+ -14 F+ -8 F+ B+ C D- -7 F C+ C-
Mon, Dec 19 302 Chicago St. W 66 - 52 65% +6  92% 6 - 7 C+ +4 F+ -7 D- A+ F A+ +13 A- C B-
Wed, Dec 28 300 Illinois-Chicago L 51 - 55 42% -9  8% 6 - 8 1 - 2 D -8 F -22 F C F A+ +13 B- A C
Sat, Dec 31 220 Northern Iowa L 60 - 66 46% -4  23% 6 - 9 1 - 3 D- -12 F -22 F D F A+ +11 B+ A+ D-
Wed, Jan 4 101 Indiana St. L 67 - 76 22% -13  0% 6 - 10 1 - 4 D -8 D -4 B- D+ C+ D+ -4 F F A+
Sat, Jan 7 353 Evansville W 69 - 61 64% +3  69% 7 - 10 2 - 4 C- -2 F+ -8 B F F B+ +6 C A B
Wed, Jan 11 163 Missouri St. W 76 - 66 OT 35% -0  39% 8 - 10 3 - 4 B +7 C +1 C B+ C- B+ +6 A F+ B
Sat, Jan 14 143 Southern Illinois L 57 - 69 16% -3  38% 8 - 11 3 - 5 D -8 D -4 A+ D F D -6 C F F
Wed, Jan 18 220 Northern Iowa L 63 - 65 25% -2  28% 8 - 12 3 - 6 C- -2 F -8 C+ F D+ A- +7 C- C A
Sat, Jan 21 293 Valparaiso L 51 - 71 63% -6  34% 8 - 13 3 - 7 F -30 F -23 F B- F F+ -9 F A+ C+
Wed, Jan 25 92 Bradley L 75 - 79 OT 9% +2  61% 8 - 14 3 - 8 B- +5 C- -1 D+ A+ F B+ +6 C- A+ F
Sun, Jan 29 143 Southern Illinois W 72 - 66 32% +3  80% 9 - 14 4 - 8 B- +4 A+ +13 A+ F+ D D- -7 D+ F D
Wed, Feb 1 300 Illinois-Chicago W 68 - 62 OT 65% +7  96% 10 - 14 5 - 8 D+ -4 F -13 B- F F A +9 D A+ C+
Sat, Feb 4 127 Belmont L 75 - 90 13% -13  0% 10 - 15 5 - 9 D -10 B+ +6 A+ F C+ F -17 F+ F F+
Wed, Feb 8 92 Bradley L 61 - 79 19% -15  0% 10 - 16 5 - 10 F -15 F+ -7 D+ B- C+ F -10 D+ F C-
Sat, Feb 11 293 Valparaiso L 76 - 81 40% -5  13% 10 - 17 5 - 11 D -9 B +6 A- C B F -15 F F B-
Wed, Feb 15 231 Murray St. L 75 - 76 49% +1  44% 10 - 18 5 - 12 D -7 C +1 A+ B+ F F+ -8 F A D
Sat, Feb 18 101 Indiana St. L 64 - 80 10% -10  0% 10 - 19 5 - 13 D -9 F -10 D- C- D+ C+ +1 A C- D+
Wed, Feb 22 75 Drake L 51 - 82 6% -12  5% 10 - 20 5 - 14 F -20 F -16 F D D- D -5 F+ B D
Sun, Feb 26 353 Evansville W 72 - 53 82% +4  66% 11 - 20 6 - 14 C+ +3 C- -0 B- A+ F B+ +5 B B C-
Thu, Mar 2 220 Northern Iowa L 62 - 75 35% -9  8% 11 - 21 F -16 F -16 D- C F C+ +0 D A+ D
Totals 11 - 21 6 - 14 -7 D+ -3 C C C- D+ -3 C- A B-


Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ C+ C C- C 32% 37% 44% C- C- C C C F+ C A B- D+ C C C- C- 41% 22% 37% D+ C- C D C- D+ D+ C+ C-
1.04 59% 37% 33% 0 0 0.99 28% 1.0 .28 22% .28 79% .22 1.13 58% 37% 35% +1 +1 1.03 28% 1.1 .31 17% .30 71% .20
Nov
7		 W. Illinois F D+ F C- F 39% 28% 33% D- F B- F D+ F+ A+ A+ A+ C+ B F A- C 37% 22% 42% B- C A+ F A- F A+ D A+
0.98 56% 8% 33% -9 0 0.80 31% 0.9 .28 19% .44 84% .37 1.02 50% 54% 28% -3 0 0.95 13% 1.4 .18 6% .15 70% .11
Nov
10		 E. Illinois F D F A+ D 21% 28% 51% F F+ D- F F F C A+ B+ A+ A+ D- A+ A+ 32% 34% 34% B- A+ D- D F+ D- D+ B- C-
0.87 56% 17% 41% -1 -2 0.95 28% 0.5 .14 26% .28 85% .24 0.79 31% 41% 12% -18 -2 0.60 28% 1.1 .31 16% .29 60% .17
Nov
12		 NW St. B- A+ F B- A+ 44% 13% 44% B+ A+ A F D+ F A+ B- A+ C A+ C+ F C 34% 32% 34% C C F B- F A F A+ F+
1.15 86% 25% 36% +12 +2 1.28 43% 0.7 .29 28% .72 77% .56 1.12 33% 36% 47% -2 -1 0.93 51% 1.0 .51 22% .36 53% .19
Nov
17		 NW St. F A+ F A+ A 27% 25% 48% D- B+ C F F F F A F+ C C+ C+ F F 30% 44% 26% A+ F+ A+ B- A+ C- F F F
1.02 75% 27% 43% +9 -1 1.16 33% 0.6 .20 26% .25 83% .21 1.07 53% 36% 54% +6 -3 1.06 20% 1.0 .20 15% .32 83% .27
Nov
21		 LSU F A+ F F D 40% 15% 46% B+ D+ F D F F C+ A+ B+ B+ D- D+ A+ C- 47% 28% 26% C C- C+ F F+ A+ F C- F
0.81 74% 14% 23% -5 +2 0.94 13% 1.0 .13 25% .25 86% .21 1.03 64% 38% 25% 0 0 1.00 30% 1.3 .40 24% .53 73% .39
Nov
22		 W. Kentucky D D- D- C+ D+ 26% 15% 60% B C- D- C D C+ B A+ A+ F A A+ F F 38% 24% 38% F+ F D+ F F C+ F C+ F
1.02 50% 29% 36% -2 +1 0.98 24% 1.0 .24 17% .28 93% .26 1.21 47% 27% 59% +8 0 1.16 29% 1.6 .45 17% .43 70% .30
Nov
23		 Rhode Isl. F F F C+ F 28% 26% 46% D F C F F+ D A+ D A- B- A+ A A+ A+ 29% 29% 41% B- A+ F F F B+ F F F
0.75 31% 17% 33% -13 -1 0.72 28% 0.7 .21 19% .36 65% .23 0.97 42% 25% 6% -26 -1 0.46 53% 1.5 .78 24% .43 84% .36
Dec
1		 Murray St. F A+ F C- B- 33% 20% 46% C C+ F+ F F F F A+ F B+ A- F F+ C- 42% 17% 40% F D C+ A+ A+ F B A A-
0.99 72% 27% 32% +2 0 1.04 21% 0.9 .18 21% .11 83% .09 1.03 50% 44% 38% +1 +1 1.04 26% 0.6 .16 12% .25 67% .17
Dec
4		 Belmont B+ C- A A+ A+ 39% 20% 41% B+ A+ A- A A+ F A- A+ A+ B- A A+ F A- 64% 6% 30% F C+ A+ A+ A+ F+ F F F
1.22 56% 44% 58% +16 +1 1.33 40% 1.2 .48 27% .32 82% .27 1.08 50% 0% 50% 0 +4 1.09 18% 0.7 .12 13% .29 83% .24
Dec
7		 E. Michigan B- A+ F F B 48% 9% 43% A- B+ D+ A+ A- C A+ A+ A+ F F+ C- F F 38% 33% 29% F+ F B+ C+ B F+ F B+ F
1.24 86% 25% 26% +7 +3 1.20 29% 1.4 .42 17% .59 79% .47 1.16 65% 41% 40% +7 -1 1.12 19% 1.0 .19 13% .41 72% .30
Dec
10		 SIUE C+ D+ D F F 53% 7% 40% A+ F B- A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ D+ A D- B+ B+ 47% 22% 31% F B- C F F F A+ F A
1.15 54% 33% 11% -16 +4 0.76 34% 1.8 .63 13% .47 85% .40 1.06 42% 42% 29% -8 +1 0.85 29% 1.6 .46 12% .19 91% .17
Dec
17		 Ball St. F+ F B+ C F 46% 22% 31% B- F+ A+ F B+ C F+ F F D- F D- F F 47% 24% 29% C- F B D+ C+ C- C C- C-
1.00 40% 42% 35% -6 +1 0.89 43% 0.9 .41 17% .23 54% .12 1.20 70% 42% 50% +14 +1 1.29 26% 1.1 .30 17% .35 70% .24
Dec
19		 Chicago St. F+ C A+ F F+ 38% 16% 47% B D- A+ A+ A+ F F A+ F A+ A- A+ A A 51% 10% 38% F A- D B C B- D A+ B
1.07 59% 57% 24% -4 +1 0.96 44% 1.7 .74 26% .13 83% .11 0.85 45% 25% 27% -12 +3 0.82 35% 0.9 .32 23% .32 53% .17
Dec
28		 IL-Chicago F F A- F F 52% 15% 33% B F C C C F F F F A+ D F A+ B- 30% 11% 59% C B- A- A+ A C F C- F
0.78 42% 43% 20% -14 +2 0.76 32% 1.0 .32 23% .22 55% .12 0.84 62% 40% 27% -5 +1 0.93 17% 0.7 .11 18% .40 67% .26
Dec
31		 No Iowa F F+ F D F 31% 20% 49% C+ F F A+ D F C- A+ B- A+ C A+ A+ A 48% 14% 38% F B+ A+ A A+ D- F A- F
0.81 50% 20% 32% -7 0 0.86 12% 1.8 .21 27% .24 85% .20 0.89 58% 29% 26% -5 +2 0.94 9% 0.7 .06 15% .43 63% .27
Jan
4		 Indiana St. D C- F A+ B- 31% 35% 35% D+ B- C D- D+ C+ F C- F D+ F A+ F+ 59% 0% 41% F F F F F A+ B F+ C+
1.02 56% 28% 44% +2 -2 1.00 25% 0.9 .22 17% .20 73% .15 1.16 81% 28% +10 +5 1.30 33% 1.3 .43 24% .24 83% .20
Jan
7		 Evansville F+ A+ F F+ B+ 37% 28% 35% D- B C+ F F F A- A+ A+ B+ A+ C+ F C- 29% 36% 36% A C A- A+ A B F C+ F
0.99 94% 23% 31% +8 -1 1.15 30% 0.3 .07 27% .33 94% .31 0.87 38% 31% 44% -2 -2 0.91 15% 0.4 .06 20% .52 62% .32
Jan
11		 MO St. C D A D- D+ 30% 16% 53% A C B- B+ B+ C- A+ A+ A+ B+ D+ A+ A+ A+ 35% 6% 59% F A F B F+ B F C+ F
1.11 54% 43% 30% -3 +1 0.95 32% 1.1 .35 19% .57 91% .52 0.96 65% 0% 21% -12 +2 0.82 43% 1.0 .41 22% .48 62% .30
Jan
14		 SIU D A+ C+ A+ A+ 19% 36% 44% F A+ F A- D F A+ C A+ D F A+ A+ C+ 43% 8% 49% D C A+ F F F C+ C C+
0.94 71% 38% 44% +10 -3 1.14 18% 1.0 .18 25% .39 67% .26 1.14 71% 25% 25% -2 +3 1.02 13% 2.5 .33 8% .25 71% .18
Jan
18		 No Iowa F A+ A- F B+ 23% 36% 41% F C+ F F+ F D+ B A A- A- B C+ F C- 28% 17% 54% C- C- A- F C A C- B+ C+
0.96 90% 44% 28% +6 -3 1.07 8% 1.0 .08 20% .28 80% .23 0.99 54% 38% 40% +4 0 1.09 16% 1.2 .19 23% .28 64% .18
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
21		 Valparaiso F F A+ F F 30% 32% 38% D- F C+ B- B- F F A D- F+ C- F F F 36% 27% 36% C- F A+ A+ A+ C+ C- A+ B
0.80 43% 47% 11% -14 -2 0.68 28% 1.2 .33 24% .21 80% .16 1.11 63% 58% 56% +20 -1 1.39 14% 0.7 .09 19% .27 57% .15
Jan
25		 Bradley C- A+ D- F C 24% 46% 30% F D+ A+ B A+ F A+ A- A+ B+ D- F A- C- 35% 20% 45% C- C- A A+ A+ F F A+ F
0.98 82% 29% 21% -4 -4 0.85 48% 1.1 .52 31% .50 81% .40 1.04 67% 50% 30% +3 +1 1.08 22% 0.8 .17 13% .48 56% .27
Jan
29		 SIU A+ D F A+ A+ 26% 28% 46% D A+ B+ F F+ D A+ A+ A+ D- A F F C- 47% 9% 45% D D+ F F F D A- A+ A+
1.22 50% 27% 61% +14 -1 1.26 35% 0.4 .15 22% .39 94% .37 1.12 50% 50% 38% 0 +3 1.06 35% 1.3 .45 17% .20 30% .06
Feb
1		 IL-Chicago F B- A+ C- A- 28% 28% 45% F B- F+ F F F A- F B- A F+ A+ D D 41% 14% 45% C- D A+ A+ A+ C+ C- A+ A
0.94 62% 54% 33% +5 -1 1.09 25% 0.7 .18 25% .37 65% .24 0.86 65% 14% 36% +1 +2 1.06 15% 0.2 .03 19% .31 44% .14
Feb
4		 Belmont B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 20% 29% 51% D- A+ D- F F C+ D- B+ D+ F F C- C F+ 47% 20% 33% D- F+ F C+ F F+ F F F
1.17 70% 50% 44% +14 -2 1.24 27% 0.8 .20 17% .21 73% .15 1.40 79% 40% 35% +11 +1 1.25 52% 0.9 .48 12% .34 84% .29
Feb
8		 Bradley F+ F B+ B- D+ 32% 32% 36% D+ D+ F A+ B- C+ B B- B+ F F+ A+ F D 43% 24% 33% C- D+ F D F C- C- B- C-
0.94 33% 40% 35% -6 -1 0.85 18% 1.7 .29 19% .32 76% .25 1.22 68% 25% 41% +5 0 1.12 39% 1.1 .42 17% .26 64% .17
Feb
11		 Valparaiso B C+ A+ D+ A- 29% 23% 48% C A- B+ F C B F B- F+ F F C- F F 41% 30% 30% C- F F F F B- F D- F
1.17 60% 67% 32% +6 0 1.12 32% 0.9 .29 14% .21 75% .16 1.25 78% 38% 38% +11 -1 1.20 44% 1.2 .52 20% .46 79% .37
Feb
15		 Murray St. C A+ A+ B+ A+ 24% 35% 41% F A+ D+ A+ B+ F C+ A+ B+ F+ D B+ F F 44% 20% 36% F F A B A D B+ B+ A-
1.16 82% 56% 37% +14 -2 1.24 26% 1.5 .39 20% .25 85% .21 1.18 64% 30% 50% +10 +1 1.22 21% 1.0 .21 14% .23 69% .16
Feb
18		 Indiana St. F A+ A- F D- 24% 31% 45% D+ D- D B+ C- D+ B+ B A- C+ A+ F A- A+ 48% 9% 43% C- A C D C- D+ F F F
0.90 75% 44% 17% -5 -2 0.86 20% 1.1 .23 18% .33 79% .26 1.13 45% 75% 30% -5 +3 0.96 22% 1.1 .25 16% .59 86% .50
Feb
22		 Drake F F B F F 29% 31% 40% C F C- F+ D D- B- D C+ D F D- F+ F+ 33% 22% 45% D- F+ B C+ B D F F F
0.75 43% 40% 21% -11 -2 0.75 22% 0.8 .17 21% .28 67% .18 1.20 71% 45% 39% +10 0 1.20 21% 1.0 .21 13% .37 86% .32
Feb
26		 Evansville C- D- A+ A B 38% 24% 38% D B- A A+ A+ F F A+ D+ B+ B- A C B 37% 33% 29% B- B B- A- B C- A+ F A-
1.14 53% 55% 41% +7 0 1.13 38% 1.7 .63 24% .21 90% .19 0.84 53% 24% 33% -7 -1 0.84 18% 0.7 .12 17% .15 75% .11
Mar
2		 No Iowa F D+ D- C- D- 37% 27% 37% C- D- D+ B+ C F C D C- C+ F C C- D 33% 19% 48% D+ D A+ A+ A+ D B+ F C-
0.87 56% 31% 33% -3 0 0.94 21% 1.3 .26 24% .24 69% .17 1.05 72% 40% 35% +6 +1 1.13 13% 0.5 .07 15% .22 92% .20