Illinois St.
Missouri Valley
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.
RatingRank
INCC Stats Predictive Rating -0.8 174
INCC Stats Results Rating -1.0 182
Consistency 0.15 177
Pace 61.5 342
Improvement +2.5 73

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 234 D+ C C B- C-
Defense C+ 137 C+ C C B C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 257 C 57% 163 -1.6 249
2 Pt. Jumpers 41% 180 B- 40% 83 +1.6 98
Three Pointers 39% 164 F+ 28% 352 -3.0 292
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.5 266 D+ -2.6 271
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.94 276
Second Chance C 29.1% 157 C- 0.98 230 C 0.28 201
Opponents' Steals B- 8.4% 82
Other Turnovers D 8.9% 303
Turnovers C 17.3% 204
Freethrows B 0.32 65 C 72% 184 B- 0.23 79
Total Offense C- -2.0 234

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B- 52% 114 D+ 12.5% 268
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 35% 50 C 4.9% 180
Three Pointers C+ 86% 116 D- 1.6% 322
Total C+ 57% 111 C- 6.3% 245


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 275 C- 59% 243 -0.8 139
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 175 B- 36% 107 -0.5 134
Three Pointers 42% 72 B+ 31% 40 -0.3 168
Shot Selection/Accuracy C -0.1 135 C+ -1.6 112
1st FG Attempt C+ 0.97 115
Second Chance C+ 27.9% 150 C- 1.05 238 C 0.29 190
Turnovers from Steals C- 8.6% 239
Other Turnovers C+ 8.2% 117
Turnovers C 16.8% 192
Freethrows B 0.25 61 C 72% 187 B 0.18 62
Total Defense C+ +1.3 137

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 47% 189 D- 6.6% 336
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 21% 81 C- 3.7% 235
Three Pointers C- 84% 207 D+ 0.4% 279
Total C 53% 173 D- 3.4% 335

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.4 296 18.3 327
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 258 0.13 68
Consistency 0.16 353 0.14 324
Improvement +4.9 9 -2.4 302



Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
Sat, Nov 11 192 Saint Louis L 71 - 80 42% -9  11% 0 - 1 D -8 F -15 D- F+ F A +8 B+ A+ F+
Wed, Nov 15 319 Eastern Illinois W 69 - 61 86% +4  69% 1 - 1 C- -4 C- -2 F A C+ C- -1 B F B+
Mon, Nov 20 164 Long Beach St. W 61 - 52 48% +8  97% 2 - 1 B +9 F -16 D- D- F A+ +25 A+ D A+
Tue, Nov 21 119 High Point L 72 - 74 35% -5  20% 2 - 2 C +1 C- -2 C- D A B- +3 F B A+
Wed, Nov 22 156 Wright St. L 49 - 74 45% -17  1% 2 - 3 F -25 F -33 F C+ F A +9 A B- C+
Thu, Nov 30 198 Illinois-Chicago W 69 - 64 43% -2  26% 3 - 3 B- +6 C- -0 A+ D- F A- +7 B D- B
Sun, Dec 3 158 Murray St. W 76 - 72 57% +6  92% 4 - 3 1 - 0 C +1 B +7 C+ A+ B D -5 D+ D C-
Wed, Dec 6 193 Northern Kentucky W 62 - 59 65% +0  46% 5 - 3 C- -2 F+ -8 F A D A- +7 B- A+ F
Sat, Dec 9 224 Norfolk St. L 58 - 64 71% -6  0% 5 - 4 D- -12 F -16 F B F B- +3 B C C+
Sun, Dec 17 272 North Dakota St. W 75 - 65 78% -2  37% 6 - 4 C +1 D- -6 C D- C+ A +8 B+ C+ B-
Thu, Dec 21 352 Southeast Missouri St. W 85 - 64 93% +11  72% 7 - 4 C+ +3 C+ +3 C- A B C+ +0 C- B- B-
Fri, Dec 29 17 Kentucky L 70 - 96 6% -13  12% 7 - 5 D -9 D+ -2 F+ C A+ D- -6 D F F
Tue, Jan 2 53 Drake L 71 - 88 10% -17  0% 7 - 6 1 - 1 C- -4 C+ +3 A- C- D+ D- -7 F F D
Sat, Jan 6 121 Southern Illinois L 64 - 71 47% -3  27% 7 - 7 1 - 2 D+ -7 C +1 C- C A F -10 F B C
Wed, Jan 10 115 Belmont L 60 - 67 24% -3  19% 7 - 8 1 - 3 C -0 F -15 F F F A+ +15 B A+ B+
Sun, Jan 14 297 Valparaiso L 50 - 59 82% -5  17% 7 - 9 1 - 4 F -19 F -25 F C A+ B+ +5 C+ C+ B-
Wed, Jan 17 53 Drake L 56 - 77 22% -14  0% 7 - 10 1 - 5 F+ -14 D- -7 D- D+ A F -10 F B- F
Sat, Jan 20 145 Missouri St. W 69 - 60 31% +1  55% 8 - 10 2 - 5 B+ +13 C +0 B F D+ A+ +14 A+ B- A
Tue, Jan 23 115 Belmont W 77 - 67 44% +7  84% 9 - 10 3 - 5 B+ +11 B+ +7 B D A+ B +4 A+ C D+
Sat, Jan 27 212 Evansville L 54 - 58 47% -3  33% 9 - 11 3 - 6 C- -4 F -13 F F C A +9 A F+ B
Tue, Jan 30 158 Murray St. W 61 - 59 35% -4  20% 10 - 11 4 - 6 B- +5 C +1 D A+ F B+ +5 D+ A+ C-
Sat, Feb 3 67 Bradley L 60 - 73 28% -14  0% 10 - 12 4 - 7 D -8 D -4 B F C- D -6 F F B-
Wed, Feb 7 198 Illinois-Chicago L 56 - 61 66% -2  25% 10 - 13 4 - 8 D -10 F -12 F C+ C C+ +1 B+ D- A+
Sat, Feb 10 121 Southern Illinois L 66 - 69 26% -10  0% 10 - 14 4 - 9 C+ +3 B +6 A+ F C- D+ -3 D C- F
Tue, Feb 13 34 Indiana St. W 80 - 67 8% +6  95% 11 - 14 5 - 9 A+ +28 B +7 B+ B D+ A+ +21 A+ A+ D-
Sun, Feb 18 212 Evansville W 86 - 79 69% +5  81% 12 - 14 6 - 9 C +1 A+ +16 A+ B+ B F -14 F F C
Wed, Feb 21 112 Northern Iowa W 81 - 73 43% +4  75% 13 - 14 7 - 9 B +9 A +11 A+ A+ C+ C- -2 B C+ F
Sat, Feb 24 67 Bradley L 45 - 48 13% -0  54% 13 - 15 7 - 10 B +8 F -18 F D- C+ A+ +25 A+ A+ D-
Wed, Feb 28 145 Missouri St. W 75 - 74 54% +3  79% 14 - 15 8 - 10 C -1 B+ +8 C A+ A F -9 C- F C
Sun, Mar 3 297 Valparaiso L 72 - 75 64% -4  9% 14 - 16 8 - 11 D+ -7 C+ +3 A- F A F -11 F F D+
Thu, Mar 7 212 Evansville L 53 - 59 58% -5  0% 14 - 17 D -9 F -13 F C- D- B- +3 A+ F F
Totals 14 - 17 8 - 11 -1 C- -2 C D+ C- C+ +1 F+ C B-


Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C B- F+ D+ 35% 41% 39% C- D+ C C- C C B C B- C+ C- B- B+ C+ 35% 23% 42% C C+ C+ C- C C B C B
1.06 57% 40% 28% -3 0 0.94 29% 1.0 .28 17% .32 72% .23 1.07 59% 36% 31% -2 0 0.97 28% 1.0 .29 17% .25 72% .23
Nov
11		 St. Louis F F B+ D- D- 32% 17% 51% C D- D- D+ F+ F A- F C+ A F C+ A B- 27% 31% 43% A+ B+ A+ F A+ F+ F D- F
0.92 47% 44% 30% -5 0 0.91 23% 1.1 .25 19% .35 64% .23 1.04 69% 33% 29% -1 -2 0.94 9% 1.7 .15 13% .55 81% .45
Nov
15		 E. Illinois C- F B- D F 40% 23% 37% C F A+ F+ A C+ A+ F+ A+ C- C- A+ A- A- 40% 21% 38% F B F F F B+ D+ F F+
1.11 47% 40% 31% -5 0 0.91 47% 0.9 .42 18% .51 65% .33 0.98 58% 10% 28% -9 0 0.83 33% 1.1 .36 19% .26 85% .22
Nov
20		 Long Beach F D+ F C F+ 33% 16% 51% C+ D- B+ F D- F A+ F B+ A+ A+ A A+ A+ 31% 33% 37% C- A+ F B- D A+ A+ A+ A+
0.86 53% 14% 35% -4 +1 0.93 35% 0.5 .17 25% .51 48% .24 0.73 44% 29% 16% -17 -2 0.63 41% 1.0 .41 30% .10 40% .04
Nov
21		 High Point C- F A+ D+ C- 37% 33% 31% D+ C- D- B- D A B- A+ A B- F C+ F F 28% 24% 48% A- F A C- B A+ B+ F C+
1.10 42% 59% 31% 0 -1 0.98 20% 1.1 .23 9% .35 90% .32 1.13 77% 36% 41% +10 -1 1.20 28% 1.0 .28 23% .30 87% .26
Nov
22		 Wright St. F C+ F F F 31% 29% 39% D F D- A+ C+ F A A+ A+ A C F A A 26% 32% 42% C+ A B+ D B- C+ F+ B D
0.69 63% 13% 5% -22 -1 0.53 22% 1.4 .32 24% .35 89% .31 1.04 62% 50% 29% +2 -2 1.00 23% 1.1 .26 17% .36 71% .25
Nov
30		 IL-Chicago C- A+ A+ B+ A+ 47% 32% 21% D+ A+ C+ F D- F A+ F A+ A- B+ F+ C+ B- 27% 27% 46% A B F B- D- B D A+ B
1.03 72% 58% 38% +15 -1 1.29 32% 0.6 .18 28% .50 67% .33 0.95 50% 43% 33% -1 -1 0.96 33% 0.8 .28 21% .28 47% .13
Dec
3		 Murray St. B C+ C+ B- C+ 35% 20% 45% C- C+ A- A+ A+ B D A+ B D D A+ F D+ 33% 16% 51% C- D+ C- D D C- C B- C+
1.20 59% 40% 36% +3 0 1.06 34% 1.5 .52 16% .21 100% .21 1.14 63% 13% 40% +2 +1 1.06 28% 1.2 .34 14% .28 67% .18
Dec
6		 N. Kentucky F+ D+ F F F 32% 15% 53% C F C+ A+ A D F F+ F A- B B+ C+ B 46% 17% 37% F+ B- A+ B+ A+ F A+ F A
0.98 53% 29% 24% -10 +1 0.81 32% 1.5 .49 22% .18 67% .12 0.93 50% 33% 32% -5 +1 0.92 17% 0.8 .14 13% .18 80% .14
Dec
9		 Norfolk St. F D- C+ F F 23% 19% 58% D- F A+ D- B F A+ C A+ B- B A- C B- 23% 36% 41% A+ B C C C C+ F F F
0.91 50% 38% 16% -17 0 0.65 43% 0.9 .40 25% .60 72% .44 1.00 50% 31% 33% -4 -3 0.86 29% 0.9 .26 19% .50 81% .40
Dec
17		 NDSU D- B- A+ F C+ 43% 41% 16% D C D D- D- C+ A+ D A+ A A- D C+ A- 48% 30% 22% D- B+ B D C+ B- B B B
1.07 62% 50% 25% +5 -2 1.06 23% 1.0 .23 13% .46 68% .31 0.93 46% 44% 33% -3 0 0.93 21% 1.1 .24 20% .23 69% .16
Dec
21		 SE MO St. C+ C A+ D C+ 31% 27% 42% F C- C A+ A B A+ A- A+ C+ D+ F+ A- D+ 28% 28% 44% B- C- C B B- B- F+ D F
1.20 60% 54% 30% +3 -1 1.04 30% 1.6 .47 14% .49 77% .38 0.91 57% 43% 27% -3 -1 0.92 24% 0.8 .18 20% .30 71% .21
Dec
29		 Kentucky D+ B+ F+ F F 28% 24% 48% C- F+ A+ F C A+ C+ F D D- F C F+ D 37% 21% 42% D+ D B+ F F F C+ C C+
0.99 63% 29% 21% -10 -1 0.79 42% 0.6 .26 11% .29 56% .16 1.36 71% 42% 42% +11 0 1.23 25% 2.0 .50 8% .26 76% .20
Jan
2		 Drake C+ F A- A+ B+ 39% 22% 39% A- A- F+ A+ C- D+ C D+ C D- F F F F 23% 33% 44% A+ F D+ F F D F+ A+ B-
1.04 47% 45% 47% +6 0 1.12 17% 1.2 .20 19% .27 67% .18 1.29 75% 53% 48% +19 -2 1.33 27% 1.4 .38 12% .36 55% .20
Jan
6		 SIU C A B F C- 39% 24% 37% C- C- A+ F C A C- F D- F D- B F F 40% 14% 47% B- F C A B C A F B
1.11 68% 42% 17% -4 0 0.92 39% 0.8 .31 12% .30 60% .18 1.23 65% 33% 50% +14 +1 1.30 26% 0.8 .22 17% .23 91% .21
Jan
10		 Belmont F C- F F F 38% 21% 42% B- F D- F F F A+ C A+ A+ F+ D+ B- C 31% 39% 29% A+ B A+ A+ A+ B+ F A- D
0.82 56% 20% 25% -10 0 0.81 22% 0.6 .14 23% .38 71% .27 0.92 69% 40% 33% +5 -3 1.04 10% 0.7 .06 21% .36 67% .24
Jan
14		 Valparaiso F F B+ F F 33% 33% 33% F F D+ B C A+ A+ F C+ B+ D- A C C 35% 40% 25% B C+ A+ F C+ B- D+ F F+
0.80 38% 44% 0% -21 -2 0.54 29% 1.1 .31 11% .36 55% .20 0.94 65% 26% 33% -2 -2 0.92 16% 1.4 .23 18% .25 85% .21
Jan
17		 Drake D- F+ B F+ D 18% 42% 40% F D- F+ A+ D+ A A+ A- A+ F F D+ F F 39% 26% 35% C F A F B- F A+ A+ A+
0.94 50% 42% 28% -3 -4 0.87 16% 1.2 .19 13% .39 75% .29 1.29 76% 43% 42% +13 0 1.26 18% 1.4 .25 5% .11 50% .05
Jan
20		 MO St. C A+ B- C+ A- 19% 44% 38% F B F+ F F D+ A+ D A+ A+ F B A+ A+ 15% 28% 57% A+ A+ C- B+ B- A F F F
1.02 78% 38% 33% +4 -4 1.00 20% 0.7 .14 15% .47 67% .31 0.89 71% 31% 23% -9 -2 0.78 31% 0.9 .28 22% .36 84% .31
Jan
23		 Belmont B+ D A+ C B+ 29% 29% 41% D B D D+ D A+ A+ B- A+ B B A+ A+ A+ 45% 8% 47% F A+ C- B- C D+ F F F
1.18 53% 60% 33% +5 -1 1.08 24% 0.9 .22 9% .39 74% .29 1.02 55% 25% 26% -8 +2 0.90 24% 1.0 .24 15% .38 81% .31
Jan
27		 Evansville F A+ A F F 30% 26% 44% D F C F F C A+ A+ A+ A D- A+ A+ A+ 43% 29% 29% C- A C- F F+ B F B F
0.87 69% 45% 5% -13 -1 0.72 29% 0.5 .14 18% .47 88% .41 0.93 67% 25% 17% -7 0 0.86 23% 1.3 .30 19% .38 68% .26
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
30		 Murray St. C C F C- D- 43% 16% 41% B- D A+ C+ A+ F A+ A+ A+ B+ D A+ F+ D+ 40% 20% 40% C- D+ A A+ A+ C- B+ D B
1.07 56% 17% 33% -4 +1 0.95 46% 1.1 .50 25% .37 88% .33 1.04 61% 22% 39% +2 +1 1.04 19% 0.7 .13 14% .22 73% .16
Feb
3		 Bradley D C- F A+ B- 47% 22% 31% B B D- F F C- C+ F F+ D F F C D- 50% 8% 42% F F B- F F B- A+ C+ A+
0.98 52% 18% 47% -1 +1 1.00 24% 0.8 .18 20% .30 53% .16 1.19 75% 50% 35% +11 +3 1.27 27% 1.5 .41 20% .14 71% .10
Feb
7		 IL-Chicago F D- F F F 42% 29% 29% D+ F C- B C+ C B+ B+ A C+ A+ B- F A 51% 19% 30% D- B+ F A- D- A+ C+ F D+
0.90 47% 23% 23% -13 -1 0.73 28% 1.0 .28 18% .37 79% .29 0.98 42% 33% 43% -5 +1 0.94 36% 0.8 .27 24% .23 82% .19
Feb
10		 SIU B B+ A+ A+ A+ 44% 28% 28% C- A+ F D F C- C+ C- C D+ D- F A- D+ 41% 7% 52% D+ D A+ F C- F C+ C+ B-
1.13 63% 50% 42% +10 0 1.19 17% 1.0 .17 17% .33 69% .23 1.18 63% 100% 29% +3 +2 1.11 18% 1.6 .29 10% .30 75% .23
Feb
13		 Indiana St. B B+ A+ F B+ 40% 29% 31% B- B+ C- A+ B D+ A+ C- A+ A+ D- F A+ A+ 33% 5% 61% C+ A+ D+ A+ A+ D- A+ F A
1.12 62% 60% 25% +4 -1 1.08 23% 1.3 .30 17% .42 72% .30 0.94 68% 67% 23% -5 +2 0.95 26% 0.5 .14 13% .19 92% .18
Feb
18		 Evansville A+ A- F A+ A+ 36% 13% 51% B A+ B B B+ B A- A+ A+ F B F F F 25% 27% 48% B F D F F C A- C- B+
1.33 65% 17% 54% +16 +1 1.34 32% 1.1 .36 15% .33 83% .27 1.22 54% 57% 40% +9 -1 1.15 26% 1.4 .35 17% .20 73% .15
Feb
21		 No Iowa A C+ A+ A+ A+ 40% 27% 33% C- A+ A A A+ C+ A+ C+ A+ C- C+ F A+ A- 48% 19% 33% D- B F+ A+ C+ F F+ A+ C+
1.23 58% 54% 44% +10 0 1.19 33% 1.3 .42 17% .46 76% .35 1.11 56% 50% 24% -3 +1 0.96 30% 0.8 .23 6% .40 60% .24
Feb
24		 Bradley F C F F F 28% 33% 39% D- F B- F D- C+ F C+ F+ A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 10% 31% 58% A+ A+ A A+ A+ D- B- C- C+
0.74 54% 27% 11% -18 -2 0.61 33% 0.6 .20 18% .22 73% .16 0.79 60% 27% 25% -11 -3 0.73 23% 0.8 .18 15% .23 75% .17
Feb
28		 MO St. B+ F A+ F C- 40% 25% 36% B C B- A+ A+ A C+ A+ A- F F A+ A+ C+ 48% 16% 36% F C- F F F C A+ F A+
1.19 43% 62% 26% -4 0 0.92 29% 1.7 .50 9% .24 86% .21 1.17 75% 13% 22% -2 +2 1.00 40% 1.6 .63 17% .11 83% .10
Mar
3		 Valparaiso C+ A A- C+ A- 45% 17% 38% B- A- F A+ F A F A+ F F F C+ D- F 29% 24% 47% F+ F C- F F D+ A+ A+ A+
1.15 71% 44% 35% +8 +1 1.19 15% 1.3 .19 13% .09 80% .07 1.20 87% 33% 38% +10 -1 1.20 27% 1.5 .40 14% .11 50% .06
Mar
7		 Evansville F B- D F F+ 26% 31% 44% F F C+ D C- D- A+ D- A B- A+ D A+ A+ 23% 21% 55% C A+ F C+ F F F+ F+ F
0.90 60% 33% 24% -7 -2 0.82 29% 0.9 .26 20% .38 67% .26 1.00 36% 40% 23% -13 -1 0.72 35% 0.9 .33 10% .34 78% .26