Michigan St.
Big Ten
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.
RatingRank
INCC Stats Predictive Rating +12.3 25
INCC Stats Results Rating +12.6 25
Consistency 0.14 128
Pace 63.0 309
Improvement +3.0 62

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B+ 28 B B B B- F+
Defense B+ 45 B+ A D+ B B

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% 306 B- 60% 112 -1.7 251
2 Pt. Jumpers 51% 69 B 40% 64 +4.9 10
Three Pointers 33% 305 A+ 41% 1 +0.7 155
Shot Selection/Accuracy F+ -1.7 349 A- +5.8 15
1st FG Attempt B 1.08 45
Second Chance C+ 29.2% 147 A 1.18 13 B 0.35 47
Opponents' Steals B- 8.2% 74
Other Turnovers B 7.5% 46
Turnovers B 15.8% 40
Freethrows C+ 0.29 150 B 76% 39 B- 0.22 98
Total Offense B+ +6.7 28

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C 48% 170 C 10.9% 202
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots A- 44% 15 B 3.3% 63
Three Pointers A- 93% 8 C- 1.1% 259
Total B 60% 42 C+ 5.1% 135


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% 301 B- 54% 87 -3.2 56
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% 81 B+ 32% 25 -0.3 167
Three Pointers 40% 152 B+ 30% 40 -1.7 107
Shot Selection/Accuracy B -0.6 62 B+ -4.6 36
1st FG Attempt B+ 0.90 36
Second Chance A- 22.5% 10 A- 0.86 19 A 0.19 6
Turnovers from Steals D+ 8.0% 259
Other Turnovers C- 8.7% 197
Turnovers D+ 16.8% 258
Freethrows B 0.23 44 C+ 70% 114 B 0.16 45
Total Defense B+ +5.5 45

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 47% 167 C 10.3% 170
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 28% 225 C+ 6.1% 99
Three Pointers C+ 80% 136 C+ 1.1% 120
Total C 53% 169 C 5.5% 151

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.3 166 18.8 357
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.20 67 0.11 25
Consistency 0.13 230 0.16 351
Improvement +4.3 23 -1.3 265



Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
Mon, Nov 7 208 Northern Arizona W 73 - 55 94% +13  98% 1 - 0 A- +13 D+ -3 F+ A+ B+ A+ +18 A+ B+ B-
Fri, Nov 11 6 Gonzaga L 63 - 64 35% +3  75% 1 - 1 A +15 F -10 C- F+ F A+ +26 A+ F+ A+
Tue, Nov 15 28 Kentucky W 86 - 77 2OT 51% -1  15% 2 - 1 A+ +21 C +0 C- A+ F A+ +19 A+ B- C+
Fri, Nov 18 51 Villanova W 73 - 71 71% +7  89% 3 - 1 B +9 B+ +8 A+ A+ C- C+ +1 C+ A+ F
Thu, Nov 24 2 Alabama L 70 - 81 24% -5  24% 3 - 2 B +8 B- +4 C A+ B- B+ +5 C+ A- D-
Fri, Nov 25 45 Oregon W 74 - 70 58% -0  43% 4 - 2 A- +14 A +10 A- A+ A B+ +5 A- C- D
Sun, Nov 27 156 Portland W 78 - 77 79% +1  64% 5 - 2 B- +5 A- +9 B- A+ A D+ -4 D A- F
Wed, Nov 30 157 Notre Dame L 52 - 70 79% -15  0% 5 - 3 F+ -14 F -16 F D+ B- C -1 F A+ D-
Sun, Dec 4 36 Northwestern L 63 - 70 66% -1  38% 5 - 4 0 - 1 C +1 D+ -3 C C+ B+ B +3 D- A+ A-
Wed, Dec 7 35 Penn St. W 67 - 58 42% -1  37% 6 - 4 1 - 1 A+ +23 D+ -3 B- F+ B- A+ +26 A+ A+ C
Sat, Dec 10 172 Brown W 68 - 50 92% +12  87% 7 - 4 A- +15 C+ +3 C+ C A+ A+ +14 A+ B F
Wed, Dec 21 277 Oakland W 67 - 54 97% +8  70% 8 - 4 C+ +4 F -10 C+ C- F A+ +15 A+ B+ D+
Fri, Dec 30 219 Buffalo W 89 - 68 94% +9  88% 9 - 4 A +15 B- +5 B- A A+ A +9 B+ A- C
Tue, Jan 3 88 Nebraska W 74 - 56 81% +13  98% 10 - 4 2 - 1 A+ +21 A- +8 B- A+ A+ A+ +14 A+ A+ F+
Sat, Jan 7 42 Michigan W 59 - 53 68% +6  79% 11 - 4 3 - 1 A- +13 F -10 D- C D+ A+ +24 A+ A+ C
Tue, Jan 10 57 Wisconsin W 69 - 65 51% +1  53% 12 - 4 4 - 1 A +16 A +12 A+ A+ D- B+ +5 D+ A+ F
Fri, Jan 13 34 Illinois L 66 - 75 42% +1  50% 12 - 5 4 - 2 B- +5 B- +4 D+ A+ A+ C+ +1 B- A+ F
Mon, Jan 16 11 Purdue L 63 - 64 49% -3  32% 12 - 6 4 - 3 B+ +11 C+ +2 A- A+ C- A +9 A+ A D+
Thu, Jan 19 41 Rutgers W 70 - 57 68% +3  65% 13 - 6 5 - 3 A+ +21 A +10 A+ F+ A+ A+ +12 A+ B- C
Sun, Jan 22 29 Indiana L 69 - 82 40% -2  39% 13 - 7 5 - 4 C+ +2 C+ +3 A- F B+ C- -2 C- A- D
Thu, Jan 26 37 Iowa W 63 - 61 66% -2  18% 14 - 7 6 - 4 B+ +10 F -10 F C+ A A+ +20 B+ A+ A+
Sun, Jan 29 11 Purdue L 61 - 77 28% -11  6% 14 - 8 6 - 5 C+ +2 D+ -3 A+ F+ F B +5 D A+ D-
Sat, Feb 4 41 Rutgers L 55 - 61 45% +0  45% 14 - 9 6 - 6 B +8 D- -6 F+ C- B A+ +14 A+ A+ C-
Tue, Feb 7 27 Maryland W 63 - 58 62% +6  88% 15 - 9 7 - 6 A- +14 C- -1 A F A A+ +16 A+ A+ F+
Sun, Feb 12 50 Ohio St. W 62 - 41 48% +8  79% 16 - 9 8 - 6 A+ +34 C+ +3 B A+ D+ A+ +35 A+ A+ B+
Sat, Feb 18 42 Michigan L 72 - 84 45% +1  64% 16 - 10 8 - 7 C+ +1 A- +9 A A+ A F+ -9 F+ F+ C-
Tue, Feb 21 29 Indiana W 80 - 65 63% +3  56% 17 - 10 9 - 7 A+ +24 A+ +15 A+ A+ B+ A+ +10 B- A+ A-
Sat, Feb 25 37 Iowa L 106 - 112 OT 44% +1  44% 17 - 11 9 - 8 B +8 A+ +17 A+ D- B- F+ -9 C- F D
Tue, Feb 28 88 Nebraska W 80 - 67 63% -4  25% 18 - 11 10 - 8 A+ +22 A+ +16 A A+ A A- +7 D- A+ B+
Sat, Mar 4 50 Ohio St. W 84 - 78 71% +7  96% 19 - 11 11 - 8 A- +13 A+ +16 A+ F A+ D+ -3 D+ C+ D-
Fri, Mar 10 50 Ohio St. L 58 - 68 60% -6  10% 19 - 12 C -0 D- -6 D+ D- A B +4 B A F
Fri, Mar 17 43 USC W 72 - 62 57% +6  89% 20 - 12 A+ +20 B+ +7 A+ F A+ A+ +14 A A+ C-
Sun, Mar 19 8 Marquette W 69 - 60 36% +5  74% 21 - 12 A+ +25 C+ +3 D A+ A- A+ +23 A+ A- A+
Thu, Mar 23 19 Kansas St. L 93 - 98 OT 47% -2  19% 21 - 13 B +8 A+ +21 A+ A+ A F -12 F+ D F
Totals 21 - 13 11 - 8 +12 B+ +7 C A- F+ B+ +6 A+ B B-


Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B+ B- B A+ A- 33% 51% 33% F+ B C+ A B B C+ B B- B+ B- B+ B+ B+ 33% 27% 40% B B+ A- A- A D+ B C+ B
1.18 60% 40% 41% +6 -2 1.08 29% 1.2 .35 16% .29 76% .22 1.01 54% 32% 30% -5 -1 0.90 23% 0.9 .19 17% .23 70% .20
Nov
7		 N. Arizona D+ B- F C D- 30% 26% 43% D F+ A- A+ A+ B+ F B- F A+ C- A+ A+ A+ 19% 31% 50% B A+ C+ A B+ B- C B C+
1.11 63% 21% 35% -2 -1 0.94 34% 1.4 .47 14% .14 75% .11 0.84 60% 25% 23% -11 -2 0.73 27% 0.8 .22 18% .24 69% .17
Nov
11		 Gonzaga F B- C F D+ 47% 23% 30% B C- C+ F F+ F A+ F A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 46% 17% 37% D A+ C- F F+ A+ F A- F+
0.88 59% 36% 21% -5 +1 0.91 24% 0.7 .16 22% .50 64% .32 0.89 43% 25% 24% -15 +2 0.74 34% 1.4 .49 25% .41 64% .26
Nov
15		 Kentucky C F C+ A C 30% 39% 32% F+ C- A+ B- A+ F A+ A+ A+ A+ D A+ A A+ 26% 37% 37% B A+ A+ F B- C+ F+ B D+
1.02 41% 36% 39% -3 -3 0.89 38% 1.0 .38 21% .41 85% .35 0.92 67% 19% 29% -7 -3 0.81 29% 1.4 .41 18% .35 67% .23
Nov
18		 Villanova B+ A+ D A+ A+ 12% 41% 47% F A+ C- A+ A+ C- F F F C+ F D+ A C- 22% 20% 57% A C+ A+ B A+ F D+ B- C-
1.15 100% 30% 48% +12 -4 1.16 21% 2.3 .50 19% .12 67% .08 1.12 91% 40% 29% +3 0 1.06 14% 1.0 .14 9% .33 79% .26
Nov
24		 Alabama B- F A- F C+ 35% 42% 23% D- C A A+ A+ B- A+ C+ A+ B+ C+ A+ D- B- 49% 11% 40% D+ C+ A C+ A- D- D- C+ D
0.97 39% 41% 25% -8 -3 0.79 33% 1.1 .35 15% .41 72% .29 1.12 58% 17% 38% 0 +3 1.06 28% 1.0 .28 14% .39 71% .27
Nov
25		 Oregon A F A+ B- A 22% 32% 46% D- A- A A A+ A C+ A+ B+ B+ F A+ A A 34% 13% 53% D+ A- C+ D C- D A+ D A+
1.15 36% 56% 35% +2 -2 1.00 32% 1.2 .38 12% .21 92% .20 1.09 72% 0% 29% -4 +1 0.94 33% 1.3 .42 16% .15 75% .11
Nov
27		 Portland A- F+ A A+ B- 46% 30% 24% C- B- A- A+ A+ A D- B+ D+ D+ A A+ F D+ 33% 13% 54% D- D B- A+ A- F A+ F A
1.24 48% 47% 50% +4 0 1.08 36% 1.7 .61 13% .20 73% .15 1.22 47% 29% 46% +5 +1 1.13 24% 0.9 .21 8% .21 100% .21
Nov
30		 Notre Dame F C+ F C F+ 31% 45% 24% F F F A+ D+ B- F A+ F+ C F F F F 28% 22% 50% C- F A A+ A+ D- A+ A+ A+
0.85 60% 23% 33% -6 -3 0.82 10% 2.0 .21 13% .11 100% .11 1.15 71% 55% 44% +15 0 1.30 13% 0.0 .00 10% .15 63% .09
Dec
4		 Northwestern D+ D+ B+ D+ C+ 31% 31% 39% D C D+ A C+ B+ D A- C- B F D- D+ F 27% 27% 45% A- D- A+ A+ A+ A- F F F
0.95 53% 40% 32% -2 -1 0.94 24% 1.0 .24 20% .23 75% .17 1.06 75% 42% 35% +7 -1 1.11 21% 0.2 .04 18% .44 88% .39
Dec
7		 Penn St. D+ F A A+ A- 25% 53% 22% F B- D- F F+ B- D+ A+ C+ A+ A+ C- A A+ 35% 14% 51% F A+ A A+ A+ C F A D
0.99 43% 45% 42% +3 -5 0.96 17% 0.8 .14 13% .19 82% .15 0.85 39% 43% 31% -8 +1 0.86 13% 0.4 .05 13% .31 67% .20
Dec
10		 Brown C+ A C- A- B 28% 38% 34% F C+ A F C A+ F A+ F A+ F+ A+ A+ A+ 36% 32% 32% A A+ C- A B F A B A
1.10 67% 35% 39% +4 -3 1.04 32% 0.8 .24 10% .11 100% .11 0.81 67% 19% 13% -13 -1 0.72 26% 0.7 .19 15% .19 60% .11
Dec
21		 Oakland F A+ D- A+ B 15% 39% 46% F C+ C D+ C- F A+ F D+ A+ B A+ A+ A+ 28% 32% 40% B+ A+ F+ A+ B+ D+ A A+ A+
1.03 86% 33% 43% +9 -4 1.11 30% 1.1 .33 25% .33 44% .14 0.83 53% 24% 24% -11 -2 0.74 27% 0.7 .18 12% .19 64% .12
Dec
30		 Buffalo B- F A+ A+ B 40% 27% 33% D+ B- D+ A+ A A+ A+ C+ A+ A A F+ A C+ 32% 42% 25% A+ B+ A C+ A- C A+ C+ A+
1.19 48% 57% 41% +5 0 1.10 25% 1.6 .41 13% .46 70% .32 0.91 47% 44% 27% -3 -3 0.88 24% 0.9 .22 19% .16 70% .11
Jan
3		 Nebraska A- F A+ C A- 19% 42% 40% F B- A+ A+ A+ A+ F C F+ A+ C- C A+ A+ 48% 22% 30% B- A+ A- A+ A+ F+ F A+ A-
1.15 30% 59% 33% +4 -4 1.00 40% 1.3 .51 14% .11 67% .07 0.87 63% 36% 13% -7 +1 0.88 20% 0.6 .13 14% .36 40% .14
Jan
7		 Michigan F F B+ D- D 32% 34% 34% D- D- D A C D+ C+ A+ A- A+ F A+ A+ A+ 34% 30% 36% B A+ A+ B+ A+ C B- D+ C+
0.88 38% 41% 29% -7 -2 0.82 19% 1.0 .19 18% .23 85% .20 0.79 71% 20% 11% -13 -1 0.72 14% 1.0 .14 15% .28 75% .21
Jan
10		 Wisconsin A A D A+ A+ 33% 38% 30% D+ A+ D+ A+ A+ D- A+ A+ A+ B+ B- D+ F D+ 38% 21% 42% B- D+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ D- A+
1.12 69% 33% 50% +10 -2 1.15 21% 2.3 .47 23% .36 94% .34 1.06 55% 36% 41% +3 +1 1.08 9% 0.7 .06 8% .14 75% .11
Jan
13		 Illinois B- A C- F C 38% 51% 11% F D+ A+ B+ A+ A+ D+ A- C C+ C F+ C C- 30% 36% 34% A+ B- A+ A- A+ F B F D+
1.01 65% 33% 0% -5 -4 0.83 41% 1.1 .43 14% .23 77% .18 1.15 63% 42% 33% +3 -2 1.02 23% 1.0 .23 8% .30 83% .25
Jan
16		 Purdue C+ A+ A+ F A+ 15% 50% 35% F A- B+ A+ A+ C- B- D+ C+ A A A+ F A+ 59% 25% 16% C- A+ A+ F+ A D+ C F D-
1.03 71% 52% 25% +5 -5 1.00 28% 1.3 .34 18% .20 70% .14 1.05 50% 18% 43% -7 +1 0.89 27% 1.3 .33 15% .35 89% .31
Jan
19		 Rutgers A A+ F A+ A+ 20% 36% 44% F A+ F+ D- F+ A+ F A+ D- A+ F+ A+ A+ A+ 38% 35% 27% A A+ F A+ B- C C D+ C
1.11 80% 22% 55% +13 -3 1.20 20% 0.7 .13 16% .13 86% .11 0.90 67% 18% 8% -14 -2 0.69 39% 0.8 .33 17% .29 73% .21
Jan
22		 Indiana C+ A B+ F+ A 40% 31% 29% D A- C- F F B+ A+ C- A+ C- B+ A+ F C+ 55% 14% 31% F C- C+ A A- D F F F
1.02 63% 40% 29% +1 -1 1.00 26% 0.5 .13 15% .49 68% .33 1.22 52% 0% 60% +4 +3 1.12 29% 1.0 .29 13% .41 88% .36
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
26		 Iowa F F C+ A- F 35% 33% 33% D- F B D+ C+ A C+ F D A+ B- F A+ B 40% 33% 27% A B+ B+ A+ A+ A+ A- A+ A+
0.96 32% 39% 39% -6 -1 0.85 30% 0.9 .28 15% .21 58% .13 0.93 58% 50% 23% 0 -1 0.98 29% 0.9 .26 20% .25 46% .11
Jan
29		 Purdue D+ A+ D A+ A+ 22% 58% 20% F A+ F A+ F+ F A+ F A B F B+ F F 35% 33% 33% A+ D A A- A+ D- D+ A+ A-
0.92 90% 31% 56% +10 -6 1.09 7% 1.5 .11 21% .30 63% .19 1.16 76% 31% 44% +10 -1 1.16 33% 0.9 .31 14% .38 55% .21
Feb
4		 Rutgers D- B- B- F D- 34% 34% 32% D- F+ B+ F C- B B- A+ A- A+ B- A+ A+ A+ 45% 20% 34% F+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C- F A- F
0.83 56% 38% 13% -10 -2 0.77 33% 0.6 .21 21% .27 79% .21 0.92 55% 22% 20% -11 +1 0.80 21% 0.8 .15 17% .61 65% .40
Feb
7		 Maryland C- F A+ A+ A 31% 29% 41% C- A F B- F A C+ B B- A+ D F A+ A+ 30% 28% 43% A A+ A+ A+ A+ F+ C F D
0.99 27% 57% 45% +3 -1 1.04 7% 1.0 .07 16% .24 77% .19 0.92 64% 46% 15% -8 -1 0.83 15% 0.8 .12 13% .33 83% .27
Feb
12		 Ohio St. C+ A+ A+ F A- 27% 33% 40% D- B A+ B A+ D+ F A+ F A+ A+ D+ A+ A+ 6% 40% 54% A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ B+ A+ A+ A+
1.07 69% 50% 26% +3 -2 1.02 39% 1.0 .39 19% .02 100% .02 0.70 0% 42% 19% -13 -4 0.65 32% 0.6 .20 19% .04 50% .02
Feb
18		 Michigan A- A C- A+ A+ 34% 34% 32% D A D A+ A+ A D- A+ C+ F+ D F B- F+ 30% 19% 51% D+ F+ F A F+ C- F F F
1.11 67% 33% 41% +5 -2 1.08 20% 1.7 .33 12% .18 90% .16 1.30 64% 78% 33% +9 0 1.19 42% 0.9 .39 14% .38 81% .30
Feb
21		 Indiana A+ B+ B A+ A+ 36% 28% 36% D+ A+ A- A+ A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B F+ D C+ 43% 28% 28% B+ B- A+ C A+ A- C- D+ D+
1.23 59% 38% 41% +5 -1 1.09 34% 1.3 .45 15% .35 95% .33 1.00 55% 46% 38% +3 0 1.07 18% 1.2 .21 20% .31 75% .23
Feb
25		 Iowa A+ D A+ A+ A+ 33% 37% 29% F A+ F C+ D- B- A+ A+ A+ F+ B- B+ F C- 30% 21% 49% B- C- D F F D D C- D
1.30 53% 53% 73% +22 -2 1.39 17% 1.0 .17 18% .54 86% .47 1.37 58% 31% 42% +5 0 1.10 37% 1.9 .71 11% .34 76% .26
Feb
28		 Nebraska A+ C+ F A+ A+ 13% 43% 43% F A A- A+ A+ A F+ A+ C- A- F F B+ F+ 37% 13% 50% C- D- A+ A+ A+ B+ C C- C
1.22 57% 17% 61% +9 -4 1.09 34% 1.3 .46 15% .13 86% .11 1.02 76% 67% 30% +8 +2 1.20 15% 0.8 .12 21% .29 67% .19
Mar
4		 Ohio St. A+ C A+ A+ A+ 36% 24% 40% B- A+ D- F F A+ A+ C- A+ D+ A F+ F C- 30% 28% 42% D- D+ A+ F C+ D- A F C+
1.30 56% 50% 60% +18 0 1.36 21% 0.3 .07 12% .35 70% .25 1.21 50% 47% 45% +8 -1 1.13 23% 1.6 .37 12% .21 92% .19
Mar
10		 Ohio St. D- F A+ F C+ 27% 48% 25% F D+ C+ F D- A A+ C+ A+ B B- A+ F B 29% 37% 35% C+ B A+ D A F A- A A
0.96 25% 57% 27% -2 -4 0.89 29% 0.6 .17 13% .35 72% .25 1.13 57% 28% 47% +3 -2 1.02 24% 1.3 .30 8% .22 67% .15
Mar
17		 USC B+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 40% 34% 26% D+ A+ F+ F+ F A+ A+ F A+ A+ F A- B- A- 22% 43% 35% A+ A A A A+ C- A+ F A+
1.11 58% 44% 42% +5 -1 1.09 22% 0.8 .17 11% .43 60% .26 0.96 73% 32% 33% +1 -4 0.94 24% 0.9 .21 17% .15 88% .13
Mar
19		 Marquette C+ A+ C F C+ 24% 45% 31% F D C+ A+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B- F A 32% 17% 51% A A+ B- A A- A+ C A B-
1.03 92% 36% 13% -1 -4 0.90 31% 1.5 .47 19% .43 83% .35 0.90 33% 38% 42% -2 +1 0.98 26% 0.9 .23 24% .28 64% .18
Mar
23		 Kansas St. A+ A+ F A+ A+ 31% 29% 39% D A+ A A A+ A A A+ A+ F F D+ F F 41% 21% 38% B+ F+ A F D F A B+ A+
1.27 81% 7% 55% +11 -1 1.20 36% 1.2 .42 18% .37 82% .30 1.34 72% 38% 43% +12 +1 1.25 25% 1.4 .34 7% .24 69% .16