Michigan St.
Big Ten
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.
RatingRank
INCC Stats Predictive Rating +14.8 16
INCC Stats Results Rating +11.5 43
Consistency 0.15 187
Pace 64.1 306
Improvement -1.5 252

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B 50 B B B+ C D
Defense A 8 A- B B B B+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 223 A- 67% 11 +2.7 65
2 Pt. Jumpers 49% 90 C 38% 161 +3.2 40
Three Pointers 32% 319 B+ 37% 34 -1.6 242
Shot Selection/Accuracy D -1.2 310 B+ +5.6 24
1st FG Attempt B 1.09 56
Second Chance B- 32.1% 73 B- 1.08 96 B 0.34 62
Opponents' Steals B+ 7.7% 33
Other Turnovers B- 6.8% 78
Turnovers B+ 14.5% 33
Freethrows C 0.29 189 C- 70% 261 C 0.20 200
Total Offense B +5.7 50

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B 57% 41 B+ 8.2% 38
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots A- 43% 18 C 4.9% 175
Three Pointers A 95% 2 C+ 0.7% 131
Total B+ 63% 28 B- 4.7% 73


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 30% 348 A 46% 5 -7.8 3
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% 70 B 33% 43 +0.2 228
Three Pointers 43% 44 B- 32% 91 +1.2 254
Shot Selection/Accuracy B+ -0.9 41 A- -5.6 12
1st FG Attempt A- 0.87 11
Second Chance B 25.3% 46 B- 0.95 82 B 0.24 49
Turnovers from Steals B 10.9% 62
Other Turnovers B 8.8% 51
Turnovers B 19.7% 44
Freethrows B- 0.25 69 B- 70% 78 B 0.18 55
Total Defense A +9.1 8

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 48% 202 A- 17.4% 15
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 27% 202 B 7.5% 38
Three Pointers C+ 81% 116 C 0.9% 148
Total C- 55% 221 B 7.7% 45

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.1 153 18.7 352
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.28 4 0.10 13
Consistency 0.11 107 0.12 194
Improvement -1.7 278 +0.2 167



Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
Mon, Nov 6 64 James Madison L 76 - 79 OT 81% -3  23% 0 - 1 C+ +3 F+ -9 F B- A+ A+ +12 A+ B B
Thu, Nov 9 330 Southern Indiana W 74 - 51 99% +17  98% 1 - 1 B +9 D- -7 C D D+ A+ +15 A C- B-
Tue, Nov 14 8 Duke L 65 - 74 37% -4  24% 1 - 2 B +9 C- -1 D A+ C- A+ +10 B+ C A
Fri, Nov 17 60 Butler W 74 - 54 79% +9  90% 2 - 2 A+ +26 B+ +8 A A- B- A+ +20 A+ A+ B+
Sun, Nov 19 301 Alcorn St. W 81 - 49 98% +23  92% 3 - 2 A+ +21 C +1 A- F B+ A+ +22 A+ C+ B
Thu, Nov 23 5 Arizona L 68 - 74 33% -7  4% 3 - 3 A- +13 B- +4 D A+ A+ A +9 A B+ C-
Tue, Nov 28 266 Georgia Southern W 86 - 55 97% +20  100% 4 - 3 A+ +22 C- -0 A F+ D- A+ +21 A A+ A+
Tue, Dec 5 21 Wisconsin L 57 - 70 66% -8  0% 4 - 4 0 - 1 C- -2 D+ -3 C- B- A C- -3 A F A
Sun, Dec 10 29 Nebraska L 70 - 77 47% -0  44% 4 - 5 0 - 2 B +9 B +6 A- C A- B- +2 D- A+ D+
Sat, Dec 16 15 Baylor W 88 - 64 49% +20  98% 5 - 5 A+ +39 A+ +16 A+ A+ F+ A+ +23 A- A+ A+
Mon, Dec 18 128 Oakland W 79 - 62 92% +11  97% 6 - 5 A +17 A+ +15 A A+ A- B +4 B+ B- D
Thu, Dec 21 170 Stony Brook W 99 - 55 95% +30  98% 7 - 5 A+ +40 A +12 A+ B- C+ A+ +24 A+ B- C-
Sat, Dec 30 34 Indiana St. W 87 - 75 71% +4  74% 8 - 5 A +21 A +11 C- A+ D+ A+ +10 B+ B B+
Thu, Jan 4 70 Penn St. W 92 - 61 82% +20  100% 9 - 5 1 - 2 A+ +36 A+ +14 A+ B- A+ A+ +20 A+ C- A+
Sun, Jan 7 36 Northwestern L 74 - 88 50% -8  13% 9 - 6 1 - 3 C +1 A- +11 B A+ C- F -11 F C F
Thu, Jan 11 10 Illinois L 68 - 71 30% -3  17% 9 - 7 1 - 4 A +17 C +1 C- A B+ A+ +16 A+ B- D+
Sun, Jan 14 96 Rutgers W 73 - 55 87% +6  73% 10 - 7 2 - 4 A +21 A+ +14 A+ A A+ A +9 B- A+ C-
Thu, Jan 18 69 Minnesota W 76 - 66 82% +4  90% 11 - 7 3 - 4 A- +15 C +2 C+ D- A+ A+ +14 B+ B+ A+
Sun, Jan 21 61 Maryland W 61 - 59 60% +5  80% 12 - 7 4 - 4 A- +14 C +1 B+ F A+ A+ +13 C+ D+ A+
Fri, Jan 26 21 Wisconsin L 66 - 81 43% -9  0% 12 - 8 4 - 5 C+ +2 B- +4 C B A+ D -4 C- F F
Tue, Jan 30 120 Michigan W 81 - 62 91% +3  45% 13 - 8 5 - 5 A +19 A+ +17 A+ B- A+ B+ +5 A- F+ A-
Sat, Feb 3 61 Maryland W 63 - 54 79% +5  99% 14 - 8 6 - 5 A- +15 C+ +3 C+ A C+ A+ +14 A A+ A-
Tue, Feb 6 69 Minnesota L 56 - 59 65% +1  49% 14 - 9 6 - 6 B +8 D -5 B F B A+ +13 B+ B B-
Sat, Feb 10 10 Illinois W 88 - 80 52% -1  36% 15 - 9 7 - 6 A+ +22 A+ +14 A+ D+ A+ A +8 B A+ C-
Wed, Feb 14 70 Penn St. W 80 - 72 65% +9  83% 16 - 9 8 - 6 A +19 A +13 A A+ A+ B+ +6 D- B A+
Sat, Feb 17 120 Michigan W 73 - 63 79% +1  49% 17 - 9 9 - 6 A- +16 D -6 D+ D B A+ +21 B C+ A+
Tue, Feb 20 51 Iowa L 71 - 78 76% -6  13% 17 - 10 9 - 7 C +1 C +0 C+ B- A C -0 B- A+ F+
Sun, Feb 25 47 Ohio St. L 57 - 60 74% +5  96% 17 - 11 9 - 8 B- +5 F+ -8 C- D- C+ A+ +13 A+ C- C
Sat, Mar 2 2 Purdue L 74 - 80 18% -3  34% 17 - 12 9 - 9 A +18 A +12 C A+ A B+ +6 C B+ D+
Wed, Mar 6 36 Northwestern W 53 - 49 72% -1  32% 18 - 12 10 - 9 B+ +13 F+ -8 F C+ A+ A+ +22 A+ F+ A+
Sun, Mar 10 84 Indiana L 64 - 65 69% -5  25% 18 - 13 10 - 10 B +9 D+ -2 C C- C+ A+ +11 C+ D A+
Thu, Mar 14 69 Minnesota W 77 - 67 74% +1  40% 19 - 13 A +18 A +11 A+ B+ B+ A +8 D- A+ B-
Fri, Mar 15 2 Purdue L 62 - 67 26% -6  1% 19 - 14 A +16 C- -1 B- C- F A+ +17 A+ A+ B-
Thu, Mar 21 32 Mississippi St. W 69 - 51 60% +9  98% 20 - 14 A+ +30 A- +10 A+ A+ F A+ +22 A+ A+ A+
Sat, Mar 23 6 North Carolina L 69 - 85 34% -3  35% 20 - 15 C+ +3 C+ +2 A- F B- C+ +1 B A- F
Totals 20 - 15 10 - 10 +15 B +6 C B+ D A +9 B+ C- C


Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B A- C B+ B+ 37% 49% 32% D B B- B- B B+ C C- C A A B B- A- 30% 26% 43% B+ A- B B- B B B- B- B
1.17 67% 38% 37% +6 -1 1.09 32% 1.1 .34 15% .29 70% .20 0.96 46% 33% 32% -6 -1 0.87 25% 1.0 .24 20% .25 70% .20
Nov
6		 J. Madison F+ C- D+ F F 44% 25% 31% C- F B- C B- A+ A+ F A+ A+ A- A+ A- A+ 34% 20% 46% B- A+ C A B B F F+ F
0.92 54% 33% 6% -15 0 0.69 31% 1.0 .31 13% .51 62% .32 0.95 50% 25% 30% -8 0 0.85 31% 0.9 .27 18% .41 75% .31
Nov
9		 S. Indiana D- B- A+ F C 52% 27% 21% C C F+ B- D D+ A A A+ A+ A+ D A+ A 31% 27% 42% B+ A D B- C- B- A+ A+ A+
1.07 60% 62% 10% +1 0 1.02 21% 1.0 .21 17% .49 82% .40 0.74 33% 38% 25% -13 -1 0.73 30% 0.8 .25 22% .20 45% .09
Nov
14		 Duke C- C+ D- F C- 33% 40% 27% F D A- A+ A+ C- D+ F+ D A+ D+ F A- B- 26% 26% 48% A+ B+ A- F C A F F F
0.95 56% 32% 27% -6 -3 0.84 33% 1.2 .40 19% .22 58% .13 1.08 64% 55% 30% +4 -1 1.05 29% 1.4 .39 19% .54 80% .43
Nov
17		 Butler B+ A+ D+ A+ A+ 33% 31% 35% D+ A A C A- B- A B- A A+ A+ A+ B A+ 27% 24% 49% B- A+ C+ A+ A+ B+ F A F
1.15 69% 33% 41% +7 -1 1.10 36% 0.9 .33 16% .28 73% .20 0.84 25% 18% 32% -15 -1 0.69 27% 0.6 .17 19% .46 71% .33
Nov
19		 Alcorn St. C A+ F+ A+ A+ 25% 27% 48% F A- D+ F F B+ A- F D+ A+ A+ A+ B A+ 35% 33% 33% C+ A+ D- A- C+ B F A+ D+
1.22 100% 31% 43% +16 -1 1.29 29% 0.8 .23 14% .37 52% .19 0.74 29% 13% 31% -19 -1 0.59 36% 0.8 .30 18% .37 60% .22
Nov
23		 Arizona B- A+ F F D+ 32% 41% 27% D- D A- A+ A+ A+ B- A B A C- A+ B A 47% 22% 31% B- A B B B+ C- C- D+ C-
1.01 72% 22% 20% -7 -3 0.80 29% 1.4 .39 13% .24 79% .19 1.10 63% 27% 31% -1 +1 1.00 34% 1.0 .34 15% .35 75% .26
Nov
28		 GA Southern C- A+ A+ C- A+ 36% 34% 30% F A A F F+ D- A+ F A- A+ F C A+ B+ 22% 33% 44% A+ A A+ C- A+ A+ A A+ A+
1.17 78% 59% 33% +15 -2 1.26 43% 0.6 .24 20% .51 63% .32 0.75 75% 39% 21% -4 -2 0.87 14% 1.0 .14 27% .17 56% .09
Dec
5		 Wisconsin D+ A+ C- C- C+ 17% 43% 39% F C- D A+ B- A F C- F C- A+ F C- A 36% 18% 45% B A F F F A B- F F+
0.99 75% 35% 33% +2 -4 0.96 17% 1.6 .27 14% .14 71% .10 1.22 38% 50% 35% -4 +1 0.93 39% 1.7 .68 19% .30 100% .30
Dec
10		 Nebraska B A D- A+ A+ 26% 44% 30% F A- D B+ C A- F+ A+ C- B- D A- F F+ 34% 24% 42% B+ D- A+ A+ A+ D+ B F C
1.07 64% 29% 50% +5 -4 1.04 24% 1.0 .24 14% .16 89% .14 1.17 65% 33% 48% +10 0 1.20 18% 0.8 .14 14% .26 87% .23
Dec
16		 Baylor A+ A+ F A+ A+ 48% 31% 21% A- A+ A+ A+ A+ F+ A+ F A+ A+ D C B A- 30% 30% 41% B A- A+ B+ A+ A+ D+ A+ B-
1.25 80% 31% 56% +16 0 1.31 36% 1.9 .68 21% .50 64% .32 0.91 69% 38% 33% +4 -1 1.05 22% 1.0 .22 30% .38 63% .24
Dec
18		 Oakland A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ 24% 43% 33% F A A+ B+ A+ A- A- C A- B A+ F+ D- B- 19% 33% 48% A+ B+ F A+ B- D A B+ A
1.31 73% 40% 47% +11 -4 1.15 45% 1.3 .58 13% .31 75% .23 1.03 22% 44% 39% -1 -3 0.94 39% 0.7 .27 13% .19 70% .13
Dec
21		 Stony Brook A A+ A+ B A+ 36% 19% 46% C+ A+ F A+ B- C+ C D- C- A+ C- A+ A+ A+ 18% 40% 42% A A+ D A+ B- C- A+ A+ A+
1.29 86% 64% 37% +17 0 1.36 19% 1.8 .35 14% .26 65% .17 0.71 58% 23% 19% -15 -3 0.63 29% 0.8 .24 14% .09 50% .05
Dec
30		 Indiana St. A A- D+ F C 35% 41% 24% D- C- A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ F F+ B+ 33% 4% 63% C+ B+ C+ A- B B+ C A+ A-
1.23 65% 35% 25% -2 -3 0.92 44% 1.4 .62 17% .46 85% .39 1.06 41% 100% 41% +4 +2 1.12 24% 1.1 .26 20% .30 65% .19
Jan
4		 Penn St. A+ C A+ A+ A+ 38% 29% 34% D A+ C A- B- A+ F C+ F A+ F A+ A+ A+ 24% 29% 47% A+ A+ D B- C- A+ D- F F
1.25 57% 63% 53% +17 -1 1.32 29% 1.2 .35 16% .21 77% .16 0.83 83% 7% 8% -21 -2 0.55 31% 1.1 .36 22% .38 82% .31
Jan
7		 Northwestern A- A+ F A A- 28% 35% 37% F B A A+ A+ C- A+ D A F D- F F F 34% 26% 40% C+ F D+ B C F C- F D
1.14 77% 25% 41% +5 -2 1.07 33% 1.2 .40 20% .42 68% .29 1.35 65% 62% 45% +16 -1 1.30 29% 1.0 .29 8% .30 83% .25
Jan
11		 Illinois C B- A- F C 29% 41% 31% D- C- A B+ A B+ F C F A+ C- A+ B A+ 29% 33% 39% A+ A+ A+ F B- D+ D F F+
1.03 59% 42% 22% -3 -3 0.88 33% 1.1 .36 11% .12 71% .08 1.08 64% 25% 32% -3 -2 0.90 25% 1.6 .41 12% .38 82% .31
Jan
14		 Rutgers A+ A C A+ A+ 17% 35% 48% F A+ D A+ A A+ C B+ B- A B A+ F C 25% 40% 35% A+ B- A+ D A+ C- A B A
1.15 63% 35% 43% +7 -3 1.08 25% 1.5 .38 14% .27 73% .20 0.86 50% 21% 41% -4 -3 0.85 17% 1.0 .17 16% .24 62% .15
Jan
18		 Minnesota C A+ D+ F B- 45% 36% 20% D C+ C+ F D- A+ A+ D- A A+ A D D- B- 23% 35% 42% A+ B+ C+ A- B+ A+ F B- F
1.09 68% 35% 27% +2 -1 1.02 30% 0.5 .15 7% .36 65% .23 0.95 50% 40% 39% +2 -3 1.00 30% 0.9 .27 27% .51 65% .34
Jan
21		 Maryland C B- D+ A+ A 29% 39% 33% F B+ F F F A+ C+ C- C+ A+ A+ B- F B- 39% 14% 48% D C+ B- F+ D+ A+ A+ F A
0.95 57% 32% 44% +3 -3 1.00 7% 0.5 .03 13% .29 75% .21 0.92 41% 33% 38% -4 +1 0.95 31% 1.1 .34 28% .24 82% .20
Jan
26		 Wisconsin B- D- C A+ C+ 35% 37% 27% C- C B C+ B A+ D A+ C- D B- F F+ C- 38% 13% 49% C C- F F F F C C+ C
1.05 50% 37% 43% +1 -2 0.98 26% 1.1 .29 13% .22 83% .18 1.29 56% 50% 39% +5 +1 1.13 41% 1.4 .59 10% .33 74% .25
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
30		 Michigan A+ A B+ A+ A+ 46% 23% 31% C+ A+ B- C+ B- A+ F F F B+ A+ A- F A- 26% 31% 44% A- A- F B F+ A- F A+ F
1.34 67% 42% 56% +16 +1 1.33 30% 1.0 .30 10% .15 50% .07 1.02 40% 33% 41% -1 -2 0.95 43% 1.0 .43 21% .55 54% .29
Feb
3		 Maryland C+ F A+ F B 29% 46% 25% F C+ A+ C+ A C+ B+ F+ C+ A+ A+ F A- A 27% 14% 59% C A C- A+ A+ A- A+ F C
1.02 43% 50% 25% -2 -4 0.90 40% 0.9 .37 19% .32 69% .22 0.87 42% 50% 27% -9 +1 0.84 33% 0.5 .17 21% .27 100% .27
Feb
6		 Minnesota D C B+ A A- 30% 32% 39% D- B F F F B A+ F D A+ A A D A- 30% 18% 53% C B+ A+ F B B- F B+ D
0.95 54% 43% 41% +5 -2 1.07 16% 0.4 .06 15% .34 41% .14 1.00 50% 29% 38% 0 0 1.00 18% 1.6 .29 19% .40 63% .25
Feb
10		 Illinois A+ B B A+ A+ 47% 37% 16% C+ A+ C- D D+ A+ A+ B- A+ A A- D D B- 24% 22% 54% A B A+ C- A+ C- C+ F D+
1.26 61% 39% 63% +9 -1 1.16 23% 0.9 .19 9% .53 74% .39 1.15 54% 42% 38% +3 -1 1.06 26% 1.2 .31 13% .33 85% .28
Feb
14		 Penn St. A C A+ A A 46% 28% 26% D+ A A A+ A+ A+ C- A+ B B+ A+ A- F F+ 33% 21% 46% C D- A D- B A+ A+ F B-
1.19 57% 50% 38% +5 0 1.10 39% 1.4 .54 16% .28 88% .25 1.07 38% 30% 55% +6 0 1.13 21% 1.3 .29 22% .23 100% .23
Feb
17		 Michigan D B+ C+ F C- 45% 34% 21% D D+ F+ C+ D B A A+ A+ A+ A+ F C B+ 34% 23% 43% C- B A+ F C+ A+ A B A
0.97 64% 37% 17% -3 -1 0.93 19% 1.0 .19 13% .32 81% .26 0.84 44% 55% 35% 0 0 1.00 20% 1.7 .33 29% .22 67% .15
Feb
20		 Iowa C D+ F A+ B- 39% 28% 33% D C+ C- A B- A D+ F F C F A A B- 48% 31% 21% C- B- A A+ A+ F+ F+ C- F
1.10 52% 20% 50% +1 -1 1.02 26% 1.2 .32 12% .25 50% .12 1.20 72% 31% 27% +3 0 1.06 23% 0.7 .16 9% .39 78% .31
Feb
25		 Ohio St. F+ A- F+ F C- 33% 35% 31% C- C- D+ F D- C+ D+ A+ C+ A+ B- B- A+ A+ 29% 35% 35% B+ A+ D+ C+ C- C C- B C
0.91 63% 29% 27% -4 -2 0.88 24% 0.8 .18 16% .21 82% .17 0.96 57% 35% 18% -9 -2 0.77 34% 1.1 .37 14% .34 72% .24
Mar
2		 Purdue A B+ F A B- 19% 49% 32% F C A- A+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ B+ F A+ F D 23% 35% 42% A+ C A+ F B+ D+ F A- F
1.12 64% 25% 39% -2 -5 0.86 28% 1.5 .44 11% .29 88% .25 1.21 90% 27% 44% +11 -3 1.16 27% 1.5 .40 14% .52 67% .35
Mar
6		 Northwestern F+ D F F F 42% 29% 29% D+ F A+ F C+ A+ A+ F B+ A+ A+ A+ B- A+ 20% 39% 41% A+ A+ C- F F+ A+ A A+ A+
0.91 50% 29% 14% -14 -1 0.71 43% 0.5 .23 14% .40 65% .26 0.84 33% 29% 33% -8 -3 0.77 27% 1.4 .38 21% .22 60% .13
Mar
10		 Indiana D+ C+ B D+ B- 21% 38% 42% F C B- F+ C- C+ F A+ F A+ B- C- F C+ 46% 22% 33% C C+ F B+ D A+ A+ A+ A+
0.96 55% 40% 32% -1 -3 0.92 31% 0.8 .23 15% .12 86% .11 0.98 57% 40% 40% +4 +1 1.09 36% 1.0 .36 24% .24 42% .10
Mar
14		 Minnesota A A+ F A+ A+ 51% 35% 14% D+ A+ B- A B+ B+ A+ F B+ A F F D D- 33% 20% 47% C D- A+ A+ A+ B- D A+ C+
1.20 76% 24% 57% +10 -1 1.18 31% 1.0 .31 14% .35 63% .22 1.05 73% 44% 38% +10 0 1.20 19% 0.4 .07 19% .37 58% .21
Mar
15		 Purdue C- A+ F F C+ 38% 28% 34% A- B- A+ F C- F B+ A+ A A+ A+ D C A+ 59% 16% 25% F A+ A- A A+ B- F A- F
0.95 74% 21% 24% -3 -1 0.92 37% 0.5 .18 20% .23 83% .19 1.03 38% 43% 36% -9 +2 0.86 34% 1.0 .34 17% .50 67% .33
Mar
21		 MISS St. A- A+ B- A A+ 25% 31% 44% D+ A+ A+ B A+ F F A+ F A+ B+ F A+ A+ 34% 14% 52% C A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+
1.13 75% 40% 38% +8 -2 1.13 41% 0.9 .37 26% .13 83% .11 0.83 53% 50% 26% -6 +1 0.91 35% 0.5 .19 24% .22 50% .11
Mar
23		 UNC C+ D+ A A A 35% 38% 27% D A- D F F B- C+ B- C+ C+ A+ F+ D B 29% 24% 47% B B A+ F A- F C- F+ D
0.97 47% 48% 40% +3 -2 1.02 18% 0.3 .06 15% .25 73% .18 1.20 44% 46% 38% +2 -1 1.02 14% 2.0 .28 7% .35 83% .29