North Carolina St.
Atlantic Coast
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.
RatingRank
INCC Stats Predictive Rating +9.9 49
INCC Stats Results Rating +10.3 45
Consistency 0.18 333
Pace 72.0 75
Improvement -3.9 325

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B+ 32 B- B- A C C
Defense B- 79 B C+ B C D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 183 B- 61% 96 +1.0 132
2 Pt. Jumpers 45% 130 B+ 42% 23 +1.9 77
Three Pointers 38% 218 C+ 34% 157 -0.1 191
Shot Selection/Accuracy C -0.2 212 B +2.9 64
1st FG Attempt B- 1.06 82
Second Chance B- 31.2% 84 C 1.02 162 B- 0.32 97
Opponents' Steals A- 7.0% 12
Other Turnovers A 6.4% 9
Turnovers A 13.4% 7
Freethrows C- 0.27 210 C+ 73% 148 C 0.19 196
Total Offense B+ +6.3 32

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D+ 43% 248 B+ 7.2% 29
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 23% 210 A 0.9% 2
Three Pointers F+ 70% 345 B 0.4% 54
Total D- 46% 336 A 3.0% 9


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 23 B- 55% 100 +2.5 287
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 261 B 33% 64 -1.4 69
Three Pointers 35% 298 B+ 30% 30 -4.3 21
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.7 306 B -3.9 45
1st FG Attempt B 0.93 67
Second Chance B- 26.2% 94 C 1.02 190 C+ 0.27 122
Turnovers from Steals B+ 11.6% 40
Other Turnovers C- 8.6% 216
Turnovers B 20.2% 57
Freethrows C 0.28 211 C+ 71% 145 C 0.20 203
Total Defense B- +3.6 79

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B 42% 64 B 14.1% 60
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 26% 174 C+ 5.6% 121
Three Pointers A 70% 10 A+ 3.2% 1
Total B 46% 45 A- 8.5% 22

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.1 44 17.7 230
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.27 4 0.17 250
Consistency 0.13 256 0.10 36
Improvement -0.6 224 -3.2 329



Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
Mon, Nov 7 327 Austin Peay W 99 - 50 97% +29  97% 1 - 0 A+ +37 A+ +14 A+ F A- A+ +20 A+ C+ A+
Fri, Nov 11 226 Campbell W 73 - 67 92% +3  74% 2 - 0 C +0 F+ -7 C C+ D A- +7 F A- A
Tue, Nov 15 198 Florida International W 107 - 74 90% +21  95% 3 - 0 A+ +29 A+ +13 A A+ A+ A+ +10 F A A+
Sat, Nov 19 336 Elon W 74 - 63 98% +7  90% 4 - 0 C- -3 F+ -8 C- F A+ B+ +5 B- B+ F
Wed, Nov 23 7 Kansas L 74 - 80 27% -2  19% 4 - 1 B+ +10 B- +4 C- A+ A- A- +7 A+ F B
Thu, Nov 24 81 Dayton W 76 - 64 61% +3  58% 5 - 1 A +19 B +6 B+ A+ F A+ +14 A F A+
Fri, Nov 25 105 Butler W 76 - 61 71% +8  82% 6 - 1 A +19 A- +9 C+ C A+ A+ +11 B+ C+ A-
Tue, Nov 29 320 William & Mary W 85 - 64 97% +15  90% 7 - 1 B +9 C +0 A C- D- A +8 B- B- A-
Fri, Dec 2 58 Pittsburgh L 60 - 68 65% -4  30% 7 - 2 0 - 1 C- -2 F -15 F D+ C+ A+ +13 C+ A+ A-
Tue, Dec 6 347 Coppin St. W 94 - 72 98% +15  99% 8 - 2 B +7 B- +4 B A B- B- +2 B F C
Sat, Dec 10 23 Miami (FL) L 73 - 80 28% +6  80% 8 - 3 0 - 2 B +9 C+ +2 A F A+ A- +7 C- A+ F
Tue, Dec 13 89 Furman W 92 - 73 76% +15  98% 9 - 3 A+ +22 B- +4 A C+ C A+ +16 B+ D A+
Sat, Dec 17 80 Vanderbilt W 70 - 66 60% -1  42% 10 - 3 B+ +11 B- +4 B+ C+ A A +8 A+ F+ C
Thu, Dec 22 270 Louisville W 76 - 64 95% +6  67% 11 - 3 1 - 2 C+ +3 D -4 B- F+ A+ A- +7 F+ A- A
Fri, Dec 30 64 Clemson L 64 - 78 43% -5  12% 11 - 4 1 - 3 C- -2 D- -6 F B- A+ B +3 A+ F F
Wed, Jan 4 17 Duke W 84 - 60 49% +18  92% 12 - 4 2 - 3 A+ +34 A+ +13 A+ D A+ A+ +21 B A+ A+
Sat, Jan 7 82 Virginia Tech W 73 - 69 50% +8  99% 13 - 4 3 - 3 A- +14 C+ +2 D A- B- A+ +12 A+ D B-
Sat, Jan 14 23 Miami (FL) W 83 - 81 OT 50% +1  45% 14 - 4 4 - 3 B+ +12 B- +4 D B A+ A- +8 F A+ A+
Tue, Jan 17 148 Georgia Tech W 78 - 66 71% +3  54% 15 - 4 5 - 3 A +16 B- +4 A+ F F+ A+ +12 A+ D D+
Sat, Jan 21 44 North Carolina L 69 - 80 37% -3  17% 15 - 5 5 - 4 C+ +2 C +0 C F+ A+ B- +2 A+ D+ F
Tue, Jan 24 157 Notre Dame W 85 - 82 87% +2  64% 16 - 5 6 - 4 C +1 B- +4 D- C- A+ D+ -4 F+ C- A+
Sat, Jan 28 86 Wake Forest W 79 - 77 51% -3  30% 17 - 5 7 - 4 B+ +12 A- +8 B C A+ B +3 A+ F+ F
Wed, Feb 1 196 Florida St. W 94 - 66 90% +21  98% 18 - 5 8 - 4 A+ +24 A+ +16 C+ A+ A+ A- +8 B- C B-
Sat, Feb 4 148 Georgia Tech W 72 - 64 86% +1  43% 19 - 5 9 - 4 B- +6 D+ -2 C- C A A +8 C- A A+
Tue, Feb 7 38 Virginia L 50 - 63 35% -10  2% 19 - 6 9 - 5 C +1 F+ -7 F+ B+ C B+ +5 B+ A- F+
Sat, Feb 11 158 Boston College W 92 - 62 73% +13  93% 20 - 6 10 - 5 A+ +34 A+ +20 A+ B A A+ +14 B- D+ A+
Tue, Feb 14 110 Syracuse L 72 - 75 62% -1  22% 20 - 7 10 - 6 C+ +4 D+ -3 D B+ A- A- +7 A C+ D
Sun, Feb 19 44 North Carolina W 77 - 69 60% +2  63% 21 - 7 11 - 6 A +15 B+ +7 C+ B A+ A +8 A C- A-
Wed, Feb 22 86 Wake Forest W 90 - 74 73% +5  69% 22 - 7 12 - 6 A +20 A+ +18 A+ C- A+ B- +2 F B B+
Sat, Feb 25 64 Clemson L 71 - 96 65% -20  0% 22 - 8 12 - 7 F -19 C- -1 D+ A- A- F -18 F D C
Tue, Feb 28 17 Duke L 67 - 71 27% -4  12% 22 - 9 12 - 8 B+ +12 B +6 D+ A A+ B+ +6 A+ D D+
Wed, Mar 8 82 Virginia Tech W 97 - 77 61% +17  99% 23 - 9 A+ +27 A+ +25 A+ A+ A+ B- +3 B D B
Thu, Mar 9 64 Clemson L 54 - 80 54% -7  26% 23 - 10 F -17 F -16 F B- C C- -2 C- F B
Fri, Mar 17 12 Creighton L 63 - 72 30% -3  10% 23 - 11 B- +6 D+ -3 D- C A+ A +10 A A+ F+
Totals 23 - 11 12 - 8 +10 B+ +6 C B C B- +4 C+ C+ C


Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B+ B- B+ C+ B 37% 45% 38% C B- B- C B- A C- C+ C B- B- B B+ B 43% 22% 35% D B B- C C+ B C C+ C
1.18 61% 42% 34% +3 0 1.06 31% 1.0 .32 13% .27 73% .19 1.04 55% 33% 30% -4 +1 0.93 26% 1.0 .27 20% .28 71% .19
Nov
7		 Austin Peay A+ A+ A+ A A+ 42% 15% 42% B A+ C+ F F A- F B+ F A+ A+ A A+ A+ 52% 31% 17% D A+ B+ D+ C+ A+ F F F
1.35 84% 78% 40% +21 +2 1.46 33% 0.6 .19 15% .16 80% .13 0.68 40% 27% 13% -18 0 0.65 22% 1.0 .22 27% .38 85% .32
Nov
11		 Campbell F+ A A- F C 42% 21% 37% C+ C D+ A C+ D A+ F A+ A- B A+ F F 46% 15% 39% D- F C A+ A- A D+ A+ A+
1.04 72% 44% 25% +3 +1 1.07 26% 1.3 .32 20% .57 66% .38 0.96 52% 14% 56% +7 +2 1.17 24% 0.9 .21 23% .33 39% .13
Nov
15		 Florida Intl A+ B- A A+ A 40% 15% 45% B A C+ A+ A+ A+ D A C- A+ F A+ A D- 59% 7% 33% F F A+ B+ A A+ C+ A+ A+
1.30 60% 44% 43% +8 +2 1.19 38% 1.4 .51 16% .24 82% .20 0.90 72% 25% 28% +4 +4 1.17 16% 0.8 .13 27% .25 47% .12
Nov
19		 Elon F+ C B- C+ C 28% 21% 51% D+ C- F F F A+ F A+ F B+ C- A A+ B 38% 18% 44% D B- A+ F B+ F B+ F+ B-
1.06 59% 38% 35% +2 0 1.03 22% 0.7 .15 10% .10 83% .08 0.90 57% 30% 25% -7 +1 0.87 14% 1.2 .16 14% .22 77% .17
Nov
23		 Kansas B- F C+ C+ C 28% 32% 40% D- C- B A+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+ A- A- A+ D+ A+ 39% 29% 33% B A+ B F F B F D F
1.00 40% 35% 33% -6 -2 0.85 29% 1.3 .37 18% .36 82% .29 1.08 53% 7% 38% -9 -1 0.82 28% 1.9 .53 18% .47 76% .36
Nov
24		 Dayton B A- B+ F B 33% 25% 42% B B+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ B A+ A+ B- A A+ A+ 64% 15% 21% F A D+ F F A+ C A B-
1.10 63% 42% 25% -3 0 0.94 42% 1.3 .55 23% .36 74% .27 0.93 60% 29% 10% -7 +3 0.91 32% 1.3 .42 26% .31 63% .20
Nov
25		 Butler A- C- C+ F+ C- 55% 20% 25% A C+ C B- C A+ A- A+ A+ A+ C- B- A+ A- 39% 31% 30% C B+ F+ A+ C+ A- A+ C- A+
1.12 55% 36% 29% -4 +2 0.96 28% 1.0 .28 7% .25 81% .21 0.90 62% 35% 25% -3 -1 0.93 27% 0.8 .22 21% .07 75% .06
Nov
29		 W&M C A C- A+ A- 35% 15% 50% B+ A A F C- D- A F B- A A- A+ F B 48% 18% 34% F B- D+ A- B- A- F B F+
1.18 72% 38% 42% +11 +1 1.25 39% 0.8 .31 19% .33 58% .19 0.89 46% 22% 41% -5 +2 0.94 28% 0.7 .21 24% .36 65% .24
Dec
2		 Pitt F F A+ F F 36% 16% 48% B F B- F D+ C+ A D- B A+ D- F A+ C+ 35% 22% 43% D+ C+ A+ C+ A+ A- B+ D B
0.86 39% 50% 25% -11 +1 0.80 29% 0.8 .22 17% .33 63% .21 0.97 67% 55% 27% +3 0 1.06 13% 1.0 .13 20% .27 80% .21
Dec
6		 Coppin St. B- A+ F B- B+ 33% 25% 42% D B C- A+ A B- D- F F B- B C+ A A- 43% 12% 45% D- B F A+ F C F A- D-
1.25 85% 27% 36% +8 0 1.15 34% 1.5 .50 16% .25 56% .14 0.96 52% 33% 27% -7 +2 0.90 38% 0.7 .27 19% .39 67% .26
Dec
10		 Miami FL C+ A+ A+ D A+ 25% 34% 41% F A D+ F F A+ C- F D A- D- C+ D+ C- 46% 24% 30% D+ C- B A+ A+ F B- D C+
1.05 79% 53% 30% +8 -2 1.13 24% 0.4 .11 12% .20 58% .11 1.15 68% 38% 38% +7 +1 1.15 29% 0.4 .11 9% .27 82% .22
Dec
13		 Furman B- C C+ A+ A- 39% 14% 47% B+ A B D C+ C A+ B- A+ A+ F+ D- A+ B+ 35% 13% 52% C+ B+ C F D A+ B- A+ A
1.16 59% 38% 41% +5 +2 1.14 33% 1.0 .33 19% .37 75% .28 0.92 68% 43% 25% -2 +1 0.98 28% 1.3 .36 25% .29 59% .17
Dec
17		 Vanderbilt B- C C B+ B 38% 23% 40% B B+ A+ F C+ A A+ B+ A+ A A+ F A+ A+ 38% 23% 40% D+ A+ C F F+ C B- C B-
1.12 56% 36% 37% +1 0 1.02 42% 0.7 .29 11% .36 75% .27 1.05 44% 45% 26% -7 0 0.85 32% 1.3 .41 14% .26 71% .19
Dec
22		 Louisville D C A+ C+ B- 33% 22% 45% C B- C+ F F+ A+ A D A- A- F+ A+ F D- 60% 23% 18% F F+ A C+ A- A F A+ D-
1.11 59% 55% 35% +5 0 1.10 31% 0.6 .18 12% .35 67% .23 0.93 67% 0% 57% +3 +2 1.10 22% 1.0 .22 28% .48 58% .28
Dec
30		 Clemson D- C- F F F 23% 30% 46% D F B D+ B- A+ B- A- B+ B B+ A+ A+ A+ 43% 21% 36% D A+ C+ F F F F F F
0.91 54% 18% 23% -14 -2 0.68 29% 1.0 .29 11% .29 78% .22 1.11 52% 27% 26% -8 +1 0.85 23% 1.6 .37 10% .38 92% .35
Jan
4		 Duke A+ A A+ A+ A+ 33% 26% 41% C- A+ B+ F D A+ B- F D+ A+ C+ A+ D+ A- 48% 18% 35% D- B A+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ F
1.18 63% 53% 42% +11 -1 1.21 31% 0.5 .17 8% .23 53% .12 0.84 58% 14% 36% -3 +2 0.98 26% 0.6 .15 29% .52 65% .34
Jan
7		 VA Tech C+ F A+ F D 33% 27% 41% C- D A- C+ A- B- A+ A+ A+ A+ C A+ A+ A+ 38% 25% 38% A- A+ A F D B- F C- F
1.07 44% 54% 25% -5 -1 0.88 34% 1.1 .37 16% .44 80% .35 1.01 61% 25% 28% -5 0 0.90 19% 1.8 .34 16% .37 76% .28
Jan
14		 Miami FL B- C C- F D- 51% 23% 26% B D B C+ B A+ A F B A- F F F+ F 47% 21% 32% D- F A+ A+ A+ A+ F C+ F
1.12 58% 36% 19% -6 +1 0.90 33% 1.1 .35 5% .29 60% .17 1.09 77% 50% 40% +15 +1 1.32 16% 0.8 .12 23% .39 77% .30
Jan
17		 GA Tech B- A A+ A+ A+ 36% 29% 36% D- A+ C+ F F F+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C- B+ A+ A+ 41% 28% 31% D+ A+ F A- D D+ F A+ B+
1.10 69% 54% 44% +14 -1 1.27 31% 0.5 .15 21% .36 85% .30 0.93 58% 31% 11% -12 0 0.76 37% 0.9 .35 14% .31 42% .13
Jan
21		 UNC C A- D+ D- B- 32% 40% 28% F C F A+ F+ A+ D+ A+ A- B- A- B+ A+ A+ 38% 25% 38% D+ A+ C D D+ F F F F
0.98 63% 33% 29% -2 -3 0.92 9% 1.3 .12 11% .19 100% .19 1.13 50% 33% 22% -10 0 0.79 31% 1.2 .37 10% .61 92% .57
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
24		 Notre Dame B- D+ D+ F F+ 47% 26% 28% B- D- C D+ C- A+ A+ A+ A+ D+ F D- F F 29% 31% 39% B+ F+ F A+ C- A+ F D F
1.19 56% 33% 25% -6 0 0.90 25% 0.9 .23 3% .39 85% .33 1.15 73% 44% 40% +10 -2 1.18 28% 0.9 .24 21% .37 81% .30
Jan
28		 Wake Forest A- C- C- A+ B+ 40% 32% 28% D+ B B+ F C A+ B- F F+ B A+ D- B+ A 39% 26% 35% A A+ B F F+ F D F+ F+
1.15 57% 33% 50% +5 -1 1.09 31% 0.8 .26 7% .25 44% .11 1.12 48% 43% 32% -4 0 0.93 22% 1.6 .35 9% .35 82% .29
Feb
1		 FL St. A+ F D+ A+ B 37% 37% 27% F C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ A- C+ B+ A- B+ 52% 27% 21% F B- B+ F C B- D+ A+ B-
1.36 47% 32% 57% +4 -2 1.04 43% 1.5 .65 12% .38 78% .29 0.95 60% 31% 30% -2 +1 0.98 22% 1.3 .28 19% .32 61% .20
Feb
4		 GA Tech D+ D+ F C- D+ 48% 14% 38% A- C- C+ C- C A B A- B+ A C F B+ C 34% 23% 43% D C- D+ A+ A A+ A+ B A+
1.06 54% 29% 32% -4 +2 0.96 31% 0.9 .28 13% .29 76% .22 0.94 56% 50% 30% 0 0 1.00 29% 0.7 .21 25% .12 67% .08
Feb
7		 Virginia F+ F A+ F F 36% 16% 49% B+ F+ A+ C- B+ C F+ F F B+ B+ F A+ A- 55% 26% 19% D B+ A B- A- F+ F F F
0.86 25% 71% 27% -11 +1 0.80 34% 0.8 .29 21% .15 57% .09 1.08 52% 45% 25% -3 +1 0.95 20% 1.0 .20 9% .45 79% .36
Feb
11		 Boston Col A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 25% 28% 47% D- A+ A- C- B A F F F A+ D- A+ C B 50% 26% 24% D+ B- D- B- D+ A+ B A+ A+
1.31 64% 63% 52% +22 -1 1.40 37% 0.9 .33 16% .08 60% .05 0.88 64% 8% 33% -5 +1 0.92 33% 1.0 .33 24% .24 46% .11
Feb
14		 Syracuse D+ B A+ F C- 19% 29% 52% F+ D B- B+ B+ A- F F F A- A D- A A 39% 35% 26% C A A- F+ C+ D B- F D
1.02 64% 47% 27% -2 -2 0.93 37% 1.0 .37 17% .09 60% .05 1.06 48% 42% 29% -4 -2 0.89 25% 1.2 .31 14% .28 94% .26
Feb
19		 UNC B+ A C- F B 38% 38% 25% D- C+ B- A- B A+ F+ A+ D+ A A+ F D+ A+ 45% 16% 39% F A F A+ C- A- F C F
1.12 65% 35% 27% -1 -2 0.95 25% 1.1 .28 4% .15 80% .12 1.01 30% 50% 35% -10 +2 0.84 43% 0.8 .36 19% .43 75% .32
Feb
22		 Wake Forest A+ A+ A+ A- A+ 43% 25% 32% C+ A+ B- F+ C- A+ C C+ C+ B- C- F F F 33% 8% 59% D F A+ F B B+ A+ D- A+
1.34 79% 50% 39% +15 0 1.30 29% 0.9 .25 10% .23 71% .17 1.10 63% 75% 41% +11 +2 1.27 15% 1.5 .22 21% .19 80% .15
Feb
25		 Clemson C- D C F D 37% 22% 41% B D+ B- A A- A- A F+ B F C+ F F F 47% 16% 37% F F D C- D C F D F
1.01 50% 33% 27% -8 0 0.85 28% 1.3 .35 14% .33 65% .22 1.37 58% 75% 53% +17 +2 1.37 27% 1.1 .31 16% .37 82% .31
Feb
28		 Duke B F A F C- 26% 28% 46% D- D+ B A+ A A+ F+ A+ D B+ B- F A+ A+ 41% 20% 39% C- A+ D+ D+ D D+ F D+ F
1.03 40% 44% 27% -7 -1 0.82 30% 1.1 .33 9% .14 88% .12 1.10 56% 67% 12% -8 +1 0.86 39% 1.1 .44 15% .53 79% .42
Mar
8		 VA Tech A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 42% 16% 42% A- A+ A- A+ A+ A+ C- D+ D+ B- D A+ B- B+ 46% 12% 42% F+ B A- F D B F F F
1.42 70% 56% 48% +17 +1 1.36 35% 1.7 .58 12% .20 67% .13 1.13 65% 17% 33% +1 +2 1.06 20% 1.7 .33 18% .34 84% .28
Mar
9		 Clemson F B- F F F 30% 38% 32% D- F F+ A+ B- C F A- F C- B C- F C- 38% 19% 43% D+ C- D- F F B C+ D+ C
0.78 59% 24% 17% -13 -2 0.70 18% 1.7 .30 17% .16 78% .12 1.16 55% 40% 43% +6 +1 1.13 28% 1.4 .38 19% .29 81% .23
Mar
17		 Creighton D+ C B- F C- 26% 51% 23% F D- C+ C- C A+ A A A+ A D F A+ A 40% 23% 38% B- A A+ F A+ F+ D F F
0.91 53% 38% 15% -7 -5 0.77 23% 0.9 .20 9% .24 80% .19 1.04 67% 58% 15% -2 0 0.96 10% 2.0 .21 12% .31 89% .28