Virginia
Atlantic Coast
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.
RatingRank
INCC Stats Predictive Rating +10.9 38
INCC Stats Results Rating +13.0 23
Consistency 0.14 117
Pace 57.2 360
Improvement -3.7 318

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B- 79 B- C A+ B+ C
Defense A- 23 B A- B B+ C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 117 C+ 60% 117 +2.2 97
2 Pt. Jumpers 40% 221 C+ 38% 121 +0.5 148
Three Pointers 36% 257 B 36% 68 +0.1 179
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.1 178 B- +2.7 78
1st FG Attempt B- 1.06 83
Second Chance C- 26.2% 238 B- 1.07 94 C 0.28 190
Opponents' Steals B+ 7.3% 24
Other Turnovers A+ 5.7% 2
Turnovers A+ 13.0% 2
Freethrows B+ 0.33 27 C 71% 207 B+ 0.24 34
Total Offense B- +3.8 79

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B+ 60% 31 D 13.3% 322
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots A+ 61% 1 B- 3.5% 73
Three Pointers A- 93% 10 B 0.3% 33
Total A+ 70% 4 D+ 6.1% 265


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 272 A- 49% 16 -4.5 32
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 167 C+ 35% 128 -0.3 160
Three Pointers 42% 91 C 34% 164 +1.2 239
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ -0.2 138 B -3.5 53
1st FG Attempt B 0.93 60
Second Chance B+ 23.5% 33 B+ 0.88 25 A- 0.21 18
Turnovers from Steals B+ 11.5% 43
Other Turnovers C 9.0% 166
Turnovers B 20.5% 51
Freethrows B+ 0.22 25 C 71% 164 B+ 0.15 28
Total Defense A- +7.0 23

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 43% 75 A 19.3% 8
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 31% 260 A- 8.8% 22
Three Pointers D 87% 311 C+ 1.1% 127
Total C- 56% 223 A 9.2% 10

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.9 318 19.3 363
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 212 0.09 3
Consistency 0.13 235 0.09 7
Improvement -5.3 358 +1.6 87



Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
Mon, Nov 7 192 NC Central W 73 - 61 91% +8  93% 1 - 0 B +8 A +12 B B A+ C- -2 C- A+ F
Fri, Nov 11 343 Monmouth W 89 - 42 98% +21  81% 2 - 0 A+ +32 A+ +20 A+ A+ A+ A+ +18 D- A+ A+
Fri, Nov 18 15 Baylor W 86 - 79 39% +4  50% 3 - 0 A+ +21 A+ +17 A+ B C B +4 C+ F+ A-
Sun, Nov 20 34 Illinois W 70 - 61 48% +2  64% 4 - 0 A+ +20 B +6 B- B B A+ +15 B+ A B
Fri, Nov 25 247 MD Eastern Shore W 72 - 45 95% +16  99% 5 - 0 A +19 B +6 B+ C A+ A+ +17 A A- B+
Tue, Nov 29 42 Michigan W 70 - 68 40% -2  26% 6 - 0 A +15 A +11 A+ F A+ B+ +5 D+ D- A-
Sat, Dec 3 196 Florida St. W 62 - 57 91% +4  76% 7 - 0 1 - 0 C +1 F -11 F F+ C- A+ +12 A+ C+ B+
Tue, Dec 6 100 James Madison W 55 - 50 81% +4  92% 8 - 0 B- +7 F -12 D+ F A+ A+ +19 A+ A+ C+
Sat, Dec 17 4 Houston L 61 - 69 34% -4  29% 8 - 1 B +7 B- +4 B A- A+ C+ +1 D A+ C-
Tue, Dec 20 23 Miami (FL) L 64 - 66 31% -8  1% 8 - 2 1 - 1 A- +14 D -4 F C A A+ +18 A+ B C+
Wed, Dec 28 342 Albany W 66 - 46 98% +11  81% 9 - 2 B- +6 F -9 D- C A- A+ +17 A A+ D-
Sat, Dec 31 148 Georgia Tech W 74 - 56 74% +13  98% 10 - 2 2 - 1 A+ +22 B +6 A+ C+ C+ A+ +17 D- A+ A+
Tue, Jan 3 58 Pittsburgh L 65 - 68 45% +4  70% 10 - 3 2 - 2 B +9 C+ +2 B+ A C A- +6 A- D- D
Sat, Jan 7 110 Syracuse W 73 - 66 83% +12  99% 11 - 3 3 - 2 B +8 C- -1 A F A+ A +9 D A+ A+
Tue, Jan 10 44 North Carolina W 65 - 58 63% +1  53% 12 - 3 4 - 2 A- +14 C +1 A- D+ A- A+ +15 C+ A+ A
Sat, Jan 14 196 Florida St. W 67 - 58 81% +9  93% 13 - 3 5 - 2 B+ +11 B- +3 A- F A+ A +9 A C- D+
Wed, Jan 18 82 Virginia Tech W 78 - 68 75% +6  88% 14 - 3 6 - 2 A- +14 A+ +15 A A- A+ C+ +1 D A- D+
Sat, Jan 21 86 Wake Forest W 76 - 67 55% +6  79% 15 - 3 7 - 2 A +19 A +10 C+ C+ A+ A +10 A+ D+ D-
Sat, Jan 28 158 Boston College W 76 - 57 89% +9  80% 16 - 3 8 - 2 A +17 B +6 B- A+ B+ A+ +12 B- A+ A+
Mon, Jan 30 110 Syracuse W 67 - 62 65% +2  68% 17 - 3 9 - 2 B+ +12 C+ +3 A- B D- A +10 B- F A
Sat, Feb 4 82 Virginia Tech L 68 - 74 53% -4  0% 17 - 4 9 - 3 C+ +4 C- -1 C- C- A+ B+ +5 D+ A+ D
Tue, Feb 7 49 North Carolina St. W 63 - 50 65% +10  95% 18 - 4 10 - 3 A+ +20 C+ +2 C+ D- A+ A+ +20 A+ B- A+
Sat, Feb 11 17 Duke W 69 - 62 OT 52% -1  46% 19 - 4 11 - 3 A +17 C+ +2 A+ F A A+ +16 B F A+
Wed, Feb 15 270 Louisville W 61 - 58 89% +1  61% 20 - 4 12 - 3 C +0 D- -6 C+ F A+ A- +7 C A- F
Sat, Feb 18 157 Notre Dame W 57 - 55 89% +3  84% 21 - 4 13 - 3 C -0 F -12 D- F A A+ +12 A A C
Wed, Feb 22 158 Boston College L 48 - 63 76% -6  8% 21 - 5 13 - 4 D- -11 F -16 F D- A B- +2 F D B+
Sat, Feb 25 44 North Carolina L 63 - 71 40% -9  0% 21 - 6 13 - 5 B- +5 D+ -3 D+ D+ A+ A +8 D- A+ B+
Tue, Feb 28 64 Clemson W 64 - 57 69% +6  85% 22 - 6 14 - 5 A- +13 C +1 C+ C+ A A+ +12 A- A- B-
Sat, Mar 4 270 Louisville W 75 - 60 96% +13  99% 23 - 6 15 - 5 B- +6 A +10 A+ B A C -1 B F C-
Thu, Mar 9 44 North Carolina W 68 - 59 52% +3  69% 24 - 6 A +19 B+ +8 B+ B- A+ A+ +13 A+ D+ B+
Fri, Mar 10 64 Clemson W 76 - 56 58% +11  86% 25 - 6 A+ +29 A+ +15 A A+ A+ A+ +16 A+ A- B+
Sat, Mar 11 17 Duke L 49 - 59 41% -7  0% 25 - 7 C+ +3 F -12 F D+ D+ A+ +14 B+ A+ C+
Thu, Mar 16 89 Furman L 67 - 68 69% +6  89% 25 - 8 B- +5 D -4 F A A+ A +8 C A+ D
Totals 25 - 8 15 - 5 +11 B- +4 C B- C A- +7 B C B+


Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B- C+ C+ B B- 39% 40% 36% C B- C- B- C A+ B+ C B+ A- A- C+ C B 34% 24% 42% C+ B B+ B+ A- B B+ C B+
1.14 60% 38% 36% +3 0 1.06 26% 1.1 .28 13% .33 71% .24 0.99 49% 35% 34% -3 0 0.93 24% 0.9 .21 21% .22 71% .24
Nov
7		 NC Central A F F A+ B+ 28% 16% 56% C B B C+ B A+ A+ C+ A+ C- B- C F+ D+ 32% 30% 38% B+ C- A A+ A+ F C+ A- B
1.23 50% 14% 46% +4 +1 1.09 34% 1.0 .34 13% .58 73% .43 1.03 53% 36% 39% +1 -1 1.00 23% 0.8 .17 13% .27 64% .17
Nov
11		 Monmouth A+ A C+ A+ A+ 35% 17% 48% C+ A+ A A- A+ A+ A+ F A- A+ D+ A C- D- 51% 23% 26% D- D- A+ A+ A+ A+ D- A+ B+
1.44 69% 38% 55% +19 +1 1.39 42% 1.4 .58 10% .45 64% .29 0.68 56% 25% 33% -4 +1 0.94 20% 0.3 .07 34% .37 47% .17
Nov
18		 Baylor A+ C C+ A+ A+ 39% 27% 34% A- A+ B B- B C A+ B+ A+ B A+ F F B- 27% 27% 46% D+ C+ D+ D- F+ A- B+ F C+
1.29 63% 36% 64% +17 0 1.34 32% 1.0 .32 21% .66 77% .51 1.19 46% 46% 41% +4 -1 1.06 39% 1.3 .52 20% .26 86% .22
Nov
20		 Illinois B C+ F B C- 45% 20% 35% A+ B- C+ A B B A+ A A+ A+ A A+ C A 47% 10% 43% F B+ B+ A- A B A+ A+ A+
1.06 56% 13% 36% -5 +1 0.93 28% 1.1 .31 18% .60 78% .47 0.93 52% 20% 33% -5 +3 0.96 28% 1.0 .28 20% .17 44% .08
Nov
25		 MD E Shore B A- B- C B+ 47% 21% 32% B- B+ F A+ C A+ B- B- B- A+ A F A+ A- 29% 38% 33% A+ A C A+ A- B+ A+ D- A+
1.13 68% 40% 33% +5 +1 1.13 25% 1.4 .36 16% .34 72% .24 0.71 43% 44% 19% -9 -2 0.77 24% 0.5 .12 24% .10 80% .08
Nov
29		 Michigan A A- D A+ A+ 58% 27% 15% B+ A+ D F F A+ A+ D- A B+ C F D- D 33% 27% 40% B- D+ A F D- A- A+ F A
1.13 64% 31% 57% +7 +1 1.17 20% 0.3 .07 11% .35 63% .22 1.10 60% 50% 39% +7 -1 1.13 21% 1.8 .38 19% .20 80% .16
Dec
3		 FL St. F F A+ F F 46% 10% 44% A F B- F F+ C- A+ A A+ A+ A+ A B A+ 38% 30% 32% D+ A+ F A+ C+ B+ A+ F B+
0.96 39% 50% 29% -10 +3 0.85 33% 0.7 .22 19% .50 81% .40 0.89 37% 27% 31% -12 -1 0.74 38% 0.7 .26 20% .18 100% .18
Dec
6		 J. Madison F B- A+ F D 38% 14% 48% B D+ F F F A+ A+ F B A+ A+ A+ B- A+ 40% 18% 42% C A+ C+ A+ A+ C+ D+ D+ D+
0.88 63% 50% 25% -3 +1 0.98 10% 0.7 .06 14% .45 50% .22 0.80 28% 13% 32% -18 +1 0.67 30% 0.5 .16 19% .36 72% .26
Dec
17		 Houston B- A+ F D- B 31% 19% 50% B B D- A+ A- A+ B A+ A+ C+ F B D D 34% 26% 40% D- D A+ A+ A+ C- C+ F D+
1.03 77% 0% 29% -5 0 0.90 21% 1.5 .31 17% .35 88% .31 1.17 75% 33% 37% +7 0 1.13 26% 0.9 .22 14% .25 85% .22
Dec
20		 Miami FL D F C+ F F 33% 25% 41% C- F C C- C A A+ B- A+ A+ A+ F+ B+ A+ 26% 28% 47% A- A+ A D- B C+ F C+ F
0.96 47% 38% 24% -9 0 0.80 28% 1.0 .28 15% .33 74% .25 0.99 42% 46% 32% -3 -1 0.91 26% 1.3 .34 16% .39 77% .31
Dec
28		 Albany F B- B- F D- 37% 26% 37% D+ D- D+ B C A- A- F D A+ A B- A+ A 30% 20% 50% C A A+ A+ A+ D- B+ C+ B+
1.08 65% 42% 29% +1 0 1.02 25% 1.1 .28 13% .37 55% .21 0.75 43% 33% 26% -11 0 0.78 17% 0.3 .06 16% .21 73% .16
Dec
31		 GA Tech B A+ F A+ A+ 27% 31% 42% F A+ B C- C+ C+ B F+ C+ A+ C+ C+ F D- 33% 28% 40% C D- C- A+ A+ A+ F+ C+ D-
1.13 85% 27% 45% +11 -2 1.19 33% 0.9 .30 17% .29 63% .18 0.86 54% 36% 44% +5 -1 1.08 29% 0.5 .14 35% .31 69% .21
Jan
3		 Pitt C+ A+ C- C A 30% 34% 36% F B+ D- A+ A C F A+ F A- D C+ A+ A- 36% 23% 40% C- A- C F D- D C F D-
1.06 73% 35% 33% +4 -2 1.04 21% 1.8 .38 18% .08 100% .08 1.11 65% 36% 26% -2 0 0.96 29% 1.2 .35 13% .32 88% .28
Jan
7		 Syracuse C- F B A+ A 28% 21% 51% C A F C F A+ A+ C A+ A A+ F F D 40% 31% 29% D D B- A+ A+ A+ C+ A B+
1.08 38% 40% 50% +8 0 1.15 20% 0.9 .17 15% .38 68% .26 0.98 37% 53% 57% +7 -1 1.13 28% 0.6 .16 24% .29 67% .19
Jan
10		 UNC C B- B D+ B 48% 11% 41% A+ A- D B- D+ A- A+ F A- A+ A+ D D C 23% 30% 47% A- C+ A+ A+ A+ A A+ A A+
1.03 59% 40% 32% 0 +3 1.04 18% 1.0 .18 13% .34 58% .20 0.92 45% 43% 36% +1 -2 0.98 24% 0.5 .12 21% .24 67% .16
Jan
14		 FL St. B- B+ F A+ A 36% 26% 38% D+ A- D- F F A+ F F+ F A B- C A- A- 15% 48% 37% A+ A C- C- C- D+ B- D- C
1.13 63% 21% 50% +7 0 1.13 25% 0.6 .16 10% .06 67% .04 0.97 57% 36% 29% -3 -5 0.85 27% 1.1 .30 15% .28 79% .22
Jan
18		 VA Tech A+ B- A+ F+ A- 46% 12% 42% A+ A D+ A+ A- A+ B- A+ A C+ D+ A+ F D- 28% 22% 50% A- D A+ D A- D+ A+ F A+
1.30 61% 83% 29% +4 +2 1.12 24% 1.6 .38 8% .24 92% .22 1.13 64% 27% 48% +10 0 1.20 18% 1.2 .21 13% .04 100% .04
Jan
21		 Wake Forest A F F A+ B- 24% 22% 55% C- C+ B- C- C+ A+ A- A- A A A+ A+ C A+ 32% 13% 55% C A+ A F D+ D- F F+ F
1.17 42% 18% 46% +2 -1 1.04 28% 1.0 .28 11% .29 76% .23 1.03 47% 17% 35% -6 +1 0.91 18% 1.7 .29 14% .39 82% .32
Jan
28		 Boston Col B C+ A+ F B+ 27% 31% 41% F+ B- B- A+ A+ B+ D- A+ B- A+ D- A+ B B- 44% 26% 30% C- B- A+ A+ A+ A+ C F F
1.16 57% 63% 29% +5 -2 1.06 32% 1.7 .54 17% .18 100% .18 0.87 63% 18% 31% -4 0 0.93 20% 0.7 .13 24% .28 93% .26
Jan
30		 Syracuse C+ A- D- A+ A 28% 30% 42% D- A- B C+ B D- A+ A+ A+ A C- F A+ B- 30% 40% 30% A- B- C F F A F A+ C
1.09 67% 31% 44% +7 -2 1.12 39% 0.9 .36 23% .32 80% .25 1.01 62% 59% 15% +2 -3 0.98 31% 1.5 .46 23% .38 61% .23
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
4		 VA Tech C- C F B- C- 40% 28% 32% C C- C- C- C- A+ A D+ A- B+ F+ A+ D- C- 52% 12% 36% F D+ A+ A+ A+ D D+ D+ D+
1.03 57% 27% 35% -2 0 0.94 26% 1.0 .26 11% .30 67% .20 1.12 69% 17% 39% +6 +3 1.18 11% 0.7 .07 12% .29 76% .22
Feb
7		 NC St. C+ D+ A+ F C+ 55% 26% 19% C C+ D- C- D- A+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ F A+ A+ 36% 16% 49% F+ A+ D A B- A+ A+ A+ A+
1.08 52% 45% 25% -3 +1 0.95 20% 1.0 .20 9% .45 79% .36 0.86 25% 71% 27% -11 +1 0.80 34% 0.8 .29 21% .15 57% .09
Feb
11		 Duke C+ A+ A+ D+ A+ 52% 22% 26% B+ A+ F F F A A+ F C+ A+ B+ B C- B 34% 20% 45% C+ B B+ F F A+ B C+ B
1.01 69% 45% 31% +7 +1 1.16 14% 0.4 .06 13% .37 41% .15 0.91 53% 33% 35% -1 0 0.98 32% 1.8 .57 32% .26 75% .20
Feb
15		 Louisville D- A- F C+ C+ 40% 23% 36% C C+ F F F A+ B F C- A- A- C F D 13% 43% 43% A+ C A+ F A- F A+ D- A+
1.03 68% 27% 35% +3 0 1.06 21% 0.6 .12 10% .30 56% .17 0.98 50% 35% 40% +2 -4 0.96 18% 1.2 .21 17% .20 80% .16
Feb
18		 Notre Dame F F+ A F D- 30% 23% 47% C- D- D F F A A B- A A+ A- F A+ B+ 13% 35% 52% A+ A A+ F A C B+ D+ B
0.96 50% 45% 27% -5 0 0.89 21% 0.4 .09 10% .30 75% .22 0.92 50% 47% 28% -2 -3 0.90 10% 1.3 .13 13% .19 80% .15
Feb
22		 Boston Col F F A+ F F 36% 26% 38% C- F C F D- A D- D+ D- B- F A- F+ F 40% 30% 30% B F C+ F D B+ A+ C+ A+
0.80 33% 54% 21% -12 0 0.76 29% 0.7 .20 15% .18 67% .12 1.05 76% 31% 38% +8 -1 1.14 27% 1.3 .35 22% .15 71% .11
Feb
25		 UNC D+ F A+ C C 39% 41% 20% F+ D+ C- F+ D+ A+ D F F A A+ F+ F F 22% 29% 49% A- D- A+ F A+ B+ D D+ D-
0.94 39% 46% 33% -4 -2 0.88 21% 0.8 .16 6% .17 45% .08 1.05 40% 46% 45% +7 -2 1.11 12% 1.3 .15 18% .40 77% .31
Feb
28		 Clemson C C- A- D- B- 32% 32% 36% D+ C+ A- F C+ A A+ D A+ A+ C- A+ B- A+ 44% 13% 44% F A- B- A+ A- B- A+ C- A+
1.05 53% 40% 29% -3 -1 0.91 32% 0.8 .27 13% .42 68% .28 0.94 62% 0% 33% -3 +2 0.98 21% 0.9 .18 18% .10 80% .08
Mar
4		 Louisville A A+ A+ C+ A+ 33% 28% 40% D A+ C A B A C+ A B C D- B A+ B+ 38% 27% 35% D+ B F+ F F C- F D- F
1.30 93% 50% 35% +16 -1 1.30 30% 1.1 .35 12% .28 79% .22 1.04 64% 30% 23% -5 0 0.89 35% 1.2 .42 21% .44 80% .35
Mar
9		 UNC B+ A+ A- F A- 39% 32% 30% D+ B+ D- A+ B- A+ A+ B A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 33% 17% 50% F+ A+ B- F D+ B+ C B- C+
1.11 71% 43% 23% +2 -1 1.02 17% 1.4 .24 10% .40 73% .29 0.96 47% 25% 26% -12 +1 0.78 29% 1.3 .38 18% .36 72% .26
Mar
10		 Clemson A+ A C- A+ A+ 39% 31% 29% C A A- A A+ A+ B- F C- A+ A+ F B- A+ 40% 13% 47% F A+ F+ A+ A- B+ D+ A+ C+
1.22 65% 31% 40% +4 -1 1.06 31% 1.3 .40 10% .29 63% .18 0.90 39% 50% 33% -6 +2 0.91 29% 0.6 .18 19% .32 69% .22
Mar
11		 Duke F F+ F F F 40% 24% 36% C F D- C D+ D+ A+ B- A+ A+ A- B D+ A- 50% 23% 28% D+ B+ A+ A+ A+ C+ F C- F
0.80 44% 18% 25% -15 0 0.71 20% 0.9 .17 20% .35 76% .26 0.96 50% 33% 36% -4 +1 0.95 18% 0.8 .14 18% .44 77% .34
Mar
16		 Furman D F+ B F F 43% 32% 26% D+ F C A+ A A+ A+ B+ A+ A A- A+ F C 40% 10% 50% C- C A A+ A+ D D C D
1.03 50% 40% 17% -9 -1 0.81 28% 1.6 .44 12% .39 77% .30 1.05 53% 20% 42% +2 +2 1.08 21% 0.3 .05 14% .34 74% .25