Northwestern
Big Ten
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.
RatingRank
INCC Stats Predictive Rating +11.8 36
INCC Stats Results Rating +12.8 26
Consistency 0.16 218
Pace 61.7 340
Improvement +3.1 54

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B+ 33 B+ C A C+ C-
Defense B 50 C+ A- B C- C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 233 C+ 59% 121 -0.4 202
2 Pt. Jumpers 42% 163 B+ 43% 21 +2.2 73
Three Pointers 39% 186 A 40% 5 +3.7 52
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.4 250 A- +5.9 20
1st FG Attempt B+ 1.11 30
Second Chance C- 26.4% 254 B 1.11 64 C 0.29 179
Opponents' Steals B+ 7.4% 21
Other Turnovers A- 5.6% 8
Turnovers A 13.0% 7
Freethrows C 0.29 180 B 75% 56 C+ 0.22 124
Total Offense B+ +7.0 33

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots A- 62% 13 C- 12.2% 253
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots A- 43% 17 C 4.8% 164
Three Pointers C- 81% 230 C+ 0.7% 144
Total A- 64% 24 C 5.9% 201


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 202 B- 53% 70 -1.7 112
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 152 C 37% 156 +0.0 207
Three Pointers 39% 170 C- 35% 243 +0.8 225
Shot Selection/Accuracy C -0.1 149 C+ -0.9 134
1st FG Attempt C+ 0.98 133
Second Chance B+ 24.3% 28 A- 0.85 16 A- 0.21 9
Turnovers from Steals B 10.9% 60
Other Turnovers B- 8.6% 72
Turnovers B 19.5% 46
Freethrows C- 0.30 243 C- 73% 243 C- 0.22 245
Total Defense B +4.8 50

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D 53% 302 C+ 12.6% 117
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 27% 232 B+ 7.6% 34
Three Pointers D 87% 294 C- 0.7% 204
Total D+ 59% 293 B- 6.8% 91

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.3 283 18.2 309
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 273 0.14 97
Consistency 0.15 339 0.12 196
Improvement +0.9 128 +2.2 67



Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
Mon, Nov 6 284 Binghamton W 72 - 61 97% -1  36% 1 - 0 C+ +2 D- -7 D- A F A +9 B+ C+ A+
Fri, Nov 10 43 Dayton W 71 - 66 64% +4  88% 2 - 0 B+ +13 A +13 C+ A+ A B- +2 F A A+
Tue, Nov 14 303 Western Michigan W 63 - 59 97% +3  72% 3 - 0 D+ -7 D- -7 D+ F A- C+ +0 C+ F A+
Sat, Nov 18 206 Rhode Island W 72 - 61 90% +11  97% 4 - 0 B +8 B- +4 C+ A+ F A- +6 B- B+ A
Sun, Nov 19 32 Mississippi St. L 57 - 66 48% +3  77% 4 - 1 C+ +3 D- -7 C- D A+ A +10 C- A+ A
Mon, Nov 27 309 Northern Illinois W 89 - 67 97% +9  86% 5 - 1 B+ +11 A +12 A+ F A C -0 D B- D+
Fri, Dec 1 2 Purdue W 92 - 88 OT 26% -3  20% 6 - 1 1 - 0 A+ +22 A +12 A+ F A+ A+ +10 A+ B A
Sun, Dec 10 350 Detroit Mercy W 91 - 59 99% +15  97% 7 - 1 A- +15 B+ +8 A C A+ A +8 A+ F C
Wed, Dec 13 287 Chicago St. L 73 - 75 97% +2  63% 7 - 2 D- -11 D+ -3 C+ C C F+ -9 F B C+
Sat, Dec 16 295 DePaul W 56 - 46 93% +4  79% 8 - 2 B- +6 F -12 F+ F B A+ +20 A+ D B
Wed, Dec 20 122 Arizona St. W 65 - 46 80% +14  95% 9 - 2 A+ +22 C- -1 B C+ B- A+ +25 A+ A+ C+
Fri, Dec 29 313 Jackson St. W 74 - 63 98% +7  86% 10 - 2 C -1 D -5 C+ F B B +5 D- A+ B
Tue, Jan 2 10 Illinois L 66 - 96 21% -18  0% 10 - 3 1 - 1 D -10 C- -2 B D D+ F -10 F F+ B-
Sun, Jan 7 16 Michigan St. W 88 - 74 50% +8  78% 11 - 3 2 - 1 A+ +26 A+ +27 A+ B- A+ C -0 C+ D A
Wed, Jan 10 70 Penn St. W 76 - 72 53% -2  29% 12 - 3 3 - 1 A- +15 B +6 A+ F F A +9 A- C+ B+
Sat, Jan 13 21 Wisconsin L 63 - 71 32% -3  17% 12 - 4 3 - 2 B +9 C +1 C- A B A- +7 D- A+ A+
Wed, Jan 17 61 Maryland W 72 - 69 71% +1  63% 13 - 4 4 - 2 B +9 A +12 B+ A- A+ C- -2 F B- A-
Sat, Jan 20 29 Nebraska L 69 - 75 36% -4  8% 13 - 5 4 - 3 B +10 B- +4 B- D- A+ B+ +6 F B- A+
Wed, Jan 24 10 Illinois W 96 - 91 OT 40% +0  40% 14 - 5 5 - 3 A +19 A+ +16 A+ B- A+ B- +3 A- B- C
Sat, Jan 27 47 Ohio St. W 83 - 58 64% +14  92% 15 - 5 6 - 3 A+ +33 A+ +22 A+ B+ A+ A+ +14 A A+ B+
Wed, Jan 31 2 Purdue L 96 - 105 OT 12% -2  24% 15 - 6 6 - 4 A- +15 A+ +23 A+ C- A D- -6 F C+ D
Sat, Feb 3 69 Minnesota L 66 - 75 OT 53% +3  75% 15 - 7 6 - 5 C+ +2 D- -7 C+ C F A +10 C+ A+ C
Wed, Feb 7 29 Nebraska W 80 - 68 59% +12  98% 16 - 7 7 - 5 A+ +22 B +7 A+ F B+ A+ +15 B A+ A+
Sun, Feb 11 70 Penn St. W 68 - 63 75% +2  62% 17 - 7 8 - 5 B +10 C- -2 F A A+ A+ +12 C+ A+ C+
Thu, Feb 15 96 Rutgers L 60 - 63 61% +5  76% 17 - 8 8 - 6 B- +6 C+ +2 C B- C- B +4 B- B- D
Sun, Feb 18 84 Indiana W 76 - 72 58% +5  87% 18 - 8 9 - 6 A- +14 B+ +9 D+ C+ A+ B+ +5 D+ A+ C-
Thu, Feb 22 120 Michigan W 76 - 62 86% +2  53% 19 - 8 10 - 6 A- +14 A+ +14 B A+ A+ B +3 D A C+
Wed, Feb 28 61 Maryland W 68 - 61 49% +4  78% 20 - 8 11 - 6 A +19 A +12 C+ A+ A- A +8 A A F
Sat, Mar 2 51 Iowa L 80 - 87 66% -2  32% 20 - 9 11 - 7 C +1 A +12 A+ B+ A+ F -12 F B+ F
Wed, Mar 6 16 Michigan St. L 49 - 53 28% +1  60% 20 - 10 11 - 8 A- +14 D- -6 D- A C- A+ +19 A+ A+ C-
Sat, Mar 9 69 Minnesota W 90 - 66 74% +12  98% 21 - 10 12 - 8 A+ +29 A+ +28 A+ F A+ B +4 D+ A+ C-
Fri, Mar 15 21 Wisconsin L 61 - 70 43% -3  23% 21 - 11 B- +5 D+ -4 D+ D- A A- +7 C+ B+ B-
Fri, Mar 22 49 Florida Atlantic W 77 - 65 OT 54% +2  59% 22 - 11 A+ +23 D+ -3 B+ F B A+ +25 A+ A+ A+
Sun, Mar 24 1 Connecticut L 58 - 75 10% -17  0% 22 - 12 B +9 C- -2 D- A+ A A +9 C+ A+ F+
Totals 22 - 12 12 - 8 +12 B+ +7 C A- C- B +5 A B C+


Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B+ C+ B+ A A- 36% 42% 39% C- B+ C- B C A C B C+ B B- C C- C+ 38% 23% 39% C C+ B+ A- A- B C- C- C-
1.19 59% 43% 40% +6 0 1.11 26% 1.1 .29 13% .29 75% .22 1.02 53% 37% 35% -1 0 0.98 24% 0.9 .21 20% .30 73% .21
Nov
6		 Binghamton D- F A+ F F+ 44% 26% 30% C D- A- B- A F B+ A A A A D- B+ B- 28% 26% 46% A+ B+ C- B C+ A+ B+ F C
1.05 41% 54% 27% -6 0 0.88 37% 1.2 .43 18% .37 81% .30 0.89 46% 42% 29% -6 -1 0.87 28% 1.0 .28 28% .24 83% .20
Nov
10		 Dayton A F A+ F+ C- 49% 24% 27% A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ A A+ A A+ B- C+ B F F 29% 9% 63% D- F A+ F+ A A+ D D- D-
1.23 40% 70% 27% -3 0 0.95 40% 1.3 .53 12% .39 80% .31 1.14 60% 33% 55% +20 +1 1.43 17% 1.3 .22 26% .35 80% .28
Nov
14		 W. Michigan D- A+ A+ F C- 32% 19% 49% C- D+ F A+ F A- D+ A- C C+ B- A- C C 24% 24% 51% B+ C+ F A- F A+ C B C+
1.06 73% 56% 22% 0 0 1.00 13% 1.3 .17 12% .27 79% .21 0.99 50% 30% 33% -4 -1 0.90 50% 0.9 .44 28% .28 58% .16
Nov
18		 Rhode Isl. B- C+ F A+ C+ 46% 25% 29% D+ C+ A+ D+ A+ F C A+ B A- A A+ F C+ 38% 23% 40% A B- F A+ B+ A F D F
1.17 59% 25% 43% +2 0 1.04 50% 0.9 .47 18% .26 77% .20 0.99 47% 11% 50% 0 0 1.00 36% 0.7 .24 23% .46 68% .32
Nov
19		 MISS St. D- D- A F C- 25% 31% 44% D+ C- D+ F D A+ F D+ F A A F D D 31% 27% 42% A+ C- A+ A A+ A C- D D+
0.87 50% 47% 25% -5 -2 0.87 23% 0.6 .14 14% .12 71% .09 1.01 50% 67% 37% +8 -1 1.13 26% 0.7 .19 23% .34 71% .24
Nov
27		 N. Illinois A A+ A+ A+ A+ 42% 25% 33% C- A+ F C- F A D+ A C C B- D- F F 29% 37% 33% A+ D A F+ B- D+ A+ A+ A+
1.35 73% 62% 47% +19 0 1.38 22% 1.0 .22 11% .27 75% .20 1.01 53% 42% 41% +4 -2 1.04 20% 1.1 .23 17% .22 50% .11
Dec
1		 Purdue A B- B+ A+ A+ 25% 44% 31% D- A+ F F F A+ A+ F A+ A+ A D A+ A+ 53% 14% 33% F A+ D+ A B A F D+ F
1.15 60% 41% 53% +11 -4 1.15 12% 0.6 .07 4% .42 63% .26 1.10 50% 43% 25% -7 +2 0.90 42% 1.0 .42 21% .65 76% .49
Dec
10		 Detroit B+ A+ A A A+ 32% 23% 45% D+ A D B+ C A+ B F C- A A+ C- A+ A 18% 40% 42% A+ A+ D- F F C F C+ F+
1.33 76% 50% 42% +14 0 1.28 30% 1.3 .40 10% .33 65% .21 0.86 33% 40% 24% -10 -4 0.74 29% 1.0 .29 19% .36 70% .25
Dec
13		 Chicago St. D+ D+ F+ A+ B 39% 26% 35% D- C+ D- A C C A- D+ B F+ F C+ C- F 39% 14% 48% D+ F B- B- B C+ F F F
1.09 56% 33% 50% +7 0 1.13 30% 1.2 .37 21% .38 65% .25 1.12 76% 33% 33% +7 +1 1.16 31% 0.9 .27 21% .42 86% .36
Dec
16		 DePaul F B D+ F F 28% 12% 60% B F+ D F F B F A+ F A+ A A+ A+ A+ 32% 15% 54% D+ A+ C F D B F F F
0.93 64% 33% 27% -5 +1 0.92 24% 0.7 .16 13% .13 86% .11 0.76 46% 17% 18% -19 +1 0.63 24% 1.4 .33 22% .40 84% .34
Dec
20		 Arizona St. C- C F+ A+ B 41% 20% 39% C+ B F+ A+ C+ B- F F F A+ B A+ A+ A+ 47% 21% 32% D A+ A+ A+ A+ C+ C- B+ C
1.00 55% 30% 42% +2 +1 1.06 19% 1.5 .28 18% .17 44% .08 0.71 55% 0% 20% -16 +1 0.70 13% 0.4 .05 15% .33 61% .20
Dec
29		 Jackson St. D B- D A B- 28% 24% 48% D- C+ D- F F B C- F D- B A+ F F F 26% 42% 32% A D- A+ A A+ B A+ F A+
1.10 64% 33% 42% +7 -1 1.12 26% 0.9 .24 16% .28 63% .18 0.93 36% 45% 41% +1 -3 0.96 23% 0.9 .20 21% .13 86% .11
Jan
2		 Illinois C- A F A+ B+ 28% 42% 30% D- B C- F D D+ F A+ C- F F+ F F F 34% 32% 34% A+ F C+ F F+ B- C- F+ D
0.99 67% 18% 50% +2 -3 0.98 24% 0.8 .18 15% .14 100% .14 1.44 71% 56% 59% +23 -1 1.44 36% 1.4 .52 15% .35 80% .28
Jan
7		 Mich St. A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 34% 26% 40% C+ A+ B- C+ B- A+ B+ A+ A C F A+ F C 28% 35% 37% B+ C+ C- D- D A F B- F
1.35 65% 62% 45% +16 -1 1.30 29% 1.0 .29 8% .30 83% .25 1.14 77% 25% 41% +5 -2 1.07 33% 1.2 .40 20% .42 68% .29
Jan
10		 Penn St. B A+ A+ A+ A+ 43% 29% 29% D+ A+ F C- F F A+ D A A D+ F A+ A- 39% 27% 35% B- A- C B C+ B+ F D- F
1.09 78% 50% 58% +23 0 1.45 9% 1.0 .09 26% .41 71% .29 1.03 63% 46% 18% -4 0 0.92 28% 1.1 .31 19% .42 79% .34
Jan
13		 Wisconsin C A+ D+ D C 21% 38% 40% D- C- C A+ A B C+ C+ B- A- A- F F F 41% 23% 36% A- D- B- A+ A+ A+ F C- F
1.00 70% 33% 32% 0 -3 0.94 21% 1.7 .34 16% .28 73% .21 1.12 50% 56% 50% +10 0 1.21 30% 0.9 .26 21% .52 77% .40
Jan
17		 Maryland A B A C- A- 31% 29% 40% C- B+ A- B+ A- A+ A+ A- A+ C- F+ F C- F 41% 25% 34% B F A+ F B- A- C C C
1.15 60% 43% 32% +1 -1 1.00 34% 1.0 .34 11% .40 82% .32 1.10 67% 55% 33% +8 0 1.16 24% 1.2 .28 21% .36 72% .26
Jan
20		 Nebraska B- D+ D B+ B- 26% 24% 50% C+ B- C- F D- A+ A- D- B B+ C- D- F F 43% 26% 31% B F F A+ B- A+ F D F
1.03 50% 31% 37% -1 -1 0.96 26% 0.6 .16 10% .28 65% .18 1.12 61% 45% 54% +13 0 1.26 35% 0.8 .26 27% .41 80% .33
Jan
24		 Illinois A+ C+ A- A+ A+ 41% 33% 25% C+ A+ D+ A+ B- A+ D+ D+ D+ B- A+ A F A 51% 12% 37% F A- F A+ B- C D+ C- D+
1.28 58% 43% 63% +13 -1 1.24 22% 1.3 .28 7% .19 69% .13 1.22 45% 29% 43% -2 +2 1.00 46% 0.9 .41 13% .37 75% .28
Jan
27		 Ohio St. A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 31% 33% 37% C A+ F A+ B+ A+ A A- A A+ B- A+ A- A+ 38% 16% 46% F A A+ B+ A+ B+ F C F
1.35 67% 50% 50% +16 -2 1.29 17% 2.0 .33 11% .31 76% .24 0.95 57% 17% 29% -6 +1 0.89 24% 1.0 .24 18% .66 76% .50
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Purdue A+ A A+ A+ A+ 29% 29% 42% B A+ F A+ C- A D- B D- D- F+ C+ F F 47% 16% 37% F+ F C+ C+ C+ D F A+ F
1.27 67% 61% 50% +20 -1 1.37 11% 1.7 .19 11% .12 75% .09 1.38 70% 38% 56% +18 +1 1.39 39% 1.2 .45 13% .70 63% .44
Feb
3		 Minnesota D- F B A+ C+ 31% 25% 44% C- C+ C- B C F A+ D- A A F B- C+ C+ 35% 24% 41% B- C+ A+ A+ A+ C D+ F F+
0.92 27% 42% 48% +1 -1 1.00 26% 0.9 .24 24% .37 65% .24 1.05 72% 33% 33% +4 0 1.08 19% 0.7 .13 17% .35 76% .27
Feb
7		 Nebraska B B- B+ A+ A+ 26% 28% 45% C A+ B+ F F B+ A+ C- A+ A+ A F C+ A 54% 7% 39% F B A+ F A+ A+ F F+ F
1.12 57% 40% 46% +9 -1 1.15 33% 0.4 .13 14% .36 68% .24 0.95 48% 100% 33% -1 +3 1.04 12% 1.3 .15 24% .40 82% .33
Feb
11		 Penn St. C- F F B+ F 56% 22% 22% B- F C A+ A A+ A+ B+ A+ A+ D- A B- C+ 38% 23% 40% C+ C+ A+ A A+ C+ D+ C D+
1.01 39% 0% 36% -17 +1 0.68 30% 1.4 .42 9% .44 81% .36 0.94 67% 27% 32% 0 0 1.00 10% 1.0 .10 16% .36 75% .27
Feb
15		 Rutgers C+ F F A B- 22% 29% 49% F C D+ A B- C- A+ A+ A+ B A+ D+ F B 46% 27% 27% C- B- A D B- D F A- F
0.93 33% 25% 40% -4 -2 0.88 26% 1.1 .29 23% .38 84% .32 0.98 36% 38% 38% -7 0 0.85 26% 1.0 .26 14% .45 60% .27
Feb
18		 Indiana B+ D F B D+ 32% 32% 36% D D+ B C- C+ A+ A+ B+ A+ B+ D A+ D C- 51% 15% 34% F+ D+ A+ B+ A+ C- D+ A+ B-
1.12 47% 24% 37% -6 -2 0.85 31% 0.9 .27 4% .43 79% .34 1.06 67% 29% 38% +6 +2 1.15 20% 1.0 .20 16% .37 57% .21
Feb
22		 Michigan A+ B D+ A+ B+ 35% 29% 37% D B A+ B A+ A+ F D- F B A+ A+ F D 45% 28% 28% C- D A+ F A C+ F+ A+ C+
1.29 61% 33% 42% +5 -1 1.08 39% 1.1 .42 8% .17 67% .11 1.05 44% 27% 73% +8 0 1.15 19% 1.4 .26 19% .38 56% .21
Feb
28		 Maryland A A+ B+ F C 44% 26% 31% B- C+ F+ A+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+ A D+ F A+ A+ 46% 9% 46% F A B+ A A F F C+ F+
1.11 71% 40% 8% -5 0 0.90 20% 2.0 .40 16% .61 90% .55 1.00 62% 75% 10% -11 +2 0.83 28% 0.7 .21 11% .44 71% .31
Mar
2		 Iowa A C+ A A+ A+ 48% 14% 38% B+ A+ F A+ B+ A+ C+ A+ A F C+ F F F 42% 30% 28% C F C+ A B+ F A+ F A
1.26 58% 43% 47% +9 +2 1.22 15% 2.3 .35 11% .28 88% .25 1.37 59% 56% 60% +18 -1 1.34 28% 1.0 .28 8% .22 85% .19
Mar
6		 Mich St. D- F D- C D+ 20% 39% 41% F D- C+ A+ A C- D F D- A+ A A A+ A+ 42% 29% 29% D+ A+ F A+ A+ C- F B+ F
0.84 33% 29% 33% -8 -3 0.77 27% 1.4 .38 21% .22 60% .13 0.91 50% 29% 14% -14 -1 0.71 43% 0.5 .23 14% .40 65% .26
Mar
9		 Minnesota A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 40% 28% 32% C- A+ F F F A+ C A+ B- B D A+ F D 45% 24% 31% C D+ A+ A+ A+ C- A+ F A+
1.47 57% 80% 59% +24 -1 1.47 19% 0.2 .04 2% .25 80% .20 1.08 68% 25% 47% +8 0 1.16 21% 0.3 .07 16% .18 78% .14
Mar
15		 Wisconsin D+ F C+ B- D+ 24% 32% 44% C- D+ D+ F D- A B+ B B+ A- A- A+ F B- 49% 11% 40% D- C+ A+ F B+ B- C A B-
0.96 42% 38% 36% -2 -2 0.92 17% 0.8 .14 14% .31 76% .24 1.10 50% 20% 44% +1 +2 1.07 23% 1.4 .32 16% .33 67% .22
Mar
22		 FL Atlantic D+ C A+ B A- 27% 36% 37% D B+ B- F F B C C+ C A+ D- A+ A+ A+ 41% 10% 49% D+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ D- D F+
1.00 56% 52% 36% +7 -2 1.08 31% 0.2 .07 16% .23 73% .17 0.84 67% 20% 20% -8 +2 0.88 24% 0.4 .11 27% .37 76% .29
Mar
24		 Uconn C- F C+ F D- 43% 31% 25% C- D- D+ A+ A+ A F A+ C- A F F A+ B- 49% 12% 39% D C+ A+ A+ A+ F+ D+ B C
0.90 32% 38% 23% -15 -1 0.69 22% 1.8 .39 12% .18 100% .18 1.16 88% 50% 15% +6 +2 1.16 19% 0.8 .15 11% .35 70% .24