Big South
2025-26 - 2026-27 - 2027-28
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Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed At-Large
Selection		 Record Predictive
Rating		 Offense Defense Results
Rating		 Conf Results Rating
Overall Conf
High Point 64%   13   Likely Out 3 - 0 0 - 0 +9.0 69 B +6 65 B- +3 85 +10 40 0 1
Presbyterian 9%   Negligible 0 - 2 0 - 0 -3.9 220 C +0 175 D+ -4 297 -12 315 0 1
Longwood 8%   Negligible 1 - 1 0 - 0 -4.3 234 C- -2 230 C- -2 232 -6 278 0 1
Winthrop 7%   Negligible 0 - 2 0 - 0 -5.2 252 C +1 147 D- -6 351 -22 357 0 1
Radford 7%   Negligible 0 - 2 0 - 0 -5.7 263 D+ -3 251 D+ -3 260 -7 288 0 1
UNC Asheville 3%   Negligible 0 - 2 0 - 0 -8.2 300 D+ -4 274 D -5 318 -13 326 0 1
Charleston Southern 2%   Negligible 0 - 1 0 - 0 -9.3 322 D -6 323 D -4 298 -3 256 0 1
SC Upstate 1%   Negligible 0 - 2 0 - 0 -12.6 352 D- -7 347 D- -5 335 -24 364 0 1
Gardner-Webb 1%   Negligible 0 - 2 0 - 0 -12.6 353 D- -7 346 D- -5 336 +9 45 0 1


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Competitiveness
Wed, Nov 4 69 High Point 63 364 Maryland Eastern Shore 49   
90 California 84 263 Radford 70   
234 Longwood 73 136 Saint Joseph's 82   
Thu, Nov 5 353 Gardner-Webb 50 9 Texas 98   
Fri, Nov 6 49 Georgia 91 220 Presbyterian 77   
340 South Carolina St. 78 352 South Carolina Upstate 70   
Sat, Nov 7 69 High Point 83 163 Washington St. 71   
300 UNC Asheville 75 157 Western Carolina 83   
316 North Dakota 93 252 Winthrop 90   
234 Longwood 80 354 NC Central 75   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Competitiveness
Mon, Nov 9 263 Radford 61 15 Tennessee 86 98%   
264 Coastal Carolina 76 352 South Carolina Upstate 66 82%   
Tue, Nov 10 53 North Carolina St. 83 220 Presbyterian 65 94%   
322 Charleston Southern 66 95 Wake Forest 84 94%   
155 Kennesaw St. 84 252 Winthrop 76 78%   
Wed, Nov 11 300 UNC Asheville 72 321 West Georgia 74 57%   
Thu, Nov 12 69 High Point 87 244 Southern Utah 70 93%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Team Avg
Finish		 Champ Co-Champions Finishing Place
0 1 2+ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
High Point 1 87% 76% 9% 1% 87 10 2 1 0 0 0 0
Longwood 4 8% 4% 3% 1% 8 25 21 15 12 8 6 4 2
Radford 4 6% 3% 2% 1% 6 21 19 16 13 10 7 5 2
Winthrop 4 4% 2% 2% 1% 4 21 20 17 14 11 7 5 2
Presbyterian 4 5% 2% 2% 1% 5 20 19 17 14 10 8 5 2
UNC Asheville 5 2% 1% 1% 0% 2 11 13 15 15 15 13 10 6
Charleston Southern 6 1% 0% 0% 0% 1 6 9 11 13 14 17 16 14
SC Upstate 7 0% 0% 0% 0% 0 2 4 7 10 14 19 22 23
Gardner-Webb 7 0% 0% 0% 0% 0 2 4 7 10 13 17 21 25

Team Expected Record Projected Conference Record
Conf Overall 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
High Point 13 - 2 25 - 5 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 8 17 26 28 17
Longwood 9 - 7 15 - 14 0 0 1 2 5 9 12 15 16 15 12 7 4 1 0 0
Radford 8 - 8 11 - 18 0 0 0 2 3 7 10 14 16 16 14 9 6 2 1 0 0
Winthrop 8 - 7 12 - 16 0 0 0 1 3 7 10 14 17 16 13 10 5 2 1 0
Presbyterian 8 - 7 13 - 15 0 0 0 1 3 7 11 14 17 16 13 9 5 2 1 0
UNC Asheville 7 - 9 10 - 19 0 0 2 4 8 12 15 17 15 12 8 4 2 1 0 0 0
Charleston Southern 6 - 10 10 - 19 0 1 4 8 13 15 16 14 12 8 4 2 1 0 0
SC Upstate 5 - 10 8 - 21 0 2 7 13 18 19 16 12 7 4 2 1 0 0
Gardner-Webb 5 - 11 7 - 21 1 3 8 13 17 18 16 11 7 4 2 1 0 0 0


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
Team Tourney Bid Auto At-Large Exp Seed At-Large Chances 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid
High Point 64% 63% 2% 13 Likely Out 1 1 2 12 30 14 3 36
Presbyterian 9% 9% 0% Negligible 1 4 4 91
Longwood 8% 8% 0% Negligible 1 3 4 92
Winthrop 7% 7% 0% Negligible 0 2 4 93
Radford 7% 7% 0% Negligible 0 2 4 93
UNC Asheville 3% 3% 0% Negligible 1 3 97
Charleston Southern 2% 2% 0% Negligible 0 2 98
SC Upstate 1% 1% 0% Negligible 1 99
Gardner-Webb 1% 1% 0% Negligible 1 99

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100% 1.0 99 1
1st Round 84% 0.8 16 84 0
2nd Round 15% 0.2 85 15
Sweet Sixteen 4% 0.0 96 4
Elite Eight 1% 0.0 99 1
Final Four 0% 0.0 100 0
Final Game 0% 0.0 100 0
Champion 0% 0.0 100 0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
High Point 64% 1% 63% 14% 4% 1%
Presbyterian 9% 7% 5%
Longwood 8% 7% 5%
Winthrop 7% 6% 4%
Radford 7% 6% 4%
UNC Asheville 3% 3% 2%
Charleston Southern 2% 2% 1%
SC Upstate 1% 1%
Gardner-Webb 1% 1%