Preseason Rankings
Big South
2026-27


Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed At-Large
Selection		 Record Predictive
Rating		 Offense Defense Results
Rating		 Conf Results Rating
Overall Conf
High Point 56%   13   Likely Out 0 - 0 0 - 0 +8.5 66 B +6 56 B- +3 88 0 1 0 1
Longwood 10%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -2.9 205 C- -2 222 C- -1 203 0 1 0 1
Winthrop 11%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -2.9 206 C +0 168 D+ -3 261 0 1 0 1
Presbyterian 10%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -3.2 215 C- -2 228 C- -1 209 0 1 0 1
Radford 6%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -5.3 264 D+ -3 254 D+ -3 269 0 1 0 1
UNC Asheville 4%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -6.7 284 D+ -4 293 D+ -3 265 0 1 0 1
Charleston Southern 2%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -8.3 311 D -5 318 D+ -3 286 0 1 0 1
SC Upstate 1%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -11.1 346 D- -7 344 D -4 331 0 1 0 1
Gardner-Webb 1%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -12.2 353 D- -7 348 D- -5 344 0 1 0 1




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Team Avg
Finish		 Champ Co-Champions Finishing Place
0 1 2+ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
High Point 1 78% 65% 11% 2% 78 15 5 2 1 0 0 0 0
Longwood 4 11% 6% 4% 1% 11 22 19 16 11 9 6 4 2
Winthrop 4 9% 4% 3% 1% 9 23 20 16 12 9 6 3 2
Presbyterian 4 7% 3% 3% 1% 7 17 18 16 14 11 9 6 3
Radford 4 7% 3% 2% 1% 7 16 17 16 14 12 9 6 3
UNC Asheville 5 4% 2% 1% 1% 4 11 13 15 15 14 12 9 6
Charleston Southern 6 2% 1% 1% 0% 2 5 8 10 13 15 17 16 15
Gardner-Webb 7 0% 0% 0% 0% 0 3 5 7 10 13 17 21 24
SC Upstate 7 0% 0% 0% 0% 0 2 4 7 10 14 18 21 23

Team Expected Record Projected Conference Record
Conf Overall 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
High Point 13 - 2 24 - 6 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 7 12 20 25 22 10
Longwood 9 - 7 16 - 13 0 0 0 1 3 5 8 12 14 16 15 11 8 4 2 0 0
Winthrop 9 - 6 14 - 14 0 0 1 2 5 9 12 15 17 15 12 7 3 1 0
Presbyterian 8 - 7 14 - 14 0 0 1 2 4 7 11 14 16 15 13 9 5 2 1 0
Radford 8 - 8 12 - 17 0 0 1 2 4 8 12 15 16 14 12 8 5 2 1 0 0
UNC Asheville 7 - 9 11 - 18 0 0 2 4 7 11 14 16 15 13 9 5 3 1 0 0
Charleston Southern 6 - 10 11 - 18 0 1 4 8 12 16 15 14 11 8 4 2 1 0 0 0
Gardner-Webb 5 - 11 8 - 20 1 3 8 13 17 18 15 12 7 4 2 1 0 0
SC Upstate 5 - 10 9 - 20 0 3 7 13 16 18 16 12 7 4 2 1 0 0 0


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
Team Tourney Bid Auto At-Large Exp Seed At-Large Chances 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid
High Point 56% 54% 3% 13 Likely Out 1 1 2 12 22 12 4 44
Longwood 10% 10% 0% Negligible 2 4 4 90
Winthrop 11% 11% 0% Negligible 1 2 4 3 89
Presbyterian 10% 10% 0% Negligible 1 2 4 3 90
Radford 6% 6% 0% Negligible 1 2 3 94
UNC Asheville 4% 4% 0% Negligible 1 3 96
Charleston Southern 2% 2% 0% Negligible 0 2 98
SC Upstate 1% 1% 0% Negligible 1 99
Gardner-Webb 1% 1% 0% Negligible 1 99

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100% 1.0 99 1
1st Round 84% 0.8 16 83 1
2nd Round 15% 0.1 85 15 0
Sweet Sixteen 4% 0.0 96 4 0
Elite Eight 1% 0.0 99 1
Final Four 0% 0.0 100 0
Final Game 0% 0.0 100 0
Champion 0% 0.0 100 0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
High Point 56% 3% 54% 13% 4% 1%
Longwood 10% 7% 7%
Winthrop 11% 7% 8% 1%
Presbyterian 10% 6% 7% 1%
Radford 6% 5% 4%
UNC Asheville 4% 4% 2%
Charleston Southern 2% 2% 1%
SC Upstate 1% 1% 1%
Gardner-Webb 1% 1% 1%