Horizon
2025-26 - 2026-27 - 2027-28
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Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed At-Large
Selection		 Record Predictive
Rating		 Offense Defense Results
Rating		 Conf Results Rating
Overall Conf
Wright St. 38%   14   Likely Out 2 - 0 0 - 0 +3.8 113 B- +4 84 C +0 159 +8 61 0 1
Northern Kentucky 9%   Negligible 2 - 1 0 - 0 -2.6 190 C +0 171 D+ -2 245 +10 44 0 1
Green Bay 9%   Negligible 0 - 1 0 - 0 -2.7 192 C +0 173 D+ -2 246 +4 141 0 1
Youngstown St. 8%   Negligible 1 - 1 0 - 0 -3.8 217 C- -2 227 C- -2 221 +10 36 0 1
Robert Morris 7%   Negligible 0 - 2 0 - 0 -4.0 224 D+ -3 256 C- -1 186 -3 255 0 1
Oakland 8%   Negligible 0 - 3 0 - 0 -4.1 227 C- -1 193 D+ -3 277 -2 242 0 1
Northern Illinois 7%   Negligible 1 - 2 0 - 0 -4.2 229 C+ +2 125 D- -6 348 -2 247 0 1
Purdue Fort Wayne 5%   Negligible 0 - 1 0 - 0 -5.4 256 D+ -3 248 D+ -2 250 -8 292 0 1
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 5%   Negligible 0 - 2 0 - 0 -5.6 259 C- -3 241 D+ -3 272 -1 217 0 1
IU Indianapolis 2%   Negligible 1 - 0 0 - 0 -7.9 298 C- -2 224 D- -6 353 +3 155 0 1
Detroit Mercy 0%   Negligible 0 - 1 0 - 0 -8.0 299 D+ -3 266 D -5 320 +6 101 0 1
Cleveland St. 1%   Negligible 0 - 1 0 - 0 -9.1 320 D+ -3 261 D- -6 350 +4 138 0 1


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Competitiveness
Wed, Nov 4 259 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 72 85 Santa Clara 95   
190 Northern Kentucky 102 294 South Dakota 94   
Thu, Nov 5 34 Cincinnati 81 192 Green Bay 64   
229 Northern Illinois 75 103 Tulsa 94   
Fri, Nov 6 190 Northern Kentucky 67 26 Texas A&M 104   
36 Ohio St. 89 217 Youngstown St. 65   
299 Detroit Mercy 32 25 Marquette 93   
140 Florida Atlantic 71 113 Wright St. 97   
227 Oakland 63 73 Stanford 81   
224 Robert Morris 56 96 Illinois-Chicago 79   
Sat, Nov 7 93 Dayton 76 229 Northern Illinois 81   
227 Oakland 67 101 UC Santa Barbara 90   
298 IU Indianapolis 75 285 Tennessee Martin 74   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Competitiveness
Sun, Nov 8 192 Green Bay 67 142 St. Thomas 73 74%   
Mon, Nov 9 19 Alabama 96 227 Oakland 72 98%   
172 Bowling Green 82 320 Cleveland St. 71 84%   
Tue, Nov 10 190 Northern Kentucky 74 51 Saint Louis 91 93%   
145 Toledo 74 113 Wright St. 75 51%   
299 Detroit Mercy 65 44 Xavier 88 97%   
192 Green Bay 65 156 Northern Iowa 70 70%   
251 Central Michigan 73 217 Youngstown St. 71 56%   
Wed, Nov 11 22 Arkansas 84 224 Robert Morris 61 97%   
78 Boise St. 80 227 Oakland 65 91%   
207 Indiana St. 76 259 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 70 70%   
298 IU Indianapolis 81 325 Southern Indiana 76 68%   
Thu, Nov 12 256 Purdue Fort Wayne 72 180 Western Michigan 73 52%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Team Avg
Finish		 Champ Co-Champions Finishing Place
0 1 2+ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Wright St. 2 63% 50% 10% 2% 63 18 8 5 3 2 1 1 0 0 0 0
Northern Kentucky 5 10% 6% 3% 1% 10 15 14 12 11 9 8 6 5 4 3 2
Green Bay 5 9% 5% 3% 1% 9 14 13 12 11 9 8 7 6 5 4 2
Youngstown St. 5 8% 5% 3% 1% 8 14 12 12 11 9 9 7 6 5 4 2
Oakland 5 7% 4% 2% 1% 7 12 13 12 12 10 9 8 6 5 3 2
Robert Morris 5 8% 4% 2% 1% 8 13 13 12 10 10 9 8 7 5 4 2
Northern Illinois 6 6% 3% 2% 1% 6 10 10 11 11 11 10 9 8 6 5 3
Purdue Fort Wayne 7 4% 2% 1% 1% 4 7 8 9 10 10 10 10 10 9 7 6
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 7 3% 2% 1% 1% 3 7 8 9 10 10 10 10 10 10 8 5
Detroit Mercy 8 1% 0% 0% 0% 1 3 4 5 6 7 9 10 12 13 15 14
IU Indianapolis 9 1% 0% 0% 0% 1 2 3 5 6 7 9 10 12 14 16 17
Cleveland St. 9 1% 0% 0% 0% 1 2 2 4 4 5 7 9 11 14 18 23

Team Expected Record Projected Conference Record
Conf Overall 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Wright St. 15 - 5 22 - 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 4 6 9 13 15 17 14 10 5 1
Northern Kentucky 11 - 9 17 - 13 0 0 0 1 2 3 5 8 10 12 13 13 12 9 6 4 2 1 0 0
Green Bay 11 - 9 15 - 15 0 0 0 0 1 2 4 6 9 10 12 13 12 11 8 6 3 1 1 0 0
Youngstown St. 11 - 9 15 - 14 0 0 0 1 2 4 6 9 11 13 13 12 10 8 5 3 2 1 0 0
Oakland 11 - 9 12 - 20 0 0 0 1 2 4 6 9 12 13 14 13 10 7 5 2 1 0 0 0
Robert Morris 11 - 9 14 - 17 0 0 0 0 1 2 4 6 10 11 13 13 13 10 7 5 3 1 1 0 0
Northern Illinois 10 - 10 14 - 17 0 0 0 2 3 5 8 11 12 14 13 11 9 6 3 2 1 0 0
Purdue Fort Wayne 9 - 11 12 - 17 0 0 0 1 3 5 7 10 12 13 12 11 9 6 4 2 1 1 0 0
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 9 - 11 11 - 20 0 0 0 1 3 5 8 11 13 13 13 11 9 6 4 2 1 0 0 0 0
Detroit Mercy 8 - 12 9 - 18 0 1 2 4 7 10 12 13 13 12 9 7 5 3 1 1 0 0 0
IU Indianapolis 7 - 13 12 - 18 0 1 2 5 8 11 13 13 13 11 9 6 4 2 1 1 0 0 0
Cleveland St. 7 - 13 8 - 20 0 1 3 7 10 13 14 14 12 10 7 5 3 1 1 0 0 0


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
Team Tourney Bid Auto At-Large Exp Seed At-Large Chances 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid
Wright St. 38% 38% 1% 14 Likely Out 1 4 14 13 6 62
Northern Kentucky 9% 9% 0% Negligible 1 2 5 2 91
Green Bay 9% 9% 0% Negligible 2 4 2 91
Youngstown St. 8% 8% 0% Negligible 2 4 2 92
Robert Morris 7% 7% 0% Negligible 1 3 3 93
Oakland 8% 8% 0% Negligible 1 4 3 92
Northern Illinois 7% 7% 0% Negligible 1 3 2 93
Purdue Fort Wayne 5% 5% 0% Negligible 1 2 2 95
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 5% 5% 0% Negligible 1 2 2 95
IU Indianapolis 2% 2% 0% Negligible 1 1 98
Detroit Mercy 0% 0% 0% Negligible 100
Cleveland St. 1% 1% 0% Negligible 0 1 99

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100% 1.0 99 1
1st Round 78% 0.8 22 77 0
2nd Round 8% 0.1 92 8
Sweet Sixteen 2% 0.0 98 2
Elite Eight 0% 0.0 100 0
Final Four 0% 0.0 100 0
Final Game 0% 0.0 100 0
Champion 0% 0.0 100

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Wright St. 38% 3% 37% 6% 1%
Northern Kentucky 9% 5% 7%
Green Bay 9% 5% 7%
Youngstown St. 8% 5% 6%
Robert Morris 7% 5% 5%
Oakland 8% 6% 6%
Northern Illinois 7% 5% 4%
Purdue Fort Wayne 5% 4% 3%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 5% 4% 3%
IU Indianapolis 2% 2% 1%
Detroit Mercy
Cleveland St. 1% 1% 1%