Preseason Rankings
Horizon
2026-27


Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed At-Large
Selection		 Record Predictive
Rating		 Offense Defense Results
Rating		 Conf Results Rating
Overall Conf
Wright St. 20%   15   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -0.2 158 C +0 146 C- -1 187 0 1 0 1
Robert Morris 17%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -1.0 169 C- -1 190 C +0 159 0 1 0 1
Green Bay 9%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -3.0 210 C -1 177 D+ -2 257 0 1 0 1
Oakland 12%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -3.2 214 C- -1 196 C- -2 239 0 1 0 1
Northern Kentucky 8%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -3.5 222 D+ -3 252 C- -1 191 0 1 0 1
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 7%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -4.4 242 C- -2 229 D+ -2 260 0 1 0 1
Northern Illinois 6%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -4.9 254 C- -1 191 D -4 312 0 1 0 1
Youngstown St. 6%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -5.6 267 D+ -3 267 D+ -3 264 0 1 0 1
Purdue Fort Wayne 5%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -5.6 268 D+ -3 264 D+ -3 271 0 1 0 1
Detroit Mercy 4%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -6.0 275 C- -2 227 D -4 320 0 1 0 1
IU Indianapolis 3%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -6.8 286 C- -1 208 D- -5 347 0 1 0 1
Cleveland St. 3%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -7.4 293 D+ -3 262 D -5 332 0 1 0 1




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Team Avg
Finish		 Champ Co-Champions Finishing Place
0 1 2+ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Wright St. 4 30% 20% 7% 2% 30 18 13 10 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 1
Robert Morris 4 26% 17% 6% 2% 26 18 13 10 8 7 5 4 3 2 2 1
Oakland 5 16% 10% 4% 2% 16 14 13 11 10 8 7 6 5 4 3 2
Green Bay 5 12% 7% 4% 1% 12 12 11 11 10 9 8 7 6 6 4 3
Northern Kentucky 6 10% 6% 3% 1% 10 11 11 11 10 9 9 8 7 6 5 3
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 6 8% 5% 3% 1% 8 9 9 10 10 9 9 9 8 7 6 4
Northern Illinois 6 7% 4% 2% 1% 7 8 9 10 10 10 10 9 8 8 7 6
Youngstown St. 7 4% 2% 1% 1% 4 6 8 9 9 10 10 10 10 9 8 6
Purdue Fort Wayne 7 5% 3% 1% 1% 5 6 7 8 9 9 10 9 10 9 9 8
Detroit Mercy 7 4% 2% 1% 1% 4 6 6 8 8 9 9 10 10 10 10 10
IU Indianapolis 8 3% 1% 1% 0% 3 3 5 6 6 7 8 9 11 12 14 15
Cleveland St. 9 1% 1% 0% 0% 1 2 3 4 5 6 8 9 12 13 16 19

Team Expected Record Projected Conference Record
Conf Overall 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Wright St. 13 - 7 17 - 13 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 4 6 8 10 13 13 13 10 8 5 3 1 0
Robert Morris 12 - 8 17 - 14 0 0 0 1 1 3 5 7 10 12 13 13 12 10 7 4 2 1 0
Oakland 11 - 9 13 - 19 0 0 0 1 2 3 5 8 10 12 13 13 11 9 7 4 2 1 0 0
Green Bay 11 - 9 15 - 15 0 0 0 1 1 3 4 7 9 11 13 12 12 10 7 5 3 1 0 0 0
Northern Kentucky 10 - 10 15 - 15 0 0 1 1 3 5 7 10 11 13 12 11 9 7 5 3 1 0 0 0
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 10 - 10 12 - 19 0 0 0 1 2 4 6 9 11 12 13 12 10 8 6 3 2 1 0 0 0
Northern Illinois 10 - 10 14 - 17 0 0 0 1 3 4 7 9 11 13 14 12 10 7 5 3 1 1 0 0
Youngstown St. 9 - 10 12 - 16 0 0 0 1 3 5 8 11 13 14 13 11 9 6 3 2 1 0 0 0
Purdue Fort Wayne 9 - 11 12 - 17 0 0 1 2 4 6 8 11 12 13 12 10 8 6 4 2 1 0 0 0
Detroit Mercy 9 - 11 10 - 17 0 0 1 2 4 7 9 11 13 13 12 10 7 5 4 2 1 0 0 0 0
IU Indianapolis 8 - 12 12 - 18 0 0 2 4 7 9 12 13 13 12 10 7 5 3 2 1 0 0 0 0
Cleveland St. 7 - 12 9 - 18 0 1 2 5 8 11 13 14 13 11 9 6 4 2 1 0 0 0 0


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
Team Tourney Bid Auto At-Large Exp Seed At-Large Chances 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid
Wright St. 20% 20% 0% 15 Negligible 1 3 6 7 2 80
Robert Morris 17% 17% 0% Negligible 2 5 7 3 83
Green Bay 9% 9% 0% Negligible 2 5 3 91
Oakland 12% 12% 0% Negligible 1 3 5 3 88
Northern Kentucky 8% 8% 0% Negligible 1 4 3 92
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 7% 7% 0% Negligible 1 3 2 93
Northern Illinois 6% 6% 0% Negligible 1 2 3 94
Youngstown St. 6% 6% 0% Negligible 1 2 2 94
Purdue Fort Wayne 5% 5% 0% Negligible 1 2 2 95
Detroit Mercy 4% 4% 0% Negligible 0 2 2 96
IU Indianapolis 3% 3% 0% Negligible 0 1 2 97
Cleveland St. 3% 3% 0% Negligible 1 2 97

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100% 1.0 100 0
1st Round 71% 0.7 29 71 0
2nd Round 7% 0.1 93 7
Sweet Sixteen 1% 0.0 99 1
Elite Eight 0% 0.0 100 0
Final Four 0% 0.0 100 0
Final Game 0% 0.0 100 0
Champion 0% 0.0 100

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Wright St. 20% 7% 16% 2%
Robert Morris 17% 7% 14% 2%
Green Bay 9% 6% 6%
Oakland 12% 6% 9% 1%
Northern Kentucky 8% 5% 6%
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 7% 5% 5% 1%
Northern Illinois 6% 5% 4%
Youngstown St. 6% 4% 4%
Purdue Fort Wayne 5% 4% 3%
Detroit Mercy 4% 3% 3%
IU Indianapolis 3% 3% 1%
Cleveland St. 3% 2% 1%